More than 50 global leaders will meet in Seoul, South Korea next week to advance talks on nuclear security. While the first Nuclear Security Summit was held in Washington in 2010 and laid the foundation for securing the world’s loose nuclear materials, next week’s talks will likely be impacted by North Korea’s planned satellite launch in April. Still, the talks should produce some sort of an accord, notes Senior Fellow Jonathan Pollack.
[On President Moon Jae-in's definition of a 'red line' for North Korea] The only way we will know definitively that North Korea actually has a nuclear-armed missile that works is to demonstrate this capability...It would be considered an act of war which others would see as justifying preemption, and retaliation if preemption or missile defense did not work.
[U.S. military capabilities in the Pacific are] very imposing, very impressive [and are intended] to deter the North from any kind of potential actions. But if the North were to act, the U.S...would have to deploy far more to the peninsula and the region as quickly as possible.
[So far there have been no efforts to evacuate U.S. citizens living in South Korea.] That would be the clearest indication that we were headed toward war. And I don't think we are.