Cvr: Autonomous Vehicles


Autonomous Vehicles

The Road to Economic Growth?

Clifford Winston, Quentin Karpilow
Release Date: June 30, 2020

Better public policies can make the road smoother for self-driving vehicles and the society that soon will depend on them.

Whether you find the idea of autonomous vehicles to be exciting or frightening, the truth is that they will soon become a significant everyday presence on streets and highways—not just a novel experiment attracting attention or giggles and sparking fears of runaway self-driving cars.

The emergence of these vehicles represents a watershed moment in the history of transportation. If properly encouraged, this innovation promises not only to vastly improve road travel and generate huge benefits to travelers and businesses, but to also benefit the entire economy by reducing congestion and virtually eliminating vehicle accidents. The impacts of autonomous vehicles on land use, employment, and public finance are likely to be mixed. But widely assumed negative effects are generally overstated because they ignore plausible adjustments by the public and policymakers that could ameliorate them.

This book by two transportation experts argues that policy analysts can play an important and constructive role in identifying and analyzing important policy issues and necessary steps to ease the advent of autonomous vehicles. Among the actions that governments must take are creating a framework for vehicle testing, making appropriate investments in the technology of highway networks to facilitate communication involving autonomous vehicles, and reforming pricing and investment policies to enable operation of autonomous vehicles to be safe and efficient.

The authors argue that policymakers at all levels of government must address these and other issues sooner rather than later. Prompt and effective actions outlined in this book are necessary to ensure that autonomous vehicles will be safe and efficient when the public begins to adopt them as replacements for current vehicles.

Praise for Autonomous Vehicles

In Autonomous Vehicles, Winston and Karpilow make a strong case that these vehicles can potentially bring very large economic benefits based on intelligent extrapolation of existing research results and original data analysis. Government policy also has a major role to play in the transition period, but there are reasons to worry about the ability of governments to conduct this transition in a timely and efficient manner. Winston and Karpilow’s effort should be applauded, as it offers both food for thought and detailed policy prescriptions.
—Gilles Duranton, Dean’s Chair in Real Estate Professor, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

Autonomous vehicles offer the promise of revolutionizing American transportation, but that promise will only be realized with the right policies. As Cliff Winston and Quentin Karpilow make clear in this excellent book, the policy hurdles to an autonomous future may be far more daunting than the remaining technological hurdles. This book is indispensable reading for anyone who cares about the technological transformation of transportation through autonomous vehicles.
—Edward Glaeser, Fred and Eleanor Glimp Professor of Economics, Harvard University

A world of autonomous vehicles is coming fast, and professionals had better be ready. This is the persuasive message of Winston and Karpilow’s book. Sophisticated yet easy to digest, the book explains the technological landscape, credibly estimates autonomous vehicles’ economic effects, and offers perceptive guidelines for government policy.
—Kenneth Small, professor emeritus of economics, University of California at Irvine


Clifford Winston, the Searle Freedom Trust Senior Fellow in the Brookings Institution’s Economic Studies program, has been with Brookings since 1984. He is an applied microeconomist who specializes in the analysis of industrial organization, regulation, and transportation.

Winston has also been co-editor of the annual microeconomics edition of Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Prior to his fellowship at Brookings, he was an Associate Professor in the Transportation Systems Division of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Department of Civil Engineering. He is the author of numerous books on economics and public policy.

Quentin Karpilow is a former Brookings research assistant who recently graduated from Yale Law School.

Media Coverage

Barron's 07/01/2022

The Same Old Technophobia Is Holding Back Autonomous Vehicles

Barron's 28/10/2021

The Answer to America’s Supply-Chain Woes Lies in Automation

Barron's 24/03/2021

How Federal Infrastructure Dollars Get Nickeled and Dimed

Barron's 09/03/2021

Biden Is Going Big on the Future of Cars, So Why Are Autonomous Vehicles Lagging?