---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  C:\Users\jstock\Dropbox\coronavirus\Code\BPEA_replication_code\SEIRD_control_v9.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  27 Jul 2020, 11:36:02

. set more off 

. set scheme s1color

. pause on

. ************************************************************************************
. * SEIRD_control_v9.do                    JS 5/2,...7/16/20
. *
. * Run estimated SEIRD with control
. *       Computes spread bands (parameter sensitivity bands)
. *  v3:  GDP calculation using Hulten
. *  v4:  updated PID controller, version for HELP seminar
. *  v5:  version for NBER WP (updated scenarios)
. *  v6:  updated for more accurate R0 formula
. *       SE bands for projections using est'd parms and delta method
. *  v7:  updated for final draft of BPEA paper
. *  v8:  final draft of BPEA paper (cleaned)
. *  v9:  Uncertainty bands are from IFR (.05 - .09)
. ************************************************************************************
. /* Handy calendar:
>       date       obsno
>     21feb2020       1  
>     01mar2020      10  
>     10mar2020      19  
>     15mar2020      24  
>     01apr2020      41  
>     15apr2020      55  
>     01may2020      71  
>     15may2020      85  
>     18may2020      88  
>     23may2020      93  
>     27may2020      97  
>     01jun2020     102  
>     08jun2020     109  
>     12jun2020     113  
>     15jun2020     116  
>     01jul2020     132  
>     15jul2020     146  
>     20jul2020     151  
>     01aug2020     163  
>     15aug2020     177  
>     24aug2020     186  
>     01sep2020     194  
>     15sep2020     208  
>     01oct2020     224  
>     15oct2020     238  
>     01nov2020     255  
>     15nov2020     269  
>     01dec2020     285  
>     15dec2020     299  
>     01jan2021     316  
> ************************************************************************************/
. 
. global outpath "../../Output/Epidemiology/Sheets"

. global figpath "figs"

. 
. do NLSEIRD_PID_v12  // SEIRD model with time-varying contact matrices, TV phi, and PID controller, for nl est
> n

. * Program NLSEIRD_PID
. *  SEIRD simulation with:
. *       time-varying contact matrices
. *       parameter estimation (command nl) over edates
. *       PID controller
. *       Estimation of intensity parameter (phi) for active NPI dates
. *       First date is Feb 21, 2020
. *  v12: Clean version for BPEA final draft
. *
. cap program drop nlseird_pid

. program nlseird_pid
  1.  version 16
  2.  syntax varlist(min=1 max=1) if, at(name)
  3.  local dout: word 1 of `varlist'
  4.  tempname I0 phi0 phi1 phi2 beta
  5.  scalar `I0' = 1000*`at'[1,1]
  6.  scalar `phi0' = `at'[1,2]
  7.  scalar `phi1' = `at'[1,3]
  8.  scalar `phi2' = `at'[1,4]
  9.  scalar `beta' = `at'[1,5]
 10.  mat list `at'
 11.  cap drop phifac et
 12.  gen phifac = 1
 13.  local tt = $nedate2 - 19
 14.  global tt = `tt'
 15.  gen et = _n-19
 16.   replace phifac = `phi0' + `phi1'*cos(_pi*(et+0.5)/`tt') + `phi2'*cos(_pi*2*(et+0.5)/`tt') in 19/$nedate2
>  // introduce measures on March 10 (obs 19)
 17.   replace phifac = normprob(phifac) in 19/$nedate2
 18.    qui su phifac in $nedate3/$nedate3 
 19.     qui replace phifac = r(mean) in $nedate3/l
 20.  *
.  local ndates $ndate_END
 21.  local nage = $nage
 22.  local gamma = $gamma
 23.  local sigma = $sigma
 24.  mat delta = J(`nage',1,0)
 25.  forvalues i = 1/`nage' {
 26.   mat delta[`i',1] = `gamma'*IFR[`i',1]/(1-IFR[`i',1])
 27.  }
 28.  local stepsperday = 10
 29. 
.  local DELTA = 1/`stepsperday'
 30.  mat S = J(`ndates',`nage',0)
 31.  mat E = S
 32.  mat I = S
 33.  mat R = S
 34.  mat D = S
 35.  mat Q = S
 36.  mat Dtot = J(`ndates',1,0)
 37.  mat In1 = `I0'*I00
 38.  mat En1 = 4*In1
 39.  mat Sn1 = Nvec - In1 - En1
 40.  mat Rn1 = J(`nage',1,0)
 41.  mat Dn1 = J(`nage',1,0)
 42.  mat Qn1 = J(`nage',1,0)
 43.  mat r0 = J(`ndates',1,0)
 44.  mat r0_approx = J(`ndates',1,0)
 45.  mat cfacc = J(`ndates',1,1)
 46.  mat maxReval = maxReval_input
 47.  mat lshock = lshock_npi
 48.  *mat lshare = lshare_npi
.  mat gdp = lshock[1...,1..66]*psi
 49.  mat emp0 = J(1,rowsof(emp_count_tot),1)*emp_count_tot
 50.   global emp0 = emp0[1,1]
 51.  mat unrate = J(`ndates',1,1) - lshock[1..`ndates',1...]*emp_count_tot/$emp0
 52.  mat g = J(68,1,0)
 53.  local ndate_PIDm1 = $nedate3
 54.  local ndate_PIDmin = 52 // set worst-case hours to be hours in April Establishment Survey (obs 52 = 12Apr
> 2020)
 55.  forvalues d = 1/`ndates' {
 56.   if $nage==1 {
 57.    mat cmat = maxReval[`d'] // for 1-age model, sequence of NPIs is reduced to scalar
 58.    if npimat[`d',1]<1 {
 59.      mat cmat = `phi0'*cmat
 60.    }
 61.   }
 62.   if $nage>1 {
 63.    if PID[`d',1]==0 {
 64.    * Historical component (for estimation) before controller
.    * today's contact matrix
.     mat cwork = J(5,5,0)
 65.     mat cother = J(5,5,0)
 66.     mat chome = J(5,5,0)
 67.     forvalues a = 1/5 {
 68.      mat cwork[`a',1]  = cmwx`a'[`d']*cnwork_mean[`a',1...] 
 69.          mat cother[`a',1] = cmox`a'[`d']*cother_mean[`a',1...]
 70.      mat chome[`a',1]  = cmhx`a'[`d']*chome_mean[`a',1...]
 71.     }
 72.     mat cmat = ($hHH + (1-$hHH)*phifac[`d'])*chome + phifac[`d']*(cother + cwork)
 73.    }
 74.   }
 75.   if PID[`d',1]==1 {
 76.    * State variables for controller 
.    mat unratem1 = J(1,$dlag,1)*unrate[`d'-$dlag..`d'-1,1]/$dlag // avge unemployment rate over last $dlag day
> s
 77.    mat unratecum = J(1,`d'-1,1)*unrate[1..`d'-1,1] // cumulative unemployment rate (units: pp-days)
 78.    mat dDtot = (Dtot[`d'-1,1]-Dtot[`d'-3,1])/2 // average daily deaths, last 2 days
 79.    mat ddDtot = ( dDtot  - (Dtot[`d'-$dlag-1,1]-Dtot[`d'-$dlag-3,1])/2 )/$dlag
 80.    * Controller
.    mat cfacc[`d',1] = $ku*unratem1 + $kiu*unratecum - $kp*dDtot - $kd*ddDtot
 81.    if `d'==$ndate_PID {
 82.    * compute intercept so employment(t) = employment(t-1) for t first date of controller
.         mat dL   = (lshock[`ndate_PIDm1',1...] - lshock[`ndate_PIDmin',1...])*emp_count_tot
 83.         mat alphabar = cfacc[`d',1] + $k1*(theta_gdp'*J(68,1,1)/68)
 84.         mat xbar = (lshockmax' - lshock[`ndate_PIDmin',1...])*emp_count_tot
 85.         local mu0 = normprob(dL[1,1]/xbar[1,1]) - alphabar[1,1]
 86.         * iterate on intercept using Taylor series first order condition 
.         forvalues kk = 1/5 {
 87.                 local dx0 = 0
 88.                 local dx1 = 0
 89.                 forvalues i = 1/68 {
 90.                         local xi = (lshockmax[`i',1]-lshock[`ndate_PIDmin',`i'])*emp_count_tot[`i',1]
 91.                         local dx0 = `dx0' +  normprob(cfacc[`d',1] + $k1*theta_gdp[`i'] + `mu0')*`xi'
 92.                         local dx1 = `dx1' + normalden(cfacc[`d',1] + $k1*theta_gdp[`i'] + `mu0')*`xi'
 93.                 }
 94.                 local mu0 = `mu0' + (dL[1,1] - `dx0')/`dx1' // shift in controller by sector to equate ini
> tial value of controller to final value of historical on average
 95.         }
 96.         local mu = `mu0'
 97.         }
 98.         mat dlshock = ( (Q[`d'-1,1...]-Q[`d'-2,1...]) + (D[`d'-1,1...]-D[`d'-2,1...]) )*Lvec/N // prior-da
> y net worker flows into being unable to work = Q + D, proportional to epop
 99.         forvalues i = 1/68 {
100.          mat g[`i',1] = normprob( cfacc[`d',1] + $k1*theta_gdp[`i'] + `mu' )
101.      local lsmaxi = 1
102.          forvalues a = 1/5 {
103.           local lsmaxi = `lsmaxi' - (1-wfh_share[`i'])*(1-selage[`a',1])*emp_count`a'[`i']/emp_count_tot[`
> i']
104.      }
105.          local lsmaxi = min(`lsmaxi',lshockmax[`i',1]) // Age-restricted workers work from home in proport
> ion to sector's ability, possibly restricting sectoral employment
106.          mat lshock[`d',`i'] = lshock[`ndate_PIDmin',`i'] + g[`i',1]*(`lsmaxi'-lshock[`ndate_PIDmin',`i'] 
> ) // asymptote to lshock_max employment by sector (taste shift)
107.          mat lshock[`d',`i'] = lshock[`d',`i'] - (dlshock[1,1]/$Ltot)*epop[`i',1]*(N/$Ltot)
108.          if `d'>=186 {  // School opens (or not) on Aug 24
109.           mat lshock[`d',`i'] = min(lshock[`d',`i'],1 - 0.067*(1-school_frac[`d'])) // 6.7% of workers hav
> e childcare obligations Dingel-Patterson-Vavra (April 2020 Table 1)
110.          }
111.         }
112.     mat unrate[`d',1] = 1 - lshock[`d',1...]*emp_count_tot/$emp0
113.         mat gdp[`d',1] = lshock[`d',1..66]*psi
114.     * Construct contact matrices
.     mat cwork=J(5,5,0)
115.     forvalues a = 1/5 {
116.      sca scmwx`a' = 0
117.      forvalues i = 1/68 {
118.       sca scmwx`a' = scmwx`a' + lshock[`d',`i']*(1-wfh_frac[`d']*wfh_share[`i'])*epop`a'[`i']*pp_rel`a'[`i
> ']
119.      }
120.      mat cwork[`a',1] = (phifac[`ndate_PIDm1']+sdwork_fac[`d']*(1-phifac[`ndate_PIDm1']))*selage[`a',1]*sc
> mwx`a'*cnwork_mean[`a',1...] 
121.     }
122.         * Other contacts: 20+ reengage in shopping in proportion to production (supply = demand), with pro
> tections that can be relaxed
.         mat cother_1  =  (phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'] + sdoth_fac1[`d']*(1-phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'])) * ($o1ns + schoo
> l_frac[`d']*(1-$o1ns)) * cother_mean1
123.         mat cother_24 =  (phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'] + sdoth_fac24[`d']*(1-phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'])) ///
>                                    * (gmio[`ndate_PIDm1'] + ((gdp[`d',1]-gdp[`ndate_PIDm1',1])/gdp[1,1])*(gmi
> o[1]-gmio[`ndate_PIDm1'])) * cother_mean24 
124.         mat cother_5  =  (phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'] + sdoth_fac5[`d']*(1-phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'])) ///
>                                    * (gmio[`ndate_PIDm1'] + ((gdp[`d',1]-gdp[`ndate_PIDm1',1])/gdp[1,1])*(gmi
> o[1]-gmio[`ndate_PIDm1'])) * cother_mean5
125.         mat cother = cother_1 + cother_24 + cother_5
126.     mat chome = ( $hHH + (1-$hHH)*(phifac[`ndate_PIDm1']+sdhome_fac[`d']*(1-phifac[`ndate_PIDm1'])) )*chom
> e_mean 
127.         mat chome[5,1] = home_fac5[`d']*chome[5,1...]
128.     mat cmat = chome + cother + cwork
129.   }
130.   if `d'==163 {
131.         mat ctot_Aug1 = cmat
132.   }
133.   if `d'==238 {
134.         mat ctot_Oct15 = cmat
135.   }
136.   mat cmat = hadamard(cmat_adjust_kids,cmat) // adjust for reduced transmission rates to/from/between kids
137.   mat cnormalized = hadamard(cmat,Nvecinv*Nvec')
138.   mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized
139.   mat maxReval[`d',1] = r[1,1]
140.   mat r0_approx[`d',1] = `beta'*maxReval[`d',1]/`gamma' // version used through v8
141.   mat cnormBetaGamma = J(5,5,0)
142.   forvalues i = 1/5 {
143.    forvalues j = 1/5 {
144.     mat cnormBetaGamma[`i',`j'] = `beta'*cnormalized[`i',`j']/(`gamma' + delta[`j',1])
145.    }
146.   }
147.   mat eigenvalues r c = cnormBetaGamma
148.   mat r0[`d',1] = r[1,1] // correct with age-based delta and beta
149.   forvalues i = 1/`stepsperday' {
150.    mat dQshock = J(`nage',1,0)
151.    * Simulate removal of 1000 infected
.    if (`d'==$ndate_remove)*(`i'==`stepsperday') {
152.     mat dQshock = $nremove*Nvec/N
153.    }
154.    mat dS = -`DELTA'*`beta'*hadamard(Sn1,cmat*hadamard(In1,Nvecinv))
155.    mat dE = -dS - `DELTA'*`sigma'*En1
156.    mat dQ = -`DELTA'*`gamma'*Qn1 - `DELTA'*hadamard(delta,Qn1) + `DELTA'*qrate[`d']*In1 + dQshock
157.    mat dR = `DELTA'*`gamma'*In1 + `DELTA'*`gamma'*Qn1
158.    mat dD = `DELTA'*hadamard(delta,In1) + `DELTA'*hadamard(delta,Qn1)
159.    mat dI = `DELTA'*`sigma'*En1 - `DELTA'*`gamma'*In1 - `DELTA'*hadamard(delta,In1) - `DELTA'*qrate[`d']*I
> n1 - dQshock
160.    mat Sn = Sn1 + dS
161.    mat En = En1 + dE
162.    mat In = In1 + dI
163.    mat Qn = Qn1 + dQ
164.    mat Rn = Rn1 + dR
165.    mat Dn = Dn1 + dD
166.    mat Sn1 = Sn
167.    mat En1 = En
168.    mat In1 = In
169.    mat Qn1 = Qn
170.    mat Rn1 = Rn
171.    mat Dn1 = Dn
172.   }
173.   mat S[`d',1] = Sn'
174.   mat E[`d',1] = En'
175.   mat I[`d',1] = In'
176.   mat Q[`d',1] = Qn'
177.   mat R[`d',1] = Rn' 
178.   mat D[`d',1] = Dn'
179.   mat Dtot[`d',1] = D[`d',1...]*J(5,1,1)
180.  }
181.  foreach m in "S" "E" "I" "Q" "R" "D" {
182.   mat `m'tot = `m'*J(`nage',1,1)
183.  }
184.  mat rr = r0
185.  mat lIdot = 0*r0
186.  forvalues d = 4/`ndates' {
187.   mat rr[`d',1] = 1 + (1/`gamma')*( (Itot[`d',1]-2*Itot[`d'-1,1]+Itot[`d'-1,1])/(Itot[`d',1]-Itot[`d'-2,1]
> ) )
188.  }
189.  * create useful matrices
.  local nm7 = rowsof(D)-7
190.  mat W = D - (J(7,colsof(D),0)\D[1..`nm7',1...]) 
191.  mat reff = hadamard(r0,Stot/N)
192.  mat rreff = hadamard(rr,Stot/N)
193.  mat Dtot = D*J(colsof(D),1,1)
194.  mat Wtot = W*J(colsof(D),1,1)
195.  mat Rtot = R*J(colsof(D),1,1)
196.  global IFR_sim = Dtot[rowsof(Dtot),1]/Rtot[rowsof(Dtot),1]
197.  cap drop Dtot Dtot1
198.  svmat Dtot, names(Dtot)
199.  qui replace Dtot = Dtot1/1000    // all counts in thousands
200.  cap drop Wtot Wtot1
201.  svmat Wtot, names(Wtot)
202.  qui replace Wtot = Wtot1/1000    // all counts in thousands
203.  qui replace `dout' = Wtot `if'  // estimate using weekly deaths
204.  mat gdp = gdp/gdp[1,1]
205.  *
. if $varout==1 {
206.   * optionally, turn model output matrices into Stata variables
.  foreach v in "S" "E" "I" "Q" "R" "D" "W" {
207.    cap drop `v'*
208.    svmat `v', names(`v')
209.    qui gen `v'tot = 0
210.    forvalue i = 1/`nage' {
211.     qui replace `v'`i' = `v'`i'/1000  // save in thousands
212.     qui gen `v'shr`i' = `v'`i'/(Nvec[`i',1]/1000)
213.     qui replace `v'tot = `v'tot + `v'`i'
214.    }
215.    qui gen `v'shrtot = `v'tot/(N/1000)
216.    if `nage'==5 {
217.     foreach w in "" "shr" {
218.      label var `v'`w'1 "<20"
219.      label var `v'`w'2 "20-44"
220.      label var `v'`w'3 "45-64"
221.      label var `v'`w'4 "65-74"
222.      label var `v'`w'5 "75+"
223.      label var `v'`w'tot "All ages"
224.     }
225.    }
226.   }
227.   foreach r in "rr" "r0" "reff" "rreff" "unrate" "gdp" {
228.    cap drop `r'
229.    svmat `r', names(`r')
230.    qui rename `r'1 `r'
231.   }
232.   mat list IFR
233.   dis "gamma " `gamma'
234.   dis "beta " `beta'
235.   dis "sigma " `sigma'
236.   dis "IFR_sim " $IFR_sim
237.  }
238. end

