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Rivalry and Response

Assessing Great Power Dynamics in Southeast Asia

Jonathan Stromseth
Release Date: February 16, 2021

Southeast Asia has become a hotbed of strategic rivalry between China and the United States. China is asserting its influence in the region through economic statecraft and far-reaching efforts to secure its sovereignty claims in the South China Sea, while the United States has promoted a Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy that explicitly challenges China’s expanding influence—warning other countries that Beijing is practicing predatory economics and advancing governance concepts associated with rising authoritarianism in the region.

In this timely volume, leading experts from Southeast Asia, Australia, and the United States assess these great power dynamics by examining the strategic landscape, domestic governance trends, and economic challenges in Southeast Asia, with the latter focusing especially on infrastructure. Among other findings, the authors express concern that U.S. policy has become too concentrated on defense and security, to the detriment of diplomacy and development, allowing China to fill the soft power vacuum and capture the narrative through its signature Belt and Road Initiative. The COVID-19 pandemic has only increased the policy challenges for Washington as China recovers faster from the outbreak, reinforcing its already advantaged economic position and advancing its strategic goals as a result.

As the Biden administration begins to formulate its strategy for the region, it would do well to consider these findings and the related policy recommendations that appear in this volume. Much is at stake for U.S. foreign policy and American interests. Southeast Asia includes two U.S. allies in Thailand and the Philippines, important security partners like Singapore, and key emerging partners such as Vietnam and Indonesia. Almost 42,000 U.S. companies export to the 10 countries that comprise the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), supporting about 600,000 jobs in the United States, but America’s economic standing is increasingly at risk.

Praise for Rivalry and Response

“Taken together this volume provides a set of persuasive arguments backed up by sound empirical evidence. Relations between regional middle powers, including Australia and ASEAN have generally been under-researched as much of the work in the field tends to focus on the major powers. This body of scholarship is therefore a welcome addition to the literature.”
—Le Dinh Tinh, Contemporary Southeast Asia

Authors

Jonathan R. Stromseth is a senior fellow and Lee Kuan Yew Chair at the Brookings Institution, where he specializes in Southeast Asian politics and U.S. Asia policy. He previously served on the secretary of state’s policy planning staff, advising the State Department’s leadership on China, Southeast Asia, and East Asian and Pacific affairs.


Media Coverage

The Diplomat 27/04/2021

Jonathan Stromseth on Southeast Asia’s Great Power Dynamics

Nikkei Asia 17/02/2021

US must urgently rethink its economic policies in Asia

BOOK REVIEW: Rivalry and Response: Assessing Great Power Dynamics in Southeast Asia, edited by Jonathan R. Stromseth