Will China Liberalize Its Grain Trade? – Appendix

Table 1-1. China’s Grain Exports (1000 tons unless otherwise specified)

Source: China Custom Statistics, China Statistics Yearbook, and FAO Statistics (various years). [Back]

Table 1-2. China’s Grain Imports (1000 tons)

Source: China Custom Statistics, China Statistics Yearbook, and FAO Statistics (various years). [Back]

Table 1-3. The Supply Structure of China’s Wheat Imports (% by weight)

Source: China Custom Statistics (1985, 1993-97). Computed by the author. [Back]

Table 1-4. The Impact of Wheat Imports on China’s Domestic Market (10000 tons)

Source: China Rural Statistics Yearbook Statistics (1996). China Custom Commercializing rate is calculated based on the data of State Planning Committee and State Statistics Bureau. C=A*B, E=C+D, H=G/F*100% [Back]

Table 1-5. Regressive Analysis of Wheat Imports and Price

Source: computed by the author. [Back]

Table 2-1. China’s Per Capita Food Consumption (Kilograms)

Source: China Ministry of Agriculture, China Agriculture Development Report (1996); China State Statistics Bureau, China Statistics Yearbook (1997). [Back]

*Raw grain for the rural people and trade grain for the urban people. The converting ratio of 100kg raw grain to equivalent trade grain is 79kg in 1981, 78kg in 1982, 77kg in 1983, 76kg in 1984 and 74.16kg in the subsequent years.

Table 2-2. China’s Per Capita Raw Grain Consumption (Kilograms)

Source: China Statistics Yearbook (1989-1996), cited from Yang Xie, “Grain Issue in the Process of Urbanization in China,” Working Paper (Beijing: Development Research Center, 1998). [Back]

Table 2-3. Grain Demand in China, 1981-96 (10,000 tons)

Source: Guoqing Long, China: Grain Circulation in Opening Economy (Beijing: China Development Press, 1999). [Back]

Table 2-4. Projections for Grain Demand in China (Million tons)

Source: Author’s estimate; Information Office, “On China’s Grain Issue,” Government White Paper (The State Council of PR.China, 1996); See Table 2-2 for Yang Xie (1998); The World Bank (1997); for IFPRI, MW Rosegrant et al., Global Food Projections to 2020: Implications for Investment, food, Agriculture, and Environment, Discussion Paper 5 (Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute, 1995); Justin Lin et al., “Chinese Agriculture: Policies and Performance,” Agriculture and trade in China and India, ed. T.N. Srinivasan (San Francisco, California: Institute for Contemporary Studies, 1994). [Back]
(a) The data is for trade grain, equivalent to 687 million tons of raw grain.
(b) International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)’s estimate includes only food grain and feed grain. Adding “other” grain, the total estimate will be 587 million tons (World Bank, 1997).
(c) Not including estimates on feed grain.

Table 2-5. China’s Potential Import Need for Grain (Million tons)

[Back]

Table 3-1. International Experience of Agricultural Labor Transformation

Source: The World Bank, http://www.worldbank.org/data/databytopic/databytopic.html. [Back]

Table 3-2. China-US trade on Agricultural Goods in 1997 (Billions of U.S. dollars)

Source: China Custom Statistics, monthly report, 12th issue, 1997. [Back]