Access to outer space and space-derived data is becoming increasingly important to the national and economic security of the United States and its allies. Yet that access is increasingly at risk due to the growth of orbital debris and the development of anti-satellite capabilities by potential adversaries like Russia and China. The United States will need a comprehensive strategy in order to manage this increasingly congested and contested environment. A key element of that strategy should be the development of effective bilateral and multilateral norms of behavior in outer space.
Over the past decade, the Bush, Obama, and Trump administrations have all supported the development of such norms of behavior. Moving forward, the United States should:
- pursue non-legally binding norms of behavior;
- consult closely with allies and partners;
- engage potential adversaries such as Russia and China;
- aim to reduce the risk of miscalculation among major spacefaring powers;
- advance practical measures that seek to maintain the long-term sustainability of the outer space environment;
- and continue working closely with commercial actors.
[On the possibility of ongoing secret negotiations between the U.S. and North Korea] I am always wondering if my chain is being yanked. It could also mean Kim is trying to undermine Moon, who positions himself as a broker between the U.S. and North Korea. These two potential explanations are not mutually exclusive.