Reuters/Rick Wilking - A job seeker talks to an exhibitor at the Colorado Hospital Association health care career fair in Denver April 9, 2013.

Blog Post

Unemployment Likely To Fall to 7.2% in September, With Smaller Gains Going Forward

October 3, 2013, Regis Barnichon

In the latest unemployment rate forecast of the Barnichon-Nekarda model, Regis Barnichon predicts that the decline in the unemployment rate will continue, bringing it to 7.2% for September 2013.

  • In the News

    The bottom line is, the women's situation [in Japan] is not going to improve until you address more fundamental equity issues.

    September 10, 2013, Mireya Solís, Los Angeles Times
  • In the News

    The suburbs were created to house the new middle class in the 20th century, but the economy they were built around is vanishing. In the 21st century most of the good jobs are in the cities.

    June 7, 2013, Bruce Katz, Financial Times
  • In the News

    Really the location of employment relates to a number of different issues that affect the long term health, inclusivity, and sustainability of metropolitan areas.

    May 7, 2013, Elizabeth Kneebone, North Country Public Radio
  • In the News

    We've been in a very, very slow recovery now since 2009 and what we've been seeing is a very, very slow decline in the unemployment rate... increases in employment that barely keep up with the growth of the population.

    May 3, 2013, William T. Dickens, Yahoo! News
  • In the News

    The jobs that are growing fastest are jobs that don't pay very high wages. Lower-wage jobs are among the most suburbanized.

    April 23, 2013, Elizabeth Kneebone, The Huffington Post
  • In the News

    15 years ago in this country, we thought that [telecommuting] was the death of distance and that it was just going to ruin cities and we didn't see that at all. We see that people really do benefit from face-to-face conversations. Face-to-face conversations are going to be critical for many, many metropolitan jobs. There are many jobs that will require you to be face-to-face. Telecommuting does have a role [but] it's not going to solve all of our problems.

    March 10, 2013, Robert Puentes, WTOP Washington
  • In the News

    The number of unemployed continues to shrink, and job gains entirely in the private sector continue to be fast enough so that we can be whittling down the problem of both long-term unemployment and regular unemployment.

    March 9, 2013, Gary Burtless, National Public Radio
  • In the News

    [Washington, DC's reliance on goverment is] a relatively less dangerous addiction than others. Diversification can never be sold until it’s too late. Complexity breeds resilience. It’s true in natural systems, and it’s true in economics.

    March 7, 2013, Mark Muro, Washington Post
  • In the News

    We don't want to promote a zero-sum competition between regions in the U.S. If we want to focus on advanced manufacturing, as we should, I think the moderately high-tech industries are a good place to start. When companies are clustered together it tends to attract the kind of skilled labor force that they need and attract the suppliers that they do business with.

    February 25, 2013, Howard Wial, ChicagoBusiness.com
  • In the News

    In a way, Colorado was by virtue of its older economy a more equal place than the rest of the United States. But it's just picked up in droves these elements of the national economy and it's now more like a caricature of the United States in terms of the imbalance between the high end and the low end—where the high end is disproportionately employing highly educated whites and the low is probably employing disproportionately, less educated Latinos and African Americans.

    January 21, 2013, Alan Berube, I-News Network

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