Economic mobility and opportunity were the themes of the day for President Barack Obama’s fifth State of the Union Speech. Invoking the middle class and smarter tax policies, the president offered a significant number of policy pearls which many of my Brookings colleagues will expand upon. I want to highlight one of his major policy goals: raising the minimum wage.
Raising the minimum wage is deeply personal to me—my parents came to this country and were excited to earn a minimum wage. I eventually found my way to working for Senator Kennedy within months of him delivering a passionate floor speech on the minimum wage over six years ago.
The minimum wage has not kept pace with inflation and the rate of growth of other consumer prices, thus creating the disparity that exists:
1950 minimum wage: $0.75/hour
Gallon of gas: $0.27
Movie Ticket: $0.50
1970 minimum wage: $1.60/hour
Gallon of Gas: $0.36
Movie Ticket: $1.55
1990 minimum wage: $3.80/hour
Gallon of Gas: $1.13
Movie Ticket: $4.25
2014 minimum wage: $7.25/hour
Gallon of Gas: $ 3.20
Movie Ticket: $10.50
Now these numbers may not mean much, but here is even more context: even though the housing crash may have made rents more affordable in some parts of the country, many people working full time jobs at minimum wage still can’t afford rent and have enough money to buy groceries much less have anything saved for their family, children, etc.
The president’s executive order to increase the minimum wage for federal workers to $10.10 an hour has received some criticism already since it won’t be uniform in its effect and doesn’t change national policy, but it does have the potential to affect up to 250,000 federal workers and contractors who currently make below $10.10 an hour. And given the stalemate in Congress, it might be the only way to make such a change before the end of Obama’s time in office.
Since I am a physician, adding a healthcare context to all of this is even more important—even with health insurance, a copayment for a doctor’s visit can be as high as $40, or approximately 5.52 hours of work at a minimum wage. Add to that copayments for drugs, hospital stays, emergency room visits, and even if you don’t hit the annual limits for out of pocket spending recently put in place by the Affordable Care Act, you can still find yourself destitute and robbed of any chance at economic mobility.
What the president’s speech teaches us is how intimately connected wage earnings are to every aspect of our lives: health, education, aging and more. As the president’s policy change looms in the shadows of another deficit/debt ceiling negotiation and unemployment insurance extension, I hope that we can find another magical moment much like what we witnessed tonight with Army Ranger Cory Remsburg when sustained applause was for just one moment able to overcome the partisan cynicism of our nation.
Sentiment inside the Beltway has turned sharply against China. There are many issues where the two parties sound more or less the same. Trump and others in the administration seem heavily invested in a ‘get very tough with China’ stance. It’s possible that some Democrats might argue that a decoupling strategy borders on lunacy. But if Trump believes this will play well with his core constituencies as his reelection campaign moves into high gear, he will probably decide to stick with it, if the costs and the collateral damage seem manageable. But that’s a very big if, especially if the downsides of a protracted trade war for both American consumers and for American firms become increasingly apparent.