U.S.-Japan relations: Policy challenges for the Biden administration (Part 2: Economics, trade, COVID-19, climate, infrastructure and connectivity)
US-Japan relations: Policy challenges for the Biden administration (Part 1: National security and politics)
The future of Asia: Charting a roadmap for US engagement and leadership
US-Taiwan policy in 2021 and beyond
Prospects for US-South Korea cooperation in an era of US-China strategic competition
What worries me about Kim Jong Un is that the threat perception of North Korea has declined quite a bit since 2017... The absence of tough talk from Kim Jong Un and the absence of big demonstrations of nuclear tests and intercontinental ballistic missile testing lull us into a view that maybe Kim Jong Un is not dangerous after all... North Korea has between 20 to 60 nuclear weapons. Kim Jong Un has conducted four times more ballistic missile tests than his father and his grandfather combined... We have to assume that they have succeeded and are close to or have achieved that miniaturization... Kim requires a hostile outside world, and he’s going to convey that to his people through his propaganda. What we can reliably predict is that it’s just a matter of time before we have another strategic provocation.
Liberal order undone? Japan’s leadership role after Prime Minister Abe
A nuclear or ICBM test by North Korea would provide an opportunity for the new administration to highlight the threat that the Kim regime poses and try to build some consensus or agreement with our allies on a coherent North Korea policy... That is, don’t let a good crisis go to waste.