. 
end of do-file

. do NPI_setup_v5

. cd "/Users//`=c(username)'/Dropbox/coronavirus/Code/BPEA_replication_code"
C:\Users\jstock\Dropbox\coronavirus\Code\BPEA_replication_code

. *******************************************************************************
. *  NPI_setup_v5.do                     JS 4/18/20 - 7/6/20
. *
. *  Merger of NPI_construct_v9 and NPI_setup_v2
. *   Structure is for BPEA paper (not NBER WP) with NPIs estimated by TV phi function
. *   With this version this becomes the master data read file which also creates all 
. *   matrices needed for estimation and simulation 
. *   Note somewhat complicated data structure: 
. *     series by industry with no time dimension are obsno 1-68
. *     time series with no industry dimension are by date (21Feb2020 = first obs)
. *     Series with industry and time dimensions are denoted by industry number suffix: lshock`i'
. *  _v5: final draft of BPEA paper (cleaned)
. *******************************************************************************
. *
. * set paths
. global dpath "data-in"

. 
. global nage = 5

. * Contact parameters
. global inf_kids2adults = 0.27 // fraction of beta for transmission, kids to adults (Kong lit review)

. global inf_adults2kids = 0.44 // fraction of beta for transmission, adults to kids (Kong lit review)

. global o1ns = 0.3 // fraction of <20 contacts made while not at school under normal conditions

. global hHH = 0.8 // fraction of home contacts that are household members

. 
. global today: dis %td date(c(current_date),"DMY")

. 
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. *    A. Read in data
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. *     A1. Industry data 
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. * Employment count by sector (total) - aligns with CPS
. import delimited using "$dpath/sector_empshare_bea.csv", case(lower) varn(1) clear
(6 vars, 69 obs)

.  keep in 1/68
(1 observation deleted)

.  gen ncode = _n

.  save tmp1.dta, replace
(note: file tmp1.dta not found)
file tmp1.dta saved

. 
. * Age share breakdown by sector from ACS (note: counts don't add to total CPS count, use these for shares)
. import delimited using "$dpath/sector_age_wfh_profiles_bea_summary_051820.csv", case(lower) varn(1) clear 
(27 vars, 68 obs)

.  keep in 1/68
(0 observations deleted)

.  save tmp2.dta, replace
(note: file tmp2.dta not found)
file tmp2.dta saved

. 
. * Fraction able to work from home (wfw_share - Dingel-Nieman) and fraction with high personal proximity at wo
> rk (pp_share - Mongey-Weinberg)
. import delimited using "$dpath/sector_wfh_profiles_bea_summary_051820.csv", case(lower) varn(1) clear 
(9 vars, 68 obs)

.  gen wfh_share = wfh_share_dn // preferred measure since they checked by hand per Stephanie

.  label var wfh_share "Share of workers who can work at home (Dingel-Nieman)"

.  label var pp_share "Share of workers with high personal proximity at work (Mongey-Weinberg)"

.  save tmp3.dta, replace
(note: file tmp3.dta not found)
file tmp3.dta saved

. 
. * Hours shock from CPS, Feb (benchmark)
. import excel using "$dpath/LaborShock_EPImodel_July2020.xlsx", case(lower) firstrow clear // Feb, March, Apri
> l, May, July
(20 vars, 70 obs)

.  rename epi_code iocode

.  drop if febtomarch_hoursshock ==.
(5 observations deleted)

.  save tmp4.dta, replace
(note: file tmp4.dta not found)
file tmp4.dta saved

.  
. * Labor income share data
. import excel using "$dpath/labor_income_share.xlsx", firstrow case(lower) clear
(2 vars, 66 obs)

.  save tmp5.dta, replace
(note: file tmp5.dta not found)
file tmp5.dta saved

. 
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. *     A2. Time series data
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. * Google mobility data and school closure data
. * update: https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
. use "$dpath/Google mobility indicators_US", clear

.  format date %td

.  tsset date
        time variable:  date, 15feb2020 to 17jul2020
                delta:  1 day

.  gen gmio = (retail_and_recreation_percent_ch + transit_stations_percent_change_ + grocery_and_pharmacy_perce
> nt_cha)/3

.  gen gmiw = workplaces_percent_change_from_b 

.   qui replace gmiw = gmiw[_n+1] if tin(25May2020,25May2020) // smooth over Memorial day spike

.  foreach vv in "gmio" "gmiw" {
  2.   qui replace `vv' = 1 + `vv'/100
  3.   tssmooth ma `vv'_sm = `vv', window(3 1 3)
  4.   su `vv'_sm if tin(21Feb2020,29Feb2020)
  5.   qui replace `vv'_sm = `vv'_sm/r(mean)
  6.   qui replace `vv' = `vv'/r(mean)
  7.  }
The smoother applied was
     (1/7)*[x(t-3) + x(t-2) + x(t-1) + 1*x(t) + x(t+1) + x(t+2) + x(t+3)]; x(t)= gmio

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
     gmio_sm |          9    1.039894    .0163105   1.018571   1.065238
The smoother applied was
     (1/7)*[x(t-3) + x(t-2) + x(t-1) + 1*x(t) + x(t+1) + x(t+2) + x(t+3)]; x(t)= gmiw

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
     gmiw_sm |          9    1.021905    .0042857   1.014286   1.025714

.  keep if tin(21Feb2020,)
(6 observations deleted)

.  global t0_gmi = string(day(date[_N-3])) + "/" + string(month(date[_N-3])) + "/" + string(year(date[_N-3]))

