U.S. spending on foreign policy has declined about far enough. Additional cuts still planned under the 1997 balanced budget agreement would go too far. Fortunately, those cuts are likely to be rethought in light of the newfound federal budget surplus.
The 1999 defense budget calls for spending $270 billion—down $50 billion from the Cold War average (and down $100 billion from the 1980s average) in real dollar terms. In 2002, under the balanced budget accord negotiated by Congress and the White House in 1997, annual defense spending is slated to go down yet further—to $255 billion (in terms of constant 1999 dollars). Relative cuts in international spending over the 1990s have been nearly as large as these defense cuts. The 1998 budget for development aid, support for the United Nations, U.S. diplomatic efforts abroad, and security aid to the Middle East, Bosnia, and Russia is about $18 billion—down from an average of more than $20 billion since the 1960s (and some $23 billion in the 1980s). And the decline continues, with projected real spending in 2002 of $17 billion.
Kim Jong-un appears to believe that he can sustain and enhance his weapons programs without major impediments or severe consequences. The United States must impart to Kim that his beliefs are objectionable and wholly contrary to U.S. interests, and that they will be opposed in word and in deed.