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Lebanon’s Presidential Election: Make or Break?

Bilal Y. Saab

Key Points

  • The Lebanese presidential election on 25 September is a crucial event in the country’s recent political history, the outcome of which could have major implications for the future stability of Lebanon.
  • Paralysis continues to define the political landscape in Lebanon with little chance of the government and opposition reaching agreement on a compromise candidate before election day. International actors with a vested interest in the election’s outcome further complicate this.
  • A satisfactory outcome to the election depends on the unlikely resolution of heretofore intractable domestic issues and a number of stagnated international problems. The emergence of two parallel governments is a genuine possibility, as is a resurgence of politically motivated violence.

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    Author

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    Bilal Y. Saab

    Senior Research Assistant, Saban Center for Middle East Policy