.  keep if tin(,$t0_gmi)
(3 observations deleted)

.  *
.  * School closure data (Source: \Data\Clean\Epi|SchoolClosures.xlsx has data and documentation)
.  gen school_frac = 1

.   qui replace school_frac = .6548 if tin(16Mar2020,16Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = .4880 if tin(17Mar2020,17Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = .3255 if tin(18Mar2020,18Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = .0707 if tin(19Mar2020,19Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = .0301 if tin(20Mar2020,22Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = .0059 if tin(23Mar2020,23Mar2020)

.   qui replace school_frac = 0 if tin(24Mar2020,)

. *
.  save tmp_t1, replace
(note: file tmp_t1.dta not found)
file tmp_t1.dta saved

. 
.  * -------- JHU deaths data ----------------
. use "$dpath/JHU_data_us", clear

. gen deaths_thou = deaths/1000  // Units of SEIRD output are thousands

. gen confirmed_thou = confirmed/1000    // Units of SEIRD output are thousands

. label var deaths_thou "Deaths (actual, thous)"

.  label var confirmed_thou "Confirmed cases (actual, thous)"

. format date %td

. tsset date
        time variable:  date, 22jan2020 to 21jul2020
                delta:  1 day

. keep if tin(21Feb2020,)
(30 observations deleted)

. cap drop deaths_weekly

. gen deaths_weekly = deaths_thou - L7.deaths_thou
(7 missing values generated)

.    label var deaths_weekly "Weekly deaths, actual (thou)"

. gen deaths_daily = deaths_thou - L.deaths_thou
(1 missing value generated)

.    label var deaths_daily "Daily deaths, actual (thou)"

. list date deaths deaths_daily deaths_weekly

     +-------------------------------------------+
     |      date    deaths   deat~ily   deat~kly |
     |-------------------------------------------|
  1. | 21feb2020         0          .          . |
  2. | 22feb2020         0          0          . |
  3. | 23feb2020         0          0          . |
  4. | 24feb2020         0          0          . |
  5. | 25feb2020         0          0          . |
     |-------------------------------------------|
  6. | 26feb2020         0          0          . |
  7. | 27feb2020         0          0          . |
  8. | 28feb2020         0          0          0 |
  9. | 29feb2020         1       .001       .001 |
 10. | 01mar2020         1          0       .001 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 11. | 02mar2020         6       .005       .006 |
 12. | 03mar2020         7       .001       .007 |
 13. | 04mar2020        11       .004       .011 |
 14. | 05mar2020        12       .001       .012 |
 15. | 06mar2020        14       .002       .014 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 16. | 07mar2020        17       .003       .016 |
 17. | 08mar2020        21       .004        .02 |
 18. | 09mar2020        22       .001       .016 |
 19. | 10mar2020   28.1344   .0061344   .0211344 |
 20. | 11mar2020   33.1344       .005   .0221344 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 21. | 12mar2020   43.1344        .01   .0311344 |
 22. | 13mar2020   52.1344       .009   .0381344 |
 23. | 14mar2020   58.1344       .006   .0411344 |
 24. | 15mar2020   70.2687   .0121344   .0492687 |
 25. | 16mar2020   97.2687       .027   .0752687 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 26. | 17mar2020   131.403   .0341344   .1032687 |
 27. | 18mar2020   188.672   .0572687   .1555375 |
 28. | 19mar2020   266.209   .0775374   .2230749 |
 29. | 20mar2020   363.478   .0972687   .3113436 |
 30. | 21mar2020    458.15   .0946718   .4000154 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 31. | 22mar2020   603.687   .1455375   .5334185 |
 32. | 23mar2020   787.628   .1839405   .6903591 |
 33. | 24mar2020   1026.91   .2392842   .8955089 |
 34. | 25mar2020   1341.33   .3144186   1.152659 |
 35. | 26mar2020   1756.88    .415553   1.490674 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 36. | 27mar2020   2314.51   .5576278   1.951033 |
 37. | 28mar2020   2952.81   .6382997   2.494661 |
 38. | 29mar2020   3582.63   .6298215   2.978945 |
 39. | 30mar2020    4407.6   .8249717   3.619977 |
 40. | 31mar2020   5640.88   1.233271   4.613963 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 41. | 01apr2020    6893.7   1.252824   5.552369 |
 42. | 02apr2020   8504.15   1.610454    6.74727 |
 43. | 03apr2020    9833.8   1.329646   7.519288 |
 44. | 04apr2020   11144.7   1.310873   8.191861 |
 45. | 05apr2020   12593.2    1.44854    9.01058 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 46. | 06apr2020   14272.8   1.679555   9.865163 |
 47. | 07apr2020   16612.5    2.33977   10.97166 |
 48. | 08apr2020   18765.1   2.152546   11.87138 |
 49. | 09apr2020   20867.6   2.102545   12.36347 |
 50. | 10apr2020   22990.6   2.122963   13.15679 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 51. | 11apr2020   25070.3   2.079725   13.92564 |
 52. | 12apr2020   26863.8    1.79344   14.27054 |
 53. | 13apr2020   28704.3   1.840496   14.43149 |
 54. | 14apr2020   31156.9   2.452639   14.54435 |
 55. | 15apr2020   33753.1   2.596161   14.98797 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 56. | 16apr2020   35914.7    2.16164   15.04706 |
 57. | 17apr2020     38572   2.657265   15.58137 |
 58. | 18apr2020   40988.9   2.416904   15.91854 |
 59. | 19apr2020   42257.1   1.268234   15.39334 |
 60. | 20apr2020   44070.1   1.813007   15.36585 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 61. | 21apr2020   46561.6   2.491531   15.40474 |
 62. | 22apr2020     49004   2.442341   15.25092 |
 63. | 23apr2020   51478.1   2.474083   15.56337 |
 64. | 24apr2020   53630.6   2.152534   15.05864 |
 65. | 25apr2020   55311.6   1.681038   14.32277 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 66. | 26apr2020   56607.9   1.296223   14.35076 |
 67. | 27apr2020   58047.1   1.439243   13.97699 |
 68. | 28apr2020   60319.6   2.272476   13.75794 |
 69. | 29apr2020   62869.8   2.550209   13.86581 |
 70. | 30apr2020   65227.2   2.357399   13.74912 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 71. | 01may2020   67137.8    1.91066   13.50725 |
 72. | 02may2020   68721.2   1.583405   13.40961 |
 73. | 03may2020   69834.6   1.113335   13.22673 |
 74. | 04may2020   71148.8    1.31424   13.10172 |
 75. | 05may2020   73500.7   2.351883   13.18113 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 76. | 06may2020   75999.7   2.498978    13.1299 |
 77. | 07may2020   77953.3   1.953667   12.72617 |
 78. | 08may2020   79700.9   1.747559   12.56306 |
 79. | 09may2020   81200.9   1.499962   12.47962 |
 80. | 10may2020   82098.7   .8978119    12.2641 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 81. | 11may2020     83123   1.024284   11.97414 |
 82. | 12may2020   84763.6   1.640663   11.26292 |
 83. | 13may2020   86539.2   1.775589   10.53954 |
 84. | 14may2020   88344.4   1.805168   10.39104 |
 85. | 15may2020   90032.5   1.688141   10.33162 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 86. | 16may2020   91270.7   1.238182   10.06984 |
 87. | 17may2020   92036.4   .7657089   9.937737 |
 88. | 18may2020   92816.6   .7802124   9.693665 |
 89. | 19may2020   94387.5   1.570885   9.623886 |
 90. | 20may2020   95977.3   1.589767   9.438065 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 91. | 21may2020   97213.3   1.236031   8.868927 |
 92. | 22may2020     98501   1.287682   8.468468 |
 93. | 23may2020     99635   1.134033   8.364319 |
 94. | 24may2020    100251   .6155243   8.214134 |
 95. | 25may2020    100765   .5142059   7.948128 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
 96. | 26may2020    101456   .6913147   7.068558 |
 97. | 27may2020    102985   1.528488   7.007278 |
 98. | 28may2020    104176   1.191399   6.962646 |
 99. | 29may2020    105358   1.182396   6.857361 |
100. | 30may2020    106341   .9828415   6.706169 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
101. | 31may2020    106936   .5945969   6.685242 |
102. | 01jun2020    107711   .7753601   6.946396 |
103. | 02jun2020    108751   1.039452   7.294533 |
104. | 03jun2020    109755   1.004646   6.770691 |
105. | 04jun2020    110776   1.021088    6.60038 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
106. | 05jun2020    111757   .9806137   6.398598 |
107. | 06jun2020    112445   .6876602   6.103416 |
108. | 07jun2020    112905   .4604034   5.969223 |
109. | 08jun2020    113415   .5101089   5.703972 |
110. | 09jun2020    114367   .9519577   5.616478 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
111. | 10jun2020    115294   .9269409   5.538773 |
112. | 11jun2020    116184   .8898697   5.407555 |
113. | 12jun2020    117012   .8281784   5.255119 |
114. | 13jun2020    117780   .7677383   5.335197 |
115. | 14jun2020    118083   .3031082   5.177902 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
116. | 15jun2020    118480    .397583   5.065376 |
117. | 16jun2020    119331   .8502884   4.963707 |
118. | 17jun2020    120088   .7567749   4.793541 |
119. | 18jun2020    120796   .7085724   4.612244 |
120. | 19jun2020    121473   .6764297   4.460495 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
121. | 20jun2020    122086   .6129608   4.305717 |
122. | 21jun2020    122343   .2570114   4.259621 |
123. | 22jun2020    122753   .4107056   4.272743 |
124. | 23jun2020    123597   .8438492   4.266304 |
125. | 24jun2020    124361    .763855   4.273384 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
126. | 25jun2020    125026   .6650543   4.229866 |
127. | 26jun2020    125631   .6049957   4.158432 |
128. | 27jun2020    126120    .489006   4.034477 |
129. | 28jun2020    126361   .2409973   4.018463 |
130. | 29jun2020    126711   .3499985   3.957756 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
131. | 30jun2020    127432   .7210007   3.834908 |
132. | 01jul2020    128105   .6729965   3.744049 |
133. | 02jul2020    128803    .697998   3.776993 |
134. | 03jul2020    129442   .6390076   3.811005 |
135. | 04jul2020    129689    .246994   3.568993 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
136. | 05jul2020    129960   .2710114   3.599007 |
137. | 06jul2020    130285   .3249969   3.574005 |
138. | 07jul2020    131480   1.194992   4.047997 |
139. | 08jul2020    132300   .8200073   4.195007 |
140. | 09jul2020    133290   .9899902      4.487 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
141. | 10jul2020    134101   .8110046   4.658997 |
142. | 11jul2020    134777   .6759949   5.087997 |
143. | 12jul2020    135205    .428009   5.244995 |
144. | 13jul2020    135566   .3609924   5.280991 |
145. | 14jul2020    136466   .9000092   4.986008 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
146. | 15jul2020    137415   .9489899    5.11499 |
147. | 16jul2020    138358   .9430084   5.068008 |
148. | 17jul2020    139266   .9080048   5.165009 |
149. | 18jul2020    140119   .8529968    5.34201 |
150. | 19jul2020    140534   .4149933   5.328995 |
     |-------------------------------------------|
151. | 20jul2020    140913   .3789978      5.347 |
152. | 21jul2020    141995   1.082001   5.528992 |
     +-------------------------------------------+

. gen ldeaths_weekly = ln(deaths_weekly)
(8 missing values generated)

. global t0_deaths = string(day(date[_N])) + "/" + string(month(date[_N])) + "/" + string(year(date[_N]))

. save tmp_t2.dta, replace
(note: file tmp_t2.dta not found)
file tmp_t2.dta saved

.  
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. *     A3. Merge
. * -----------------------------------------------------
. * First merge industry data by iocode
. use tmp1, clear

.  erase tmp1.dta

. forvalues i = 2/5 {
  2.  merge 1:1 iocode using tmp`i'
  3.  drop _merge
  4.  erase tmp`i'.dta
  5. }

