The One Child Policy Turns 30: China’s New Population Challenges
Faced with growing concerns over the potential economic and social cost of an anticipated population explosion, China’s state planners in 1980 introduced a controversial law – known in the United States as the “one child policy” – that placed strict limits on the number of children a couple was allowed to have. While the role played by the population controls is subject to some debate, China’s policymakers are now confronted by a new demographic challenge: a rapidly aging population that threatens to strain the social safety net and disrupt labor markets. In a sign of the government’s shifting priorities, some localities in China are now taking tentative steps to relax the population controls and in some cases are even encouraging couples to have additional children.
On October 4, the John L. Thornton China Center at Brookings hosted a discussion of China’s looming demographic challenges and the social and economic impact of the one child policy. Senior Fellow Kenneth Lieberthal, director of the John L. Thornton China Center, provided introductory remarks and moderated the discussion. After the program, panelists took audience questions.
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A big question going forward is '[is China] going to use the same tools to keep it at two [children] as they used for one?' which were quite abusive and in effect were human-rights violations, particularly in rural areas. Coercing pregnant women into abortions if they'd already had one kid, early on forcing them to have sterilizations at least in some parts of China. It was really nasty. Over time, as there was more prosperity, people were more willing and able to pay the fines that were charged, but this will help get the state out of the bedroom up to a point.