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On the Record

The Black Swan: Camp David Collapse

Tamara Cofman Wittes

Brookings Foreign Policy experts have come together to create a series of policy memos addressing the “big bets”—opportunities to strengthen President Obama’s second term—and “black swans,” the low probability, high-impact events that could derail the administration’s priorities. These were released at a public event on Thursday, January 17. Senior Fellow Tamara Wittes says if the Camp David Peace Treaty between Egypt and Israel did unravel, the repercussions from this “Black Swan” issue would be of great concern and widely felt.

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