Geoffrey Gertz is a post-doctoral research fellow in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution and a research associate at the Global Economic Governance Programme at the University of Oxford. His research focuses on international political economy, particularly the politics of trade and foreign investment, investor-state dispute settlement, commercial diplomacy, and private sector development in fragile states. His academic research has been published in International Studies Quarterly and World Development, while his policy work has been featured in The Washington Post, Vox, and The Hill, as well as in numerous policy briefs and op-eds for the Brookings Institution and Oxford’s Global Economic Governance Programme. He has briefed American and European policymakers on international trade and investment policy. Prior to completing his Ph.D., he worked as a speechwriter to World Bank President Jim Yong Kim.
Originally from Ottawa, Canada, he received an M.Phil. and D.Phil. (Ph.D.) in international relations from the University of Oxford, and a B.A. in economics from DePauw University.
Geoffrey Gertz is a post-doctoral research fellow in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution and a research associate at the Global Economic Governance Programme at the University of Oxford. His research focuses on international political economy, particularly the politics of trade and foreign investment, investor-state dispute settlement, commercial diplomacy, and private sector development in fragile states. His academic research has been published in International Studies Quarterly and World Development, while his policy work has been featured in The Washington Post, Vox, and The Hill, as well as in numerous policy briefs and op-eds for the Brookings Institution and Oxford’s Global Economic Governance Programme. He has briefed American and European policymakers on international trade and investment policy. Prior to completing his Ph.D., he worked as a speechwriter to World Bank President Jim Yong Kim.
Originally from Ottawa, Canada, he received an M.Phil. and D.Phil. (Ph.D.) in international relations from the University of Oxford, and a B.A. in economics from DePauw University.
There is certainly scope to pursue China through the WTO and there is a lot the U.S. could be doing that we haven’t done. But the business community remains very nervous about wide-ranging tariffs.
When you look at the Trump trade policy, there’s a clear pattern that we’ve seen, which is very aggressive, very dramatic rhetoric in the announcement, and then when it comes time to actually implement the policy, it’s much more toned down and much more in line with historical U.S. trade enforcement policy.
The long-term game for Airbus and Boeing is figuring out what they are going to do about COMAC [the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China].
If we think back to original ISDS, the kinds of disputes they often had was a nationalist government coming in and saying, "Foreign investors, we are taking over this mine, you know, it is ours. We’re kicking you out of the country. We might be throwing you in jail.”
The pace of economic globalization may slow, but this isn’t necessarily cause for great concern; the “bicycle theory” that globalization must continually be marching forward lest it come to a crashing halt is a cute metaphor, but there is little empirical evidence to suggest it’s true
It is still in Japan’s strategic interest to keep alluding to the need to keep the ideas behind the TPP alive.