New population projections suggest that the nation’s narrowly divided electoral map will shift dramatically by 2030, with important implications for both political parties. While much remains uncertain, the nation’s continued aging and patterns of Sun Belt growth and Snow Belt decline among other factors portend a significant recomposition of the Electoral College as well as important adjustments of the long-term strategies both major parties will need to extend their “red” or “blue” influences across a changing nation.
The Brookings Institution is committed to quality, independence, and impact.
We are supported by a diverse array of funders. In line with our values and policies, each Brookings publication represents the sole views of its author(s).