The immigration challenge in a divided Europe
Estonia in an evolving Europe
I question whether the U.K. and EU will become political and economic rivals, as geography, history, financial interests, security concerns, and shared values will necessitate continued close cooperation in some form for the foreseeable future. My bigger concern is the all-consuming nature of Brexit, which could prevent the U.K. especially and the EU from engaging effectively against international rivals. Brexit already dominates debates in London, with a divided Cabinet and parliament having limited bandwidth to engage on global challenges. Even if the U.K. parliament ratifies a Brexit deal, the two sides must then embark on equally complicated and domestically contentious negotiations about their future relationship. In some form, Brexit will afflict Europe for years and risks detracting attention from emerging threats.
Walking away from Brexit with no deal doesn’t mean that nothing happens. It means you have significant rupture in all the existing arrangements.
Although Europeans will welcome the restoration of [the EU ambassador's] diplomatic status and move forward, this unfortunate incident has reinforced the diminishing trust in the trans-Atlantic relationship.
Europe, multilateralism, and great power competition
There’s no majority in [the U.K.] Parliament for anything...The most fearsome possibility [for Brexit] seems to be “no deal.”