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                             0
    matched                                68  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------
(note: variable emp_count was long, now double to accommodate using data's values)
(note: variable pop was float, now double to accommodate using data's values)

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                             0
    matched                                68  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                             3
        from master                         3  (_merge==1)
        from using                          0  (_merge==2)

    matched                                65  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                             2
        from master                         2  (_merge==1)
        from using                          0  (_merge==2)

    matched                                66  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------

. sort ncode

. list iocode iocode_name

     +--------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | iocode                                                 iocode_name |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  111CA                                                       Farms |
  2. |  113FF                         Forestry, fishing, and related atvs |
  3. |    211                                      Oil and gas extraction |
  4. |    212                                     Mining, exc oil and gas |
  5. |    213                                     Support atvs for mining |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |     22                                                   Utilities |
  7. |     23                                                Construction |
  8. |    321                                               Wood products |
  9. |    327                                Nonmetallic mineral products |
 10. |    331                                              Primary metals |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. |    332                                   Fabricated metal products |
 12. |    333                                                   Machinery |
 13. |    334                            Computer and electronic products |
 14. |    335            Electrical equipment, appliances, and components |
 15. | 3361MV              Motor vehicles, bodies and trailers, and parts |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 3364OT                              Other transportation equipment |
 17. |    337                              Furniture and related products |
 18. |    339                                          Misc manufacturing |
 19. |  311FT                      Food and beverage and tobacco products |
 20. |  313TT                     Textile mills and textile product mills |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. |  315AL                     Apparel and leather and allied products |
 22. |    322                                              Paper products |
 23. |    323                           Printing and related support atvs |
 24. |    324                                 Petroleum and coal products |
 25. |    325                                           Chemical products |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 26. |    326                                Plastics and rubber products |
 27. |     42                                             Wholesale trade |
 28. |    441                             Motor vehicle and parts dealers |
 29. |    445                                    Food and beverage stores |
 30. |    452                                  General merchandise stores |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 31. |    4A0                                                Other retail |
 32. |    481                                          Air transportation |
 33. |    482                                         Rail transportation |
 34. |    483                                        Water transportation |
 35. |    484                                        Truck transportation |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 36. |    485                 Transit and ground passenger transportation |
 37. |    486                                     Pipeline transportation |
 38. |  487OS                       Other transportation and support atvs |
 39. |    493                                     Warehousing and storage |
 40. |    511           Publishing inds, exc internet (includes software) |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 41. |    512                     Motion picture and sound recording inds |
 42. |    513                         Broadcasting and telecommunications |
 43. |    514   Data processing, internet publishing, and other info svcs |
 44. |  521CI    Federal Reserve banks, credit intermed, and related atvs |
 45. |    523            Securities, commodity contracts, and investments |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 46. |    524                         Insurance carriers and related atvs |
 47. |    525                 Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles |
 48. |     HS                                                     Housing |
 49. |    ORE                                           Other real estate |
 50. |  532RL             Rental and leasing svcs, lessors of intangibles |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 51. |   5411                                                  Legal svcs |
 52. |   5415                    Computer systems design and related svcs |
 53. | 5412OP           Misc professional, scientific, and technical svcs |
 54. |     55                           Mgmt of companies and enterprises |
 55. |    561                             Administrative and support svcs |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 56. |    562                             Waste mgmt and remediation svcs |
 57. |     61                                            Educational svcs |
 58. |    621                                 Ambulatory health care svcs |
 59. |    622                                                   Hospitals |
 60. |    623                     Nursing and residential care facilities |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 61. |    624                                           Social assistance |
 62. |  711AS          Performing arts, sports, museums, and related atvs |
 63. |    713                   Amusements, gambling, and recreation inds |
 64. |    721                                               Accommodation |
 65. |    722                               Food svcs and drinking places |
     |--------------------------------------------------------------------|
 66. |     81                                       Other svcs, exc govmt |
 67. |    Gov                                                             |
 68. |    GFE                                   Federal govmt enterprises |
     +--------------------------------------------------------------------+

. list ncode iocode labor_income_share

     +----------------------------+
     | ncode   iocode   labor_i~e |
     |----------------------------|
  1. |     1    111CA    .0018641 |
  2. |     2    113FF    .0018363 |
  3. |     3      211    .0033428 |
  4. |     4      212    .0010862 |
  5. |     5      213    .0034191 |
     |----------------------------|
  6. |     6       22      .00724 |
  7. |     7       23     .029967 |
  8. |     8      321    .0012826 |
  9. |     9      327     .001714 |
 10. |    10      331    .0032684 |
     |----------------------------|
 11. |    11      332    .0053409 |
 12. |    12      333    .0062271 |
 13. |    13      334    .0064486 |
 14. |    14      335    .0020705 |
 15. |    15   3361MV    .0046298 |
     |----------------------------|
 16. |    16   3364OT    .0033179 |
 17. |    17      337    .0012197 |
 18. |    18      339    .0033819 |
 19. |    19    311FT    .0065541 |
 20. |    20    313TT   .00071062 |
     |----------------------------|
 21. |    21    315AL    .0007177 |
 22. |    22      322    .0016545 |
 23. |    23      323    .0010761 |
 24. |    24      324    .0010615 |
 25. |    25      325    .0059797 |
     |----------------------------|
 26. |    26      326    .0025929 |
 27. |    27       42      .03648 |
 28. |    28      441    .0058449 |
 29. |    29      445    .0056489 |
 30. |    30      452     .006746 |
     |----------------------------|
 31. |    31      4A0     .020479 |
 32. |    32      481    .0035314 |
 33. |    33      482    .0014429 |
 34. |    34      483   .00045434 |
 35. |    35      484    .0058077 |
     |----------------------------|
 36. |    36      485    .0013826 |
 37. |    37      486   .00049995 |
 38. |    38    487OS    .0059485 |
 39. |    39      493    .0031489 |
 40. |    40      511    .0053647 |
     |----------------------------|
 41. |    41      512    .0021312 |
 42. |    42      513    .0060902 |
 43. |    43      514    .0024742 |
 44. |    44    521CI     .013571 |
 45. |    45      523     .016615 |
     |----------------------------|
 46. |    46      524     .017565 |
 47. |    47      525   .00008723 |
 48. |    48       HS    .0012503 |
 49. |    49      ORE    .0058768 |
 50. |    50    532RL    .0030184 |
     |----------------------------|
 51. |    51     5411    .0084171 |
 52. |    52     5415     .018282 |
 53. |    53   5412OP     .048501 |
 54. |    54       55     .020155 |
 55. |    55      561     .024084 |
     |----------------------------|
 56. |    56      562    .0017229 |
 57. |    57       61     .013394 |
 58. |    58      621     .031474 |
 59. |    59      622     .028543 |
 60. |    60      623     .008073 |
     |----------------------------|
 61. |    61      624    .0065447 |
 62. |    62    711AS    .0031702 |
 63. |    63      713    .0041999 |
 64. |    64      721    .0040805 |
 65. |    65      722     .020761 |
     |----------------------------|
 66. |    66       81     .023819 |
 67. |    67      Gov           . |
 68. |    68      GFE           . |
     +----------------------------+

. * Merge time series data by date
. gen date = d(21Feb2020)+_n-1

. sort date

. format date %td

. tsset date
        time variable:  date, 21feb2020 to 28apr2020
                delta:  1 day

. tsappend, last(01Jan2021) tsfmt(td)

. forvalues i = 1/2 {
  2.  merge 1:1 date using tmp_t`i'
  3.  drop _merge
  4.  erase tmp_t`i'.dta
  5. }

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                           171
        from master                       171  (_merge==1)
        from using                          0  (_merge==2)

    matched                               145  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------

    Result                           # of obs.
    -----------------------------------------
    not matched                           164
        from master                       164  (_merge==1)
        from using                          0  (_merge==2)

    matched                               152  (_merge==3)
    -----------------------------------------

. gen day = day(date)

. gen month = month(date)

. gen quarter = quarter(date)

. gen year = year(date)

. gen yrmo = 100*(year-2000) + month

. gen yrq = 10*(year-2000) + quarter

. global ndates_tot = _N

. 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. *    B. Renaming, recoding, create some variables, interpolation, normalizations 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. gen obsno = _n

. local nind = 66 // industries in IO model = covered industries

. 
. * Sectoral Shock time series
. *   Sectoral hours shocks are pinned down on 12th of month from Establishment Survey data, interpolated using
>  excess new claims
. foreach y of varlist febtomarch_hoursshock marchtoapril_hoursshock apriltomay_hoursshock maytojune_hoursshock
>  {
  2.  qui replace `y' = 0 if iocode=="111CA"
  3.  qui replace `y' = 0 in 67/68
  4. }

. gen shock_Marchhrs = (1+febtomarch_hoursshock)
(248 missing values generated)

. gen shock_Aprilhrs = shock_Marchhrs*(1+marchtoapril_hoursshock)
(248 missing values generated)

. gen shock_Mayhrs = shock_Aprilhrs*(1+apriltomay_hoursshock)
(248 missing values generated)

. gen shock_Junhrs = shock_Mayhrs*(1+maytojune_hoursshock)
(248 missing values generated)

. cap drop y99

. gen y99 = .
(316 missing values generated)

. forvalues i = 1/66 {
  2.  qui replace y99 = .
  3.  qui replace y99 = shock_Marchhrs[`i'] if tin(12Mar2020,12Mar2020)
  4.  qui replace y99 = shock_Aprilhrs[`i'] if tin(12Apr2020,12Apr2020)
  5.  qui replace y99 = shock_Mayhrs[`i'] if tin(12May2020,12May2020)
  6.  qui replace y99 = shock_Junhrs[`i'] if tin(12Jun2020,12Jun2020)
  7.  qui ipolate y99 gmiw_sm, gen(labor_shock`i') e
  8.  qui su labor_shock`i' if tin($t0_gmi,$t0_gmi)
  9.  qui replace labor_shock`i' = r(mean) if tin($t0_gmi,)
 10.  qui replace labor_shock`i' = 1 if tin(,08Mar2020)
 11. }

. gen labor_shock67 = 1

. gen labor_shock68 = 1

. 
. * population shares of covered and noncovered workers by age
. *   CPS employment = 158.759m Feb 2020
. *   CPS LF = 164.546m Feb 2020
. *   Establishment total priv emp = 129.740m Feb 2020
. sca N = 328.2e6 // US population

. mat Nvec = (0.256\0.334\0.261\0.086\0.063)*N

. mat Nvecinv = J(5,1,0)

. forvalues a = 1/5 {
  2.  mat Nvecinv[`a',1] = 1/Nvec[`a',1]
  3. }

. 
. * Baseline employment shares by age/industry.
. * Note need to make adjustment, employment counts by age don't add to total employment count because of BEA/B
> LS counting discrepency
. *  Totals will be BLS values 
. rename emp_count emp_count_tot

. gen epop = emp_count_tot/N // baseline employment-population ratio by industry
(248 missing values generated)

. gen emp_count_tot_unadj = emp_count1 + emp_count2 + emp_count3 + emp_count4 + emp_count5
(248 missing values generated)

. forvalues a = 1/5 {
  2.  rename emp_count`a' emp_count`a'_unadj
  3.  gen emp_count`a' = emp_count_tot*(emp_count`a'_unadj/emp_count_tot_unadj)  // estimated employment by ind
> ustry by age, adjusted for BEA/BLS counting discrepancy
  4.  gen epop`a' = emp_count`a'/Nvec[`a',1]  // employment-population ratio WITHIN each age group (fraction of
>  all 30 yr olds who work in given industry)
  5. }
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)

. 
. * Relative personal proximity measure - normalize so that wtd averages by age group = 1
. forvalues a = 1/5 {
  2.  cap drop x99
  3.  qui gen x99 = pp_share*epop`a'
  4.  qui su x99
  5.   local wm = r(mean)
  6.  qui su epop`a'
  7.  qui gen pp_rel`a' = pp_share*r(mean)/(`wm'+1e-20)
  8. }

