Metro Monitor - March 2013

About the MetroMonitor

How severe was the Great Recession in your area? How strongly have you rebounded? And how much farther does your region have to go until it has fully recovered? MetroMonitor tracks the performance of the 100 largest U.S. metropolitan areas on these questions, presenting data for four key indicators—jobs, unemployment, gross product, and home prices—over three time periods: the recession, the recovery, and the full course of the recession from the pre-recession period to most recent quarter. For each time period, we present rankings for each indicator (1 indicates the best performance, 100 the worst) as well as an “overall” ranking that reflects metro performance across the four indicators.

Overall ranks
Click on a metro area to select it; sort table by clicking on column headers

Indicators

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Total employment: Total wage and salary jobs, seasonally adjusted. Source: Moody’s Analytics.

Unemployment rate: Percentage of the labor force that was unemployed in the last month of the quarter, seasonally adjusted. For metro areas in New England these data are not published according to the standard county-based definitions of metro areas; consequently there are discrepancies between the geographies for which the unemployment data are published and the geographies underlying the other indicators. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Total output (gross product): Total value of goods and services produced in a metropolitan area. Commonly referred to as gross metropolitan product and analogous to GDP. Source: Moody's Analytics.

House prices: Prices of single-family properties whose mortgages have been purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index.

Overall: An index of the four key indicators–employment, unemployment, output, and house prices–which averages standardized performance scores for a given time period (see below). We present each metro area's rank on this measure, except for the most recent quarter.

Recent industry changes: Percent change in total employment and total output by industry. Source: Moody's Analytics.

Periods of analysis

We present changes in the four key indicators discussed above over four different time periods:

Recession: Pre-recession peak to the trough of the recession (peaks and troughs are specific to each metro area and indicator). Measures the severity of the recession in each metro area.

Recovery: Trough to the most recent quarter. Measures the pace of the recovery.

Amount recovered: Pre-recession peak to the most recent quarter. Measures the extent to which a metro area has recovered. For example, a metro area that has fully recovered would have no change on this metric, indicating it is exactly where it was when it entered the recession.

Most recent quarter: Change from the previous quarter to the current quarter, measuring the current growth trajectory.

Notes: In order to define troughs in each metro area, we first define peaks. For each of the four key indicators, a peak is defined as the highest level attained between the first quarter of 2004 (or in the case of house prices, 2005) and the second quarter of 2009; in some metro areas where this peak occurred in the second quarter of 2009, the peak was defined as the highest level attained between 2004 (or 2005) and the most recent quarter of losses prior to the second quarter of 2009. A trough is then defined as the lowest level reached since a peak.

More Information

For media inquiries:

Rachel Harvey

rharvey@brookings.edu

(202) 797-6073

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About the Metropolitan Policy Program

Created in 1996, the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program provides decision makers with cutting-edge research and policy ideas for improving the health and prosperity of cities and metropolitan areas including their component cities, suburbs, and rural areas. To learn more visit: www.brookings.edu/metro.

The Metropolitan Policy Program Leadership Council

The Metropolitan Policy Program is supported and informed by a network of leaders who strive every day to create the kind of healthy and vibrant communities that form the foundation of the U.S. economy. The Metropolitan Policy Program Leadership Council—a bipartisan network of individual, corporate, and philanthropic investors—comes from a broad array of metropolitan areas around the nation. Council members provide us financial support but, more importantly, are true intellectual and strategic partners. While many of these leaders act globally, they retain a commitment to the vitality of their local and regional communities, a rare blend that makes their engagement even more valuable. To learn more about the members of our Leadership Council, please go here.

Help

Select a metro area

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Metro area map
Click on a metro area to view its performance ranks for the time period you choose below

Ranks

1–20

21–40

41–60

61–80

81–100

Key national performance metrics
Recent changes in employment, unemployment, output, and house prices

Employment growth (from the previous quarter)

2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2
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Unemployment rate (last month of each quarter, seasonally adjusted)

2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2
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Output (GDP) growth (from the previous quarter, inflation-adjusted)

2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2
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Housing price growth (from the previous quarter, inflation-adjusted)

2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2
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In summary: Overall performance

Show national summary data for these indicators >>


Go to detailed profile >>

Employment

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Unemployment

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Output (GDP)

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House prices

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Rankings out of 100 largest metro areas

1–20

21–40

41–60

61–80

81–100

Employment changes by industry

Show changes in output >>

Indicator trends

U.S.

gray

= metro area recovery period

= metro area peak (start of decline, indicator-specific)

Employment

Total jobs (Q1 2004=100)

Unemployment rate

Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate

Output

Inflation-adjusted GDP (Q1 2004=100)

House prices

FHFA House Price Index, (Q1 2005=100)

SUMMARY

The latest edition of the MetroMonitor shows continued growth in employment and home prices in the fourth quarter of 2012, along with declining unemployment rates. Meanwhile, output was flat in the fourth quarter though is not expected to turn negative. Use our interactive feature to find detailed data on your metropolitan area.