Senior fellow Stephen Cohen spoke at a meeting of the National Academy of Science’s Committee on International Security and Arms Control (CISAC) in Beijing, China, in early December. In his first presentation, Cohen discussed the three phases of nuclear proliferation, the important characteristics and consequences of nuclear proliferation over the next four to ten years, and the policy instruments for the control and prevention of nuclear proliferation.
The question with this administration is, what will Trump see as an acceptable return for this waiver [granted to India for its trade with Russia and Iran]? Will he demand a transaction in return, some give on the trade side or a big defence deal for the US as well? Russia and Iran are sticking points, but the fact that the Trump administration is dealing with these privately is a sign of how much the relationship has changed. [Mr Trump] usually doesn’t give out freebies.