So is the Turkish model falling apart? Will the faultlines running through society lead to more instability, violence and repression? A grim scenario is possible. But I believe that it is also possible that a real Turkish model will emerge from recent events.
First, the social movement that spread from the big cities to the entire country has been broad and inclusive. The protests have unleashed a feeling of empowerment. A core of secular but largely apolitical youth was joined by observant Muslims, mid-career professionals, factory workers and many others. A muezzin at a mosque near Istanbul’s Taksim Square told the police they could not arrest any of the young people who had taken refuge there.
The demonstrators have remained largely peaceful and many have tried to clean up the streets after each day of action. On June 4, the holy Kandil night of the Muslim calendar, many non-practising young activists prayed with the practising ones. Moreover, the picture of a couple who had just got married, the bride in a beautiful white dress, walking down a street to the applause of protesters, was one of happiness, not despair. The central message of the activists has not been that they want to topple the government or impose anything on anybody. They want to be free to live the way they see fit, drinking or not drinking, holding hands in public or not, dressing the way they want to dress. An impressive respect has been shown for individual freedom, diversity and nature.
President Abdullah Gul issued conciliatory statements, stressing that democracy is not a regime that consists of simply winning elections and imposing the will of a majority on all.
Second, some senior members of the governing Justice and Development party quickly admitted that excessive force had been used. President Abdullah Gul issued conciliatory statements, stressing that democracy is not a regime that consists of simply winning elections and imposing the will of a majority on all. Bulent Arinc, deputy prime minister, apologised for the aggressive use of tear gas by the police. While some conservative columnists called the young people hooligans manipulated by foreign agents, other conservatives called for restraint and understanding for some of the demands of the demonstrators.
There is now the opportunity to build what could turn out to be the real Turkish model. A large proportion of secular young people have shown that they respect the beliefs and style of living of their more religious sisters and brothers – something previous generations often failed to do. They do not want a return to the period when young women were barred from universities for wearing headscarves. If conservatives and observant citizens, in their majority, truly accept that many others want to live their spirituality in their own independent way, and if the ruling party realises that it cannot govern effectively without consent of a much larger majority, then Turkey will finally produce a conservative party that is a Muslim equivalent of European Christian Democrats. The left-of-centre opposition too has to embrace fully the diversity that makes up the country, and become a vibrant alternative. If that happens, Turkey could truly set an example for others.
The coming years are crucial. I am optimistic because recent events show a young country looking forward, but also because of the deep-rooted message of tolerance and universalism carried across centuries in the memory and writings of great figures of Anatolian Islam such as Mevlana Rumi, Yunus Emre or Haci Bektas. Finally, the continued respect shown to the memory of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, the founder of modern Turkey, reflects the great progress on the difficult road to modernity, women’s rights and prosperity that the republic has already achieved.
[Trump has] given Iran the moral high ground and that is an exceptionally difficult thing to do given the history and reality of Iran's misdeeds at home and in the region. It's just malpractice on the part of an American president.
The way the Trump administration is moving forward [with its Iran policy] is just so hostile to all aspects of Iran that it’s unlikely to produce any traction with the Iranian people or to encourage divisions within the system.
The intent of [any U.S. action] to do with the IRGC is basically to cast a very broad shadow over sectors of the Iranian economy and exacerbate the compliance nightmare for foreign businesses that may be considering trade and investment with Iran.