. 
. * wfh time series
. *    Bick, Blandin, and Mertens (June 2020): in Feb 2020 8.2% worked from home, in May 35.2% worked from home
> . 
. mkmat wfh_share in 1/68, mat(wfh_share)

. mkmat emp_count_tot in 1/68, mat(emp_count_tot)

. mat wfh_count = wfh_share'*emp_count_tot

. mat Ltot = emp_count_tot'*J(rowsof(emp_count_tot),1,1)

.  global Ltot = Ltot[1,1]

. global wfh_share_max = wfh_count[1,1]/Ltot[1,1]

. dis wfh_count[1,1] "  " Ltot[1,1] "  " $wfh_share_max
55787773  1.561e+08  .35741379

. gen w99 = .
(316 missing values generated)

.  qui replace w99 = 0.082/$wfh_share_max if tin(21Feb2020,21Feb2020) // BBM estimate

.  qui replace w99 = 0.352/$wfh_share_max if tin(21May2020,21May2020) // BBM estimate

. ipolate w99 gmiw_sm, gen(wfh_frac) e
(171 missing values generated)

. 
. ***************************************************************************
. *          NPI weights
. ***************************************************************************
. * Construct NPI time series weightws by date
. *  There are no good data on fraction of home contacts that are non-HH members. Dorelien et al (2020) Fig 2, 
> 3 suggestion ~85% are HH members (ATUS) 
. *  However, their mean number of total home contacts is ~2 for 20-54 while POLYMOD is 3.7, so 2/3.7 = 0.54. D
> orelian et al is 
. *  especially low at young ages which suggests they are missing play dates from their ATUS calculations.
. *  Absent good data, assume provisionally that 80% of home contacts are HH members. For the non-HH 20%, assum
> e proportionality to gmio, scaled
. 
. gen school_fac = $o1ns + (1-$o1ns)*school_frac // Other activity contact factor for <20, non-school + school
(171 missing values generated)

. su gmio_sm, d

                ma: x(t)= gmio: window(3 1 3)
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%     .5884298       .5879719
 5%     .6039992       .5884298
10%      .616363       .5930091       Obs                 145
25%     .6690242        .593467       Sum of Wgt.         145

50%     .7821309                      Mean           .7778138
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      .1283931
75%     .8270073       1.024372
90%     1.005139       1.024372       Variance       .0164848
95%     1.018877       1.026203       Skewness       .4355602
99%     1.026203       1.027119       Kurtosis       2.359857

.  gen gmio_sm_scaled = (gmio_sm-r(min))/(r(max)-r(min))
(171 missing values generated)

. 
. forvalues a = 1/5 {
  2.   gen cmox`a' = gmio_sm
  3.   gen cmhx`a' = 1
  4.   gen cmwx`a' = 0
  5.   forvalues i = 1/68 {
  6.    qui replace cmwx`a' = cmwx`a' + labor_shock`i'*(1-wfh_frac*wfh_share[`i'])*epop`a'[`i']*pp_rel`a'[`i']
  7.   }
  8.  }
(171 missing values generated)
(171 missing values generated)
(171 missing values generated)
(171 missing values generated)
(171 missing values generated)

. qui replace cmox1 = gmio_sm*school_fac

. 
. list epop4 epop5 pp_rel4 pp_rel5 cmwx4 cmwx5 in 1/70

     +-----------------------------------------------------------------+
     |    epop4      epop5    pp_rel4    pp_rel5      cmwx4      cmwx5 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. | .0043669   .0019193   .1336124   .1335876   .2437754   .0617816 |
  2. | .0005829   .0001719   .4517565   .4516728   .2442619    .061902 |
  3. | .0001244    .000024   .2922229   .2921687   .2445051   .0619622 |
  4. | .0002689   .0000456   .4460433   .4459606   .2449916   .0620826 |
  5. | .0004545   .0001513   .5517598   .5516576    .245478   .0622029 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. | .0015289   .0002361   .6235003   .6233847    .245478   .0622029 |
  7. |  .012109   .0027041   1.230831   1.230603   .2457212   .0622631 |
  8. | .0006837   .0001643   .5486656   .5485639   .2457212   .0622631 |
  9. | .0005796   .0001148   .4726754   .4725878   .2457212   .0622631 |
 10. | .0006487   .0001087   .5035319   .5034386   .2459645   .0623233 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | .0022365   .0004132   .3955209   .3954476   .2462077   .0623835 |
 12. | .0019197   .0003932   .5091845   .5090901   .2462077   .0623835 |
 13. | .0016305   .0002716   .2358325   .2357887   .2464509   .0624437 |
 14. | .0005601   .0000802   .3970081   .3969345   .2462077   .0623835 |
 15. | .0011652   .0001367   .7447268   .7445887    .245478   .0622029 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | .0011175   .0001999   .4007417   .4006674   .2445051   .0619622 |
 17. | .0006365   .0000932   .5880128   .5879039   .2435322   .0617214 |
 18. | .0024239   .0005579     .52934   .5292419   .2411335   .0610769 |
 19. | .0023376   .0004653   .6576641   .6575422   .2378669   .0602549 |
 20. | .0005615     .00012    .365079   .3650114   .2356993   .0597094 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | .0004322   .0000952   .2409675   .2409229   .2324629    .058895 |
 22. | .0005102   .0000753    .464838   .4647519   .2253362   .0571017 |
 23. | .0009952   .0002318   .2670355    .266986   .2165541   .0548919 |
 24. | .0001607     .00003   .3185358   .3184767   .2062009   .0522869 |
 25. | .0014704   .0001921   .3174216   .3173628   .1960497   .0497329 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 26. | .0007683   .0001039   .5250326   .5249354    .186429   .0473124 |
 27. | .0075966    .001755   .4274968   .4274176   .1789331   .0454267 |
 28. | .0041375   .0012236   1.092975   1.092773   .1712162   .0434837 |
 29. | .0049977   .0015646   1.926371   1.926014   .1641374   .0416679 |
 30. | .0050628   .0015548   1.905908   1.905555   .1581545   .0401334 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 31. | .0166759   .0048088   1.680298   1.679987   .1532283   .0388701 |
 32. | .0008638   .0001166   1.432052   1.431786   .1487966   .0377379 |
 33. |  .000189   .0000158    .484319   .4842292   .1458037   .0369789 |
 34. | .0001305   .0000244   1.255678   1.255445   .1428258   .0362239 |
 35. | .0032442   .0005551   .1874953   .1874606   .1407502   .0356978 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 36. | .0032654   .0007357   1.801211   1.800877   .1386818   .0351736 |
 37. | .0000914   .0000117   .5766841   .5765772   .1375031   .0348749 |
 38. | .0017472   .0003352   .6454034   .6452838   .1366207   .0346513 |
 39. | .0005057   .0001018   .9962001   .9960155   .1357396   .0344281 |
 40. | .0011653   .0004587   .2843541   .2843014   .1345669    .034131 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 41. |  .000526   .0001124   .6952342   .6951053   .1336889   .0339087 |
 42. | .0013032    .000151   .3088889   .3088317   .1331044   .0337606 |
 43. | .0011836   .0003542    .411063   .4109869   .1325204   .0336127 |
 44. | .0033067   .0007121    .427091   .4270119    .131937    .033465 |
 45. |  .001147   .0002702   .1189384   .1189163   .1313543   .0333174 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 46. | .0051348   .0012952   .1172468   .1172251   .1307721     .03317 |
 47. |  .001147   .0002702   .1189384   .1189163   .1290292   .0327287 |
 48. | .0044774   .0016964   .9734755   .9732951   .1287392   .0326553 |
 49. | .0044774   .0016964   .9734755   .9732951   .1272915   .0322888 |
 50. | .0008391   .0002564   .7014909   .7013609   .1270025   .0322157 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 51. | .0053827   .0016714   .0233235   .0233191   .1272915   .0322888 |
 52. | .0022322   .0002611   .0803666   .0803517   .1278702   .0324353 |
 53. | .0156067   .0043404   .2773416   .2772903   .1287392   .0326553 |
 54. | .0003147   .0000482   .2430258   .2429808   .1310631   .0332437 |
 55. | .0100294   .0025733   .9708366   .9706568   .1325204   .0336127 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 56. | .0007029    .000167   .3753979   .3753284   .1348599   .0342053 |
 57. | .0280535   .0061447    1.28525   1.285012   .1357396   .0344281 |
 58. | .0152896   .0033708   1.405572   1.405311   .1360332   .0345025 |
 59. | .0106821   .0016143   1.489532   1.489256   .1360332   .0345025 |
 60. | .0055086   .0011728   1.602565   1.602268   .1360332   .0345025 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 61. | .0079304   .0020085   1.442738   1.442471   .1360332   .0345025 |
 62. | .0029361   .0009681   1.059012   1.058816   .1363268   .0345769 |
 63. | .0039236   .0013043   1.484611   1.484336   .1366207   .0346513 |
 64. | .0026209   .0006876   .7966263   .7964786   .1372088   .0348004 |
 65. | .0053613   .0014285   1.960274   1.959911   .1375031   .0348749 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------|
 66. | .0190736   .0065674   .8969148   .8967486   .1380921   .0350242 |
 67. | .0118866   .0027025   .8462504   .8460936   .1386818   .0351736 |
 68. | .0018835   .0003094   .5622563   .5621521   .1395673    .035398 |
 69. |        .          .          .          .   .1404542   .0356228 |
 70. |        .          .          .          .   .1419353   .0359982 |
     +-----------------------------------------------------------------+

