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Cross-Strait crossroads: Pathways for America’s Taiwan policy

Leading experts consider a range of future U.S. policy approaches toward Taiwan.

For three-quarters of a century, Washington, Taipei, and Beijing have shown that adaptive statecraft can prevent crises from becoming conflicts. As the security environment in the Taiwan Strait grows increasingly contested, the Center for Asia Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution and RAND’s China Research Center organized a series of workshops with leading experts to consider a range of future U.S. policy approaches toward Taiwan. These workshops produced policy briefs that explored U.S. priorities regarding Taiwan, options for limiting U.S. commitments while expanding Taiwan’s self-defense capabilities, options for calibrating diplomacy to stabilize cross-Strait dynamics, the merits and risks of a more active denial strategy, and the feasibility and consequences of a policy shift toward strategic clarity. While these policy briefs represent differing perspectives and policy options, they clearly illustrate where the expert community agrees and disagrees and where further examination is needed.

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Adapting US Taiwan policy for a new strategic reality

Recommendations from Brookings–RAND workshop series
Taiwan's flag is seen on the tower of the Presidential Office in Taipei on January 13, 2021, as a planned trip to Taiwan by the United States' UN ambassador Kelly Craft was scrapped in line with the US State Department cancelling trips abroad ahead of Joe Biden's auguration.

Authors: Ryan Hass, Jude Blanchette

Washington, Taipei, and Beijing have been navigating tensions in the Taiwan Strait for three quarters of a century.

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Thinking through America’s baseline priorities on Taiwan

U.S. President Donald Trump (R) shakes hands with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) CEO C.C. Wei in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on March 3, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Authors: Kharis Templeman

U.S. strategy should seek to clarify the vital American interests at stake in Taiwan to the American people, to Beijing, to partners and allies, and to the Taiwanese people themselves.

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A strategy for staying out: Recalibrating US support to Taiwan

Coast Guard Special Task Unit (STU), an elite unit within the Taiwanese Coast Guard Administration, responsible for high-risk operations like counter-terrorism, anti-smuggling, and air-sea rescue, prepare to board a "hijacked" vessel taking part in the "Sea Safety No.12" exercises during a maritime drill in Kaohsiung on June 8, 2025.

Authors: Jennifer Kavanagh

China’s massive military buildup has shifted the cross-Strait military balance in Beijing’s favor, dramatically raising the costs and risks of a U.S. intervention to defend Taiwan.

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The role of diplomacy in US management of cross-Strait relations

Taiwan's Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung answers questions from media during an international press briefing in Taipei on July 19, 2024.

Authors: Bonnie S. Glaser

Peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait are vital to U.S. national security, economic prosperity, and global credibility.

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Paint it black: An asymmetric approach to China’s gray zone coercion of Taiwan

Air Force Patriot missile systems are deployed at a local park during Taiwan's annual Han Kuang military exercise in Taipei on July 11, 2025.

Authors: David Sacks

The United States has a long-standing, vital strategic interest in preventing a rival power from dominating Asia.

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The case for greater clarity and less ambiguity in the Taiwan Strait

Taiwanese soldiers pose for a photo in front of inscriptions reading "immediate action" as Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te visits the troops taking part in the Rapid Response Exercise at the Songshan military airbase in Taipei on March 21, 2025.

Authors: Matthew Turpin

Over the past decade, relations between the United States and China shifted from what looked to be a fragile partnership into a hostile rivalry.

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