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BPEA Article

The Cyclical Behavior of the Gross Flows of U.S. Workers



THE U.S. LABOR MARKET is characterized by high rates of job creation and job destruction, and by large flows of workers into and out of employment. In a previous paper, we developed a conceptual framework to interpret the dynamic behavior of both the levels, or stocks, of employment, unemployment, and vacancies as well as the flows into and out of these states. At that time, we focused only on the behavior of stocks without examining the behavior of the flows themselves. In this paper, we intend to rectify that by refining and extending the pictures both of job creation and destruction, and of the flows of workers sketched in our earlier paper.


Robert E. Hall

Robert and Carole McNeil Joint Hoover Senior Fellow and Professor of Economics - Stanford University

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