. 
. desc

Contains data from tmp1.dta
  obs:           316                          
 vars:           198                          27 Jul 2020 11:36
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              storage   display    value
variable name   type    format     label      variable label
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
iocode          str6    %9s                   
labforce_count  float   %9.0g                 
emp_count_tot   double  %12.0g                
pop             double  %9.0g                 
emprate         float   %9.0g                 
lfprate         float   %9.0g                 
ncode           float   %9.0g                 
iocode_name     str57   %57s                  
emp_count1_un~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_share1      float   %9.0g                 
emp_count2_un~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_share2      float   %9.0g                 
emp_count3_un~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_share3      float   %9.0g                 
emp_count4_un~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_share4      float   %9.0g                 
emp_count5_un~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_share5      float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn1   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw1  float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn2   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw2  float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn3   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw3  float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn4   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw4  float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn5   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw5  float   %9.0g                 
pp_share1       float   %9.0g                 
pp_share2       float   %9.0g                 
pp_share3       float   %9.0g                 
pp_share4       float   %9.0g                 
pp_share5       float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_dn    float   %9.0g                 
wfh_share_mpw   float   %9.0g                 
wfh_dn          float   %9.0g                 
wfh_mpw         long    %12.0g                
pp_share        float   %9.0g                 Share of workers with high personal proximity at work
                                                (Mongey-Weinberg)
pp              long    %12.0g                
wfh_share       float   %9.0g                 Share of workers who can work at home (Dingel-Nieman)
june_hours      double  %10.0g                June_hours
febtomarch_ho~k double  %10.0g                FebtoMarch_hoursshock
marchtoapril_~k double  %10.0g                MarchtoApril_hoursshock
apriltomay_ho~k double  %10.0g                ApriltoMay_hoursshock
febtomay_hour~k double  %10.0g                FebtoMay_hoursshock
maytojune_hou~k double  %10.0g                MaytoJune_hoursshock
febtojune_hou~k double  %10.0g                FebtoJune_hoursshock
febtomarch_ad~t double  %10.0g                FebtoMarch_adjustment
marchtoapril_~t double  %10.0g                MarchtoApril_adjustment
apriltomay_ad~t double  %10.0g                ApriltoMay_adjustment
febtomay_adju~t double  %10.0g                FebtoMay_adjustment
maytojune_adj~t double  %10.0g                MaytoJune_adjustment
febtojune_adj~t double  %10.0g                FebtoJune_adjustment
febtomarch_up~d double  %10.0g                FebtoMarch_upperbound
marchtoapril_~d double  %10.0g                MarchtoApril_upperbound
apriltomay_up~d double  %10.0g                ApriltoMay_upperbound
febtomay_uppe~d double  %10.0g                FebtoMay_upperbound
maytojune_upp~d double  %10.0g                MaytoJune_upperbound
febtojune_upp~d double  %10.0g                FebtoJune_upperbound
labor_income_~e double  %10.0g                labor_income_share
date            float   %td                   
iso_3166_2_code str6    %9s                   
census_fips_c~e long    %12.0g                
retail_and_re~h int     %8.0g                 retail_and_recreation_percent_change_from_baseline
grocery_and_p~a int     %8.0g                 grocery_and_pharmacy_percent_change_from_baseline
parks_percent~i int     %8.0g                 parks_percent_change_from_baseline
transit_stati~_ int     %8.0g                 transit_stations_percent_change_from_baseline
workplaces_pe~b int     %8.0g                 workplaces_percent_change_from_baseline
residential_p~_ byte    %8.0g                 residential_percent_change_from_baseline
gmio            float   %9.0g                 
gmiw            float   %9.0g                 
gmio_sm         float   %9.0g                 ma: x(t)= gmio: window(3 1 3)
gmiw_sm         float   %9.0g                 ma: x(t)= gmiw: window(3 1 3)
school_frac     float   %9.0g                 
deaths          double  %8.0g                 (sum) deaths
confirmed       double  %12.0g                (sum) confirmed
deaths_thou     float   %9.0g                 Deaths (actual, thous)
confirmed_thou  float   %9.0g                 Confirmed cases (actual, thous)
deaths_weekly   float   %9.0g                 Weekly deaths, actual (thou)
deaths_daily    float   %9.0g                 Daily deaths, actual (thou)
ldeaths_weekly  float   %9.0g                 
day             float   %9.0g                 
month           float   %9.0g                 
quarter         float   %9.0g                 
year            float   %9.0g                 
yrmo            float   %9.0g                 
yrq             float   %9.0g                 
obsno           float   %9.0g                 
shock_Marchhrs  float   %9.0g                 
shock_Aprilhrs  float   %9.0g                 
shock_Mayhrs    float   %9.0g                 
shock_Junhrs    float   %9.0g                 
y99             float   %9.0g                 
labor_shock1    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock2    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock3    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock4    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock5    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock6    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock7    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock8    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock9    double  %10.0g                
labor_shock10   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock11   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock12   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock13   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock14   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock15   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock16   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock17   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock18   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock19   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock20   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock21   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock22   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock23   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock24   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock25   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock26   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock27   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock28   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock29   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock30   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock31   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock32   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock33   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock34   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock35   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock36   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock37   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock38   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock39   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock40   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock41   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock42   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock43   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock44   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock45   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock46   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock47   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock48   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock49   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock50   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock51   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock52   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock53   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock54   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock55   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock56   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock57   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock58   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock59   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock60   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock61   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock62   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock63   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock64   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock65   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock66   double  %10.0g                
labor_shock67   float   %9.0g                 
labor_shock68   float   %9.0g                 
epop            float   %9.0g                 
emp_count_tot~j float   %9.0g                 
emp_count1      float   %9.0g                 
epop1           float   %9.0g                 
emp_count2      float   %9.0g                 
epop2           float   %9.0g                 
emp_count3      float   %9.0g                 
epop3           float   %9.0g                 
emp_count4      float   %9.0g                 
epop4           float   %9.0g                 
emp_count5      float   %9.0g                 
epop5           float   %9.0g                 
pp_rel1         float   %9.0g                 
pp_rel2         float   %9.0g                 
pp_rel3         float   %9.0g                 
pp_rel4         float   %9.0g                 
x99             float   %9.0g                 
pp_rel5         float   %9.0g                 
w99             float   %9.0g                 
wfh_frac        double  %10.0g                
school_fac      float   %9.0g                 
gmio_sm_scaled  float   %9.0g                 
cmox1           float   %9.0g                 
cmhx1           float   %9.0g                 
cmwx1           float   %9.0g                 
cmox2           float   %9.0g                 
cmhx2           float   %9.0g                 
cmwx2           float   %9.0g                 
cmox3           float   %9.0g                 
cmhx3           float   %9.0g                 
cmwx3           float   %9.0g                 
cmox4           float   %9.0g                 
cmhx4           float   %9.0g                 
cmwx4           float   %9.0g                 
cmox5           float   %9.0g                 
cmhx5           float   %9.0g                 
cmwx5           float   %9.0g                 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sorted by: date
     Note: Dataset has changed since last saved.

. cap drop _merge

. save "data\NPI_industry_data", replace
file data\NPI_industry_data.dta saved

. 
. * ------ Misc matrices, odss & ends --------
. mkmat deaths, mat(deaths)

. mkmat obsno, mat(obsno)

. mkmat emp_count1 emp_count2 emp_count3 emp_count4 emp_count5 in 1/68, mat(emp_count)

. mat emp_count_tot = emp_count*J(5,1,1)

. mat Lvec = emp_count'*J(68,1,1)

. mat Ltot = emp_count_tot'*J(rowsof(emp_count_tot),1,1)

. global Ltot = Ltot[1,1]

. gen psi = labor_income_share
(250 missing values generated)

. mkmat psi in 1/66, mat(psi)

. 
. * labor shocks by sector: historical and maximum until virus
. mkmat labor_shock1-labor_shock68, mat(lshock_npi)

. mkmat epop in 1/68, mat(epop)

. mkmat epop1 epop2 epop3 epop4 epop5 in 1/68, mat(epop_age)

. mat lshare_npi = hadamard(lshock_npi,J(rowsof(lshock_npi),1,1)*epop')

.  mat lshare_npi = lshare_npi[1...,1..66]

. mat lshockmax = J(68,1,0)

. 
. forvalues i = 1/68 {
  2.     mat lshockmax[`i',1] = 1 - 0.03*(lshock_npi[113,`i']<0.95) // Sectors for which employment was down by
>  more than 10% as of June empl report are capped at -3%
  3. }

. 
. * ---------- SEIQRD parameters (global) -------------------
. * IFR profile interpolated from Salje Science May 2020 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/05/1
> 2/science.abc3517 interpolated 
. *  Interpolation from log-linear fit (Salje used log-linear) with US population weights, calculated in ifr_ag
> e_population_adj.xlsx
. if $nage==5 {
.  mat IFR00 =  (0.001    \ 0.020    \ 0.280      \ 1.349   \ 7.177)/100 // Salje Science May 2020 (adjusted fo
> r our age groups)
.  mat a98 = IFR00'*Nvec/N
.  mat IFR00 = (1.2/a98[1,1])*IFR00 // factor of 1.41 to adjust for typical simulated infection rate age distn
.  
.  * fractional distribution of initially infected
.  mat I00 = (1.75 \ 10.15 \ 12.25 \ 4.55 \ 6.30)
.  mat a99 = I00'*J(5,1,1)
.  mat I00 = I00/a99[1,1]
. }

. if $nage==1 {
.  mat IFR00 = 1
.  mat I00 = 1
.  forvalues i = 1/$numnpis {
  2.   mat cnormalized = hadamard(c_`i',Nvec*Nvecinv')
  3.   mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized
  4.   mat c_`i' = r[1,1]
  5.  }
.  mat Nvec = N
.  mat Nvecinv = 1/N
. }

. 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. *  Read in POLYMOD contact matrices
. *    compute conditional contact matrices
. *    reweight for US 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. preserve 

.  foreach cc in "home_mean" "other_mean" "work_mean" {
  2.   import delimited using "$dpath/contact_`cc'.csv", rowrange(2) colrange(2) clear
  3.   destring v*, replace
  4.   mkmat v*, mat(c)
  5.   mat c`cc' = c
  6.   mat list c`cc'
  7.  }
(5 vars, 5 obs)
v1 already numeric; no replace
v2 already numeric; no replace
v3 already numeric; no replace
v4 already numeric; no replace
v5 already numeric; no replace

chome_mean[5,5]
           v1         v2         v3         v4         v5
r1  1.4490775   1.798893  .76863468  .14907749  .07269373
r2  1.1207547  1.3264151  .70518869  .13349056  .07311321
r3  .71412683  1.0489433  1.0389322  .17130144  .14627364
r4  .49530515  .88497651  .64319247  .62676054  .17136151
r5   .4649123  .71052629   .7719298  .31578946  .42982456
(5 vars, 5 obs)
v1 already numeric; no replace
v2 already numeric; no replace
v3 already numeric; no replace
v4 already numeric; no replace
v5 already numeric; no replace

cother_mean[5,5]
           v1         v2         v3         v4         v5
r1  7.3420663  2.1723247  .94169742  .16014761  .07749078
r2  .90377361  3.4990566  1.0891509  .19245283  .08584905
r3  .74416018  2.0456061  1.7130145  .38431591  .20634037
r4  .29812208  1.5211267  1.5962441  .90845072  .33802816
r5  .21929824  .69298244  .92105263  .65789473  .28947368
(5 vars, 5 obs)
v1 already numeric; no replace
v2 already numeric; no replace
v3 already numeric; no replace
v4 already numeric; no replace
v5 already numeric; no replace

cwork_mean[5,5]
           v1         v2         v3         v4         v5
r1  .06937269  .11365314  .04612546   .0099631  .00073801
r2  .47311321  2.8627357      1.275  .10613208  .06886792
r3  .33704117  1.8075639  1.3370411  .09010011   .0945495
r4  .03755869  .26760563  .22065727  .02347418  .03521127
r5  .01754386  .14035088  .01754386  .00877193          0

.  * sampling fractions by age in polymod
.  import delimited using "$dpath/fractions_by_category.csv", rowrange(2) colrange(2) clear
(3 vars, 5 obs)

.  mkmat fraction_work fraction_home fraction_other, mat(fpolymod)

.  mat list fpolymod

fpolymod[5,3]
    fraction_w~k  fraction_h~e  fraction_o~r
r1     .04575646     .96383762      .8785978
r2     .49245283     .91367924     .81886792
r3     .39377084     .89822024     .78698552
r4     .11267605     .87323946     .77464789
r5     .06140351     .89473683     .65789473

. restore

. 
. mat list chome_mean

chome_mean[5,5]
           v1         v2         v3         v4         v5
r1  1.4490775   1.798893  .76863468  .14907749  .07269373
r2  1.1207547  1.3264151  .70518869  .13349056  .07311321
r3  .71412683  1.0489433  1.0389322  .17130144  .14627364
r4  .49530515  .88497651  .64319247  .62676054  .17136151
r5   .4649123  .71052629   .7719298  .31578946  .42982456

. mat list cother_mean

cother_mean[5,5]
           v1         v2         v3         v4         v5
r1  7.3420663  2.1723247  .94169742  .16014761  .07749078
r2  .90377361  3.4990566  1.0891509  .19245283  .08584905
r3  .74416018  2.0456061  1.7130145  .38431591  .20634037
r4  .29812208  1.5211267  1.5962441  .90845072  .33802816
r5  .21929824  .69298244  .92105263  .65789473  .28947368

. mat list fpolymod

fpolymod[5,3]
    fraction_w~k  fraction_h~e  fraction_o~r
r1     .04575646     .96383762      .8785978
r2     .49245283     .91367924     .81886792
r3     .39377084     .89822024     .78698552
r4     .11267605     .87323946     .77464789
r5     .06140351     .89473683     .65789473

. 
. * Create normalize mean polymod contact matrices so they are conditional on being in that state
. local j = 0

