Early Election Forecast

July 14, 2011

Democrats won special elections in both Wisconsin and California on Tuesday, but Thomas Mann explains that neither outcome portends what might happen in 2012. Wisconsin’s recall elections were triggered against six Republican state senators over the state’s contentious collective bargaining law. Janice Hahn won California’s special election to fill the congressional seat vacated by Jane Harman by 9 points, a lower margin than expected.