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Lebanon’s Presidential Election: Make or Break?

Bilal Y. Saab
BYS
Bilal Y. Saab Senior Research Assistant, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

September 20, 2007

Key Points

  • The Lebanese presidential election on 25 September is a crucial event in the country’s recent political history, the outcome of which could have major implications for the future stability of Lebanon.

Paralysis continues to define the political landscape in Lebanon with little chance of the government and opposition reaching agreement on a compromise candidate before election day. International actors with a vested interest in the election’s outcome further complicate this.

A satisfactory outcome to the election depends on the unlikely resolution of heretofore intractable domestic issues and a number of stagnated international problems. The emergence of two parallel governments is a genuine possibility, as is a resurgence of politically motivated violence.

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