. foreach cc in "work" "home" "other" {
  2.  local j = `j'+1
  3.  mat cn`cc'_mean = J(5,5,0)
  4.  forvalue i = 1/5 {
  5.    mat cn`cc'_mean[`i',1] = c`cc'_mean[`i',1...]/fpolymod[`i',`j']
  6.  }
  7.  mat cn`cc'_tot = cn`cc'_mean*J(5,1,1) // Mean contacts by age by activity
  8.  mat list cn`cc'_tot 
  9. }

cnwork_tot[5,1]
           c1
r1  5.2419353
r2  9.7183906
r3  9.3107346
r4  5.1875001
r5          3

cnhome_tot[5,1]
           c1
r1  4.3973967
r2  3.6763036
r3  3.4730651
r4  3.2311826
r5  3.0098039

cnother_tot[5,1]
           c1
r1  12.171356
r2   7.046659
r3  6.4720849
r4  6.0181818
r5  4.2266667

. 
. * Reweighted mean work polymod matrix, reweighted for baseline US population shares by age
. mat lf99 = J(5,1,0)

. forvalues i = 1/5 {
  2.  qui su epop`i'
  3.  mat lf99[`i',1] = r(N)*r(mean)
  4. }

. mat cwork_USwt = hadamard(lf99*J(1,5,1),cnwork_mean)

. mat list cwork_USwt

cwork_USwt[5,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  .09829618  .16103843  .06535651  .01411701   .0010457
r2  .72277838  4.3734216  1.9478264  .16213872  .10521001
r3  .59328898  3.1818301  2.3535753    .158602   .1664342
r4  .08763579  .62440501  .51486027  .05477237  .08215856
r5  .01900464  .15203712  .01900464  .00950232          0

. * Pull out rows of other contact matrix for subsequent individual manipulation 
. local m "cother_mean"

. forvalues i = 1/5 {
  2.  mat `m'`i' = J(5,5,0)
  3.  mat `m'`i'[`i',1] = `m'[`i',1...]
  4. }

. mat `m'23 = `m'2 + `m'3

. mat `m'24 = `m'2 + `m'3 + `m'4

. mat `m'25 = `m'2 + `m'3 + `m'4 + `m'5

. *
. 
. * Adjustment matrix for reduced infectiousness of children
. *   Note will want to vary this for sensitivity analysis. See Kong-Li memo 060620
. mat cmat_adjust_kids = J(5,5,1)

. mat cmat_adjust_kids[1,2] = J(1,4,$inf_adults2kids)

. mat cmat_adjust_kids[2,1] = J(4,1,$inf_kids2adults)

. mat cmat_adjust_kids[1,1] = ($inf_kids2adults+$inf_adults2kids)/2

. 
. * Create contact summary measure (maxReval) for use in nage=1 model, no SD measures (phifac=1)
. local T = _N

. qui gen maxReval_un = .

. qui gen maxReval = .

. forvalues t = 1/`T' {
  2.  if (cmhx1[`t']~=.)*(cmox1[`t']~=.)*(cmwx1[`t']~=.) {
  3.   mat cwork = J(5,5,0)
  4.   mat cother = J(5,5,0)
  5.   mat chome = J(5,5,0)
  6.   forvalues a = 1/5 {
  7.    mat cwork[`a',1]  = cmwx`a'[`t']*cnwork_mean[`a',1...] 
  8.    mat cother[`a',1] = cmox`a'[`t']*cother_mean[`a',1...]
  9.    mat chome[`a',1]  = cmhx`a'[`t']*chome_mean[`a',1...]
 10.   }
 11.   mat ctot = chome + cother + cwork
 12.   if `t'==11 {
 13.       mat ctot0 = ctot // basline contact matrix is Monday March 2
 14.   }
 15.   if `t'==55 {
 16.       mat ctot_April15 = ctot // contact matrix on April 15
 17.   }
 18.   mat cmat = hadamard(cmat_adjust_kids,ctot)
 19.   mat cnormalized = hadamard(cmat,Nvec*Nvecinv')
 20.   mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized
 21.   qui replace maxReval = r[1,1] in `t'/`T'
 22.   mat cnormalized = hadamard(ctot,Nvec*Nvecinv')
 23.   mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized
 24.   qui replace maxReval_un = r[1,1] in `t'/`T'
 25.  }
 26. }

. *tsline maxReval maxReval_un in 1/100
. su maxReval if tin(22Feb2020,03Mar2020)

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
    maxReval |         11    12.68447    .0898135   12.53605   12.78508

. global maxReval0 = r(mean)

. mkmat maxReval, mat(maxReval)

. mat maxReval_input =  J(`T',1,$maxReval0) // required initialization

. dis "Baseline maxReval = " $maxReval0
Baseline maxReval = 12.684465

. 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. *       Derivatives of maximum eigenvalue for adding workers to sector i
. *         Evaluate derivatives for baseline contact matrix
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. sca numericalderivfac = 1000

. gen mderiv = .
(316 missing values generated)

. mat cmat = hadamard(cmat_adjust_kids,ctot0)

. mat cnormalized = hadamard(cmat,Nvec*Nvecinv')

. mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized

. local maxrevalmc_0 = r[1,1]

. forvalues a = 1/5 {
  2.   gen depop`a' = (numericalderivfac/Nvec[`a',1])*(emp_count`a'/emp_count_tot)  // increment in epop by age
>  for numerical derivative 
  3. }
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)
(248 missing values generated)

. forvalues i = 1/66 {
  2.  mat dcwork = J(5,5,0)
  3.  forvalues a = 1/5 {
  4.    mat dcwork[`a',1]  = depop`a'[`i']*pp_rel`a'[`i']*cnwork_mean[`a',1...]
  5.  }
  6.  mat ctot1 = ctot0 + dcwork
  7.  mat cmat = hadamard(cmat_adjust_kids,ctot1)
  8.  mat cnormalized = hadamard(cmat,Nvec*Nvecinv')
  9.  mat eigenvalues r c = cnormalized
 10.  local maxrevalmc_1 = r[1,1]
 11.  qui replace mderiv = (`maxrevalmc_1' - `maxrevalmc_0')/numericalderivfac in `i'/`i'
 12. }

. 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. *          Create industry contribution index (theta) 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. gen theta_gdp_raw = (psi/emp_count_tot)/((0.05539/0.214)*mderiv)
(250 missing values generated)

. gen psi_per_worker = psi/emp_count_tot
(250 missing values generated)

. winsor theta_gdp_raw, gen(theta_gdp) h(3)

.  su theta_gdp in 1/66, d

             theta_gdp_raw, Winsorized extreme 3
-------------------------------------------------------------
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%      .109523        .109523
 5%      .109523        .109523
10%     .1333413        .109523       Obs                  66
25%     .3336748        .109523       Sum of Wgt.          66

50%     .8549862                      Mean           1.600582
                        Largest       Std. Dev.      2.591808
75%     1.387634       10.54043
90%     3.209994       10.54043       Variance        6.71747
95%     10.54043       10.54043       Skewness       2.760262
99%     10.54043       10.54043       Kurtosis       9.497972

.  replace theta_gdp = (theta_gdp - r(mean))/r(sd)
(66 real changes made)

.  qui replace theta_gdp = 0 in 67/68

.  mkmat theta_gdp in 1/68, mat(theta_gdp)

.  *
. preserve

.  keep in 1/68
(248 observations deleted)

.  keep ncode iocode iocode_name psi mderiv emp_count_tot psi_per_worker theta_gdp_raw theta_gdp

.  save "data\theta_gdp", replace
file data\theta_gdp.dta saved

.  sort theta_gdp

.  export excel iocode ncode iocode_name psi emp_count_tot psi_per_worker mderiv theta_gdp_raw theta_gdp using 
> "data\theta_gdp.xlsx", replace
file data\theta_gdp.xlsx saved

. restore

. list theta_gdp in 1/70

     +-----------+
     | theta_gdp |
     |-----------|
  1. | -.2421288 |
  2. | -.1119411 |
  3. |   3.44927 |
  4. | -.1378311 |
  5. | -.0592485 |
     |-----------|
  6. | -.2630649 |
  7. | -.5255524 |
  8. | -.4075754 |
  9. | -.2861017 |
 10. | -.0708723 |
     |-----------|
 11. | -.1814296 |
 12. | -.2296646 |
 13. |  .3314509 |
 14. | -.1430639 |
 15. | -.4481522 |
     |-----------|
 16. | -.2892466 |
 17. |  -.431935 |
 18. | -.4695451 |
 19. | -.4201268 |
 20. | -.3159987 |
     |-----------|
 21. | -.1609744 |
 22. | -.2492329 |
 23. | -.3123973 |
 24. |  .0254374 |
 25. | -.0759637 |
     |-----------|
 26. | -.2954118 |
 27. |  .2423154 |
 28. | -.5080966 |
 29. | -.5752969 |
 30. | -.5656387 |
     |-----------|
 31. | -.5631488 |
 32. | -.4487244 |
 33. | -.1744772 |
 34. | -.4223417 |
 35. |  .0603535 |
     |-----------|
 36. | -.5752969 |
 37. | -.0349365 |
 38. | -.2290017 |
 39. | -.4620456 |
 40. |  .6209609 |
     |-----------|
 41. | -.3834832 |
 42. |  -.082162 |
 43. | -.2242783 |
 44. | -.2464106 |
 45. |   3.44927 |
     |-----------|
 46. |  1.515287 |
 47. | -.5675076 |
 48. | -.5752969 |
 49. | -.4189315 |
 50. | -.2189579 |
     |-----------|
 51. |   3.44927 |
 52. |  2.419688 |
 53. |  .4113526 |
 54. |   3.44927 |
 55. | -.4570401 |
     |-----------|
 56. | -.2433542 |
 57. | -.5752969 |
 58. | -.5011098 |
 59. | -.5188103 |
 60. |  -.547192 |
     |-----------|
 61. | -.5661071 |
 62. | -.5159118 |
 63. | -.5617458 |
 64. | -.4888122 |
 65. |  -.572306 |
     |-----------|
 66. | -.4727471 |
 67. |         0 |
 68. |         0 |
 69. |         . |
 70. |         . |
     +-----------+

. 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. *         Initialization odds and ends 
. * ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
. * Initialize removal to quarantine spike to off, overwite for removal experiment
. global tremove = "20May2020"

.  cap drop e98

.  gen e98 = tin(,$tremove)

.  qui su e98

.   global ndate_remove = r(sum)

. global nremove = 0

. gen Q2avg = tin(01Apr2020,30Jun2020)

. gen Q3avg = tin(01Jul2020,30Sep2020)

. gen Q4avg = tin(01Oct2020,31Dec2020)

. forvalues q = 2/4 {
  2.         mkmat Q`q'avg, mat(Q`q'avg)
  3.         qui su Q`q'avg, d
  4.         mat Q`q'avg = Q`q'avg/r(sum)
  5. }

. format date %td

. sort date

. 
. /* Figure: Contact matrix heat maps 
> * example contact matrix with 7% unemployment rate (non-nuanced reopening), partial sequestering 75+, ages 64
> + don't go to work
> mat coth_fac_ex = J(5,5,1)
> mat coth_fac_ex[1,1] = 0.3*J(1,4,1)
> mat coth_fac_ex[1,5] = 0.25*J(5,1,1)
> mat coth_fac_ex[5,1] = 0.25*J(1,5,1)
> mat ctot_ex = hadamard((J(4,1,1)\0.25)*J(1,5,1),chome_mean) + hadamard(coth_fac_ex,cother_mean) + hadamard((1
> \1\1\0\0)*J(1,5,1),cwork_USwt)
> foreach cmat in "ctot0" "ctot_April15" "ctot_ex" { 
>  cap drop contacta contactb cc1 cc2 cc3 cc4 cc5 ctotplot
>  svmat `cmat', names(cc)
>  gen contacta = .
>  gen contactb = .
>  gen ctotplot = .
>  local j = 0
>  forvalues a = 1/5 { 
>         forvalues b = 1/5 {
>                 local j = `j'+1
>                 qui replace contacta = `a' in `j'/`j'
>                 qui replace contactb = `b' in `j'/`j'
>                 qui replace ctotplot = cc`a'[`b'] in `j'/`j'
>         }
>  }
>  twoway contour ctotplot contacta contactb in 1/25, heatmap ecolor(cranberry) crule(int) ccuts(0(0.2)9) xtitl
> e("") ytitle("")
>  save "figs/cmat_heatmap_`cmat'.png", replace
>  preserve
>   keep ctotplot contacta contactb 
>   keep in 1/25
>   save "figs/cmat_heatmap_`cmat'.dta", replace
>  restore
> }
> */
. *&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
. 
end of do-file

