China

China doesn’t particularly want India to succeed. A weaker India will do less strategically in its own neighborhood, allowing China to step in more; and it will engage less in places like East Africa or in regional institutions, posing little challenge to China.

[On India-China border dispute] This kind of territory is incredibly hard to hold, but also to move multiple troops over... So it’s not considered to be something that just happened on the ground. It’s clearly a decision made by the Chinese at a more senior level.