An agenda for the Federal Reserve’s review of its monetary policy framework

LIVE

An agenda for the Federal Reserve’s review of its monetary policy framework

June

14
2024

10:00 am EDT - 3:00 pm EDT

Live

An agenda for the Federal Reserve’s review of its monetary policy framework

Friday, June 14, 2024

10:00 am - 3:00 pm EDT

The Brookings Institution
Falk Auditorium

1775 Massachusetts Ave NW
Washington, D.C.
20036

In August 2020, the Federal Reserve revised its statement of the strategy, tools, and communications practices it uses to achieve its mandate of maximum employment and price stability. Among other things, the revised statement said that following periods when inflation was below its 2% target the Fed would aim for inflation moderately above 2% for some time. It also said, effectively, that the Fed would act more aggressively when unemployment was high than when it was very low unless it saw inflation rising above its target. The Fed said it would undertake a thorough public review of the framework every five years. Such a review is slated to begin later this year. In anticipation of the Fed’s review of its framework, the Hutchins Center on Fiscal & Monetary Policy at Brookings will convene a two-part conference on June 14. In the morning, we will hear and discuss two academic papers. Michael Kiley, deputy director of the Fed’s Division of Financial Stability, will present his work on optimal monetary policy under discretion with an asymmetric loss function that sees activity shortfalls as more costly than stronger activity. He concludes this leads to an inflationary bias and that greater symmetry would reduce the size of output shortfalls. Michael Bauer, research economist at the San Francisco Fed, will respond. Then Anna Cieslak and Hao Pang of Duke University and Michael McMahon of Oxford University will present their work on how Fed communications influence interest rates. Eric Swanson of the University of California-Irvine will respond. In the afternoon, an expert panel will offer the Fed advice on what it should be considering as it undertakes the framework review. Panelists will be Don Kohn of Brookings (a former Fed vice chair), Mike McMahon, Christina Romer of University of California-Berkeley, and Brian Sack of Balyasny Asset Management; the Hutchins Center’s David Wessel will moderate. Viewers can join the conversation and ask questions of the speakers by emailing [email protected] or on X/Twitter at @BrookingsEcon using the hashtag #FedFramework.

Registration is required to attend an event in person and guests at Brookings are required to attest to their state of health before attending. Visitors may not enter the building if they are feeling ill for any reason, have any symptoms commonly associated with COVID-19, have recently tested positive for COVID-19 and do not yet meet the criteria to resume normal activities based on current CDC guidance, or have been advised by their healthcare professional or otherwise to not enter any space where some persons may not be vaccinated.

 

Agenda