The big question is whether [Turkish President Recep Tayyip] Erdoğan significantly changes his ways or if he doubles down. It’s hard to think of historical examples where leaders who have become more authoritarian suddenly turn around and liberalize, but Erdoğan has proven himself to be a very clever, pragmatic politician. It’s not impossible that he finds a way to turn this around.
It has been very clear that there has not been a policy process on anything. The president makes a decision, the advisers scramble to implement it. That’s what contributes to all of this chaos and confusion.