Brookings on Job Numbers
June 8, 2015 12:17pm
Jonathan Wright discusses this month's job gains and their implications for the overall economy.
June 4, 2015 9:18am
Regis Barnichon provides his monthly jobs forecast using the Barnichon-Nekarda model, noting a positive outlook, and the model's prediction toward a large drop in unemployment.
Harry J. Holzer
May 8, 2015 1:14pm
Harry Holzer discusses how the jobs report brings some signs of optimism, albeit not not quite to the level of confidence we enjoyed late last year.
May 8, 2015 10:18am
Jonathan Wright argues that a longer window should be used to estimate seasonal effects and that using a different seasonal filter, known as the 3x9 filter, produces better results and more accurate forecasts.
May 5, 2015 3:30pm
The latest forecast of the unemployment rate by Regis Barnichon says the jobless rate will drop to 5.2 percent in April, then quickly decline to 4.5 percent by September.
April 3, 2015 12:01pm
Gary Burtless says March's disappointing payroll number is still comfortably above the level needed to keep the unemployment rate on a downward trajectory.
April 3, 2015 11:53am
Jonathan Wright explains why his model finds the economy gained 108,000 jobs last month, 18,000 fewer jobs than the BLS reported.
April 2, 2015 12:44am
Regis Barnichon predicts the unemployment rate will speed its decline into the fall.
March 6, 2015 11:44am
Gary Burtless says the latest employment report contains a few hints that the job market is still some distance from full employment and shows that nominal wage gains remain sluggish.
March 6, 2015 9:58am
Jonathan Wright's alternative seasonal adjustment model finds that the economy gained 241,000 jobs last month, 16,000 jobs fewer than the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the economy gained.
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Analysis on the monthly Employment Situation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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Senior Fellow, Economic Studies
The John C. and Nancy D. Whitehead Chair
Melissa S. Kearney
Director, The Hamilton Project
Senior Fellow, Economic Studies, The Hamilton Project
Benjamin H. Harris
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