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BPEA | 1975 No. 3

The 1972-75 Commodity Boom

Richard N. Cooper and
RNC
Richard N. Cooper
Robert Z. Lawrence
RZL
Robert Z. Lawrence
Discussants: Barry P. Bosworth and
Barry P. Bosworth Senior Fellow Emeritus - Economic Studies

Hendrik S. Houthakker
HSH
Hendrik S. Houthakker

1975, No. 3


AN EXTRAORDINARY increase in commodity prices occurred in 1973-74. Even leaving aside crude oil as a special case, primary commodity prices on one index more than doubled between mid-1972 and mid-1974, while the prices of some individual commodities, such as sugar and urea (nitrogenous fertilizer), rose more than five times. While the timing differed from commodity to commodity, the sharp upward movement was widespread, affecting virtually all commodities. Most rose dramatically to twenty-year highs, and many went to historical highs. (This is not the innocuous statement it would be for manufactures, whose prices have been subject to a slow upward creep; many commodities had lower prices in 1970 than they did in 1953.)

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