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Past Event

Slow growth in productivity: Causes, consequences, and policies

After nearly a decade of strong productivity growth starting in the mid-1990s, there has been much slower growth since then.  Output per hour worked in the US business sector has grown at only 1.3 percent a year over the period 2004 to 2015; and growth has been even slower from 2010 to 2015, at just 0.5 percent a year.  These rates are only half or less of the pace of growth achieved in the past.  The United States is not alone in facing this problem, as all of the major advanced economies have also seen slow productivity growth.  This growth weakness has been a major determinant of weak overall GDP growth, stagnation in real wages and household incomes and it strongly impacts government revenues and the deficit.

On September 8, 2016 the Initiative on Business and Public Policy and the Hutchins Center hosted a series of roundtable discussions of technical issues surrounding the productivity slowdown.

On September 9, 2016, we hosted a public event on the policy implications of the growth slowdown, where Martin Baily presented an overview paper on the causes of the slowdown, followed by a panel discussion on the most effective policies to enhance productivity performance. Click here for more information on Friday’s program.


Session 1

Is the slowdown real or just mis-measured?

Chad Syverson

George C. Tiao Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, - University of Chicago Booth School of Business


with remarks from Martin Feldstein

Martin Feldstein

George F. Baker Professor of Economics - Harvard University

President Emeritus - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Session 2

What do the microdata show?

John Haltiwanger

Dudley and Louisa Dillard Professor of Economics and Distinguished University Professor of Economics - University of Maryland


Session 3

Perspectives from overseas

Closing Remarks


More Information

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