With the June 9 passage of new United Nations Security Council sanctions against Iran, the Obama administration achieved an important milestone in its efforts to put pressure on Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions. What is less clear, however, is whether this achievement makes the prospect of a nuclear Iran more or less likely.
The product of six months of frenzied diplomacy and Washington’s painstaking cultivation of Moscow and Beijing, the resolution offers a modest intensification of three previous Security Council measures to persuade Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment programme enacted under the Bush administration’s watch. This latest round of sanctions adds curbs on conventional arms sales and an array of hortatory language intended to facilitate the adoption of more severe penalties by the European Union and other American allies.
Still, its principal virtue appears to be its mere passage, temporarily put in doubt last month by an 11th-hour Iranian diplomatic gambit involving Turkey and Brazil. In fending off the aspiring powers’ proposal to remove some of Iran’s low-enriched uranium – an offer Hillary Clinton, US secretary of state, deemed a mere ploy – Washington managed to maintain the backing of major world powers for new pressure and make good on its warnings to Tehran and other would-be proliferators that, as President Barack Obama moralised on Wednesday, “actions have consequences”.
Read the full article at ft.com » (Registration required)
Erdoğan clearly has a strong personal interest in [Reza] Zarrab’s case, as he has raised it at the highest levels of both the Obama and Trump administrations. U.S. judicial proceedings could also hurt the Turkish economy. Since much of Erdoğan’s popularity resulted from his successful economic reforms, his domestic political support would be undermined by a downturn.