. replace deaths_weekly=. if tin(26Jun2020,) // plot actual deaths through the date of the conference - the vin
> tage of these scenarios
(26 real changes made, 26 to missing)

. 
. * PID controller - initial specification hits contact matrix
. *
. global ENDdate "01Jan2021"

. global PIDdate "01Jun2020"

. global nedate3 = 97 // Wednesday of week after Memorial day

. cap drop PID

. gen PID = 0

. replace PID = 1 if tin($PIDdate,)
(215 real changes made)

.  mkmat PID, mat(PID)

.  global varout=1

. su obsno if tin($PIDdate,$PIDdate)

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
       obsno |          1         102           .        102        102

.  global ndate_PID = int(r(mean)+0.00001)

.  global ndate_PIDm1 = $ndate_PID-1

. su obsno if tin($ENDdate,$ENDdate)

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
       obsno |          1         316           .        316        316

.  global ndate_END = int(r(mean)+0.00001)

. keep if tin(,$ENDdate)
(0 observations deleted)

. gen mgfac = .
(316 missing values generated)

. gen home_fac5 = .
(316 missing values generated)

. 
. local today = subinstr("$S_DATE"," ","",3)

. global resout "out/control_results_`today'.xlsx"

. putexcel set $resout, replace
Note: file will be replaced when the first putexcel command is issued

. local m = 0

. 
. * choose what to plot
. global ageplot = 0  // plot total deaths and recovered share by age group

. global seplot = 1 // fan chart based on single-IFR confidence bands

. global ifrplot = 0 // fan chart based on IFR bands

. 
. foreach ss of numlist 2/11 {
  2. foreach gov in "fast" "slow" {
  3. 
. if "`gov'"=="slow" {
  4.  global ku = 20         // weight on unemployment rate (pp)
  5.  global kiu = .02     // cumulative unemployment gap
  6.  global kp = 0.01       // daily deaths
  7.  global kd = .05        // change in daily deaths (7-week change in daily units)
  8. }
  9. if "`gov'"=="fast" {
 10.  global ku = 80         // weight on unemployment rate (pp)
 11.  global kiu = 2     // cumulative unemployment gap
 12.  global kp = 0.01       // daily deaths
 13.  global kd = .05        // change in daily deaths (7-week change in daily units)
 14. }
 15. global dlag = 14
 16. 
. if `ss' == 2 {
 17. * SD3: low SD, Phase I May 18, Phase II June 8, Phase III July 1, Phase IV Sept 15
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 132  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 18. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 19. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 20. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 21. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 22. global k1 = 1 
 23. local case "`gov'-SD3"
 24. }
 25. if `ss' == 3 {
 26. * SD3 but wfh
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  500, 500, 500  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 27. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 28. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 29. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 30. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 31. global k1 = 1 
 32. local case "`gov'-SD3+wfh"
 33. }
 34. if `ss' == 4 {
 35. * SD3 + Require all 65+ to wfh or not at all
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 132  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 36. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 37. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 38. mat selage = (1\1\1\0\0)
 39. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 40. global k1 = 1 
 41. local case "`gov'-SD3+no65"
 42. }
 43. if `ss' == 5 {
 44. * SD3 with no sectoral prioritization
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 132  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 45. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 46. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 47. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 48. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 49. global k1 = 0 
 50. local case "`gov'-SD3"
 51. }
 52. if `ss' == 6 {
 53. * SD3 with high sectoral prioritization
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 132  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 54. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 55. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 56. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 57. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 58. global k1 = 2 
 59. local case "`gov'-SD3"
 60. }
 61. if `ss' == 7 {
 62. * SD3 but wfh + no age65+ workers at work + extreme sectoral reopening
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  500, 500, 500  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 109, 
> 132 , 208 )
 63. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 64. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 65. mat selage = (1\1\1\0\0)
 66. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 67. global k1 = 2 
 68. local case "`gov'-SD3+wfh+no65"
 69. }
 70. if `ss' == 8 {
 71. * SD3 but sequester age 75+
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 132  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 88, 109, 132 \ 500, 
> 500, 500)
 72. mat npis        =     (   1,   1 ,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \  1,   1,   1 \   
> 1,   1 ,   1 )
 73. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) 
 74. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 75. replace home_fac5 = 0.25
 76. global k1 = 1 
 77. local case "`gov'-SD3-75+"
 78. }
 79. if `ss' == 9 {
 80. * SD3 with reversal of non-economic on July 15 (return to Phase I status of May 18)
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 146  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 109, 
> 132 , 146 )
 81. mat npis        =     (   1,   1,    1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \   
> 1,   1 ,  -1 )
 82. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) - 0.15*(_n>=146)
 83. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 84. replace home_fac5 = 0.75
 85. global k1 = 1 
 86. local case "`gov'-SD3+rev"
 87. }
 88. if `ss' == 10 {
 89. * SD3 with reversal of non-economic on July 15 (return to Phase I status of May 18) + sequester age 75+
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  109, 132, 146  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 500, 
> 500 , 500 )
 90. mat npis        =     (   1,  1,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \   1,
>    1 ,   1 )
 91. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) - 0.15*(_n>=146)
 92. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
 93. replace home_fac5 = 0.25
 94. global k1 = 1 
 95. local case "`gov'-SD3+rev+75+"
 96. }
 97. if `ss' == 11 {
 98. * SD3 with reversal of non-economic on July 15 (return to Phase I status of May 18) + sequester age 75+ + 
> wfh
. * reopening in stages:      wfh_fac        sdwork_fac       sdhome_fac      sdoth_fac1       sdoth_fac24     
>  sdoth_fac25
. mat npip        =     (  500, 500, 500  \ 500, 500 , 500 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 88, 109, 146 \ 500, 
> 500 , 500 )
 99. mat npis        =     (   1,  1,   1  \   1,   1 ,   1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \  1,   1,  -1 \   1,
>    1 ,   1 )
100. replace mgfac = 0.25*(_n>=88) + 0.15*(_n>=109) + 0.15*(_n>=132) - 0.15*(_n>=146)
101. mat selage = (1\1\1\1\1)
102. replace home_fac5 = 0.25
103. global k1 = 1 
104. local case "`gov'-SD3+rev+75+wfh"
105. }
106. 
. cap drop wfh_fac sdwork_fac sdhome_fac sdoth_fac*
107. gen wfh_fac     =       (1/3)*( (_n>=npip[1,1])*npis[1,1]+(_n>=npip[1,2])*npis[1,2]+(_n>=npip[1,3])*npis[1
> ,3] )
108. gen sdwork_fac  =       (1/3)*( (_n>=npip[2,1])*npis[2,1]+(_n>=npip[2,2])*npis[2,2]+(_n>=npip[2,3])*npis[2
> ,3] )
109. gen sdhome_fac  = mgfac*(1/3)*( (_n>=npip[3,1])*npis[3,1]+(_n>=npip[3,2])*npis[3,2]+(_n>=npip[3,3])*npis[3
> ,3] )
110. gen sdoth_fac1  = mgfac*(1/3)*( (_n>=npip[4,1])*npis[4,1]+(_n>=npip[4,2])*npis[4,2]+(_n>=npip[4,3])*npis[4
> ,3] )
111. gen sdoth_fac24 = mgfac*(1/3)*( (_n>=npip[5,1])*npis[5,1]+(_n>=npip[5,2])*npis[5,2]+(_n>=npip[5,3])*npis[5
> ,3] )
112. gen sdoth_fac5  = mgfac*(1/3)*( (_n>=npip[6,1])*npis[6,1]+(_n>=npip[6,2])*npis[6,2]+(_n>=npip[6,3])*npis[6
> ,3] )
113. replace wfh_frac = wfh_frac[$ndate_PIDm1] + wfh_fac*(wfh_frac[11]-wfh_frac[$ndate_PIDm1]) if tin($PIDdate,
> )
114. local nage = $nage
115.  
. * Read in estimated parms from file - note code can only handle one set of parameter values at a time
. * BPEA conference draft parameter file estn\Estd_parms_5_061820.xlsx
. * Updated estimates (main change is adjusted IFRs) Estd_parms_5_062420_Salje_base
. local parmfile "estn\Estd_parms_5_070620_BPEA_final_base.xlsx"
116. *local parmfile "estn\Estd_parms_5_0706620_BPEA_final_gamma9.xlsx"
. local ifrbar = 0.007
117.  
. preserve
118.  qui import excel using `parmfile', sheet(parms) case(lower) clear
119.  mkmat *, mat(parms_all)
120.  local nparms = parms_all[1,1]
121.  local nr1 = rowsof(parms_all)
122.  forvalues i1 = 1/`nr1' {
123.     if parms_all[`i1',1+2*`nparms'+4] == `ifrbar' {
124.      local isel = `i1'
125.         }
126.  }
127.  mat parms = parms_all[`isel',1...]
128.  qui import excel using `parmfile', sheet(vcv) case(lower) clear
129.  mkmat *, mat(vecvcv_all)
130.  mat vecvcv = vecvcv_all[`isel',1...]
131. restore
132. 
. *---------- Multiple evaluation loop -------------------
. cap drop edates
133. gen edates=0
134. local p = 1
135.  foreach fschool of numlist  0 1 {
136.   foreach fquar of numlist 5 10 15 {  // units are percentage quarantined
137.    local m = `m'+1
138.    local fk100 = round($k1*100,1)
139.    local fquar = round(`fquar',1)
140.    local fschool10 = round(`fschool'*10,1)
141.    local csfx "`case'_`fk100'_s`fschool10'_Q`fquar'"
142.    replace school_frac = `fschool'*tin(24Aug2020,) if tin($PIDdate,) // fraction of <20 with school open
143. 
.    cap drop dtot_p* wtot_p* unrate_p* gdp_p*
144.         local nparms = parms[1,1]
145.     mat bhat = parms[1,2..`nparms'+1]
146.         mat vtemp = vecvcv[1,1...]'
147.     mata: st_matrix("vcv", colshape( st_matrix("vtemp")', 5) )
148.     mat list vcv
149.         global nedate1 = round(parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+1],.01)
150.         global nedate2 = round(parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+2],.01)
151.          replace edates = (_n>=$nedate1)*(_n<=$nedate2)
152.     local R0 = round(parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+3],.01)
153.     global deltabar = round(parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+4],.001)
154.     global gamma = parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+5]
155.     global sigma = parms[1,1+2*`nparms'+6]
156.         
.         local deltabar = $deltabar
157.     cap drop qrate
158.         gen qrate = $gamma*(0.05/0.95)*(`fquar'>=5)*tin($PIDdate,)
159.         if `fquar'>5 {
160.          replace qrate = $gamma*(0.1/0.9)*(`fquar'>=10) if tin(15Jul2020,) // 10% quarantine rate initiall
> y, if indicated
161.         }
162.         if `fquar'>10 {
163.          replace qrate = $gamma*(`fquar'/(100-`fquar')) if tin(01Sep2020,) // later, increase quarantine r
> ate to higher value
164.         }
165.     mat IFR = `deltabar'*IFR00 
166.     cap drop x99
167.     gen x99 = 0
168.     *============================================*
.     nlseird_pid x99 if edates, at(bhat)
169.     *============================================*
.     local fd = round(Dtot[$ndate_END],1)
170.         keep if tin(,$ENDdate)
171.         cap drop unrate_mthly gdp_mthly gdp_qtrly
172.         replace unrate = 3.5+100*unrate
173.     sort yrmo date
174.     by yrmo: egen unrate_mthly = mean(unrate)
175.     by yrmo: egen gdp_mthly = mean(gdp)
176.         sort yrq date
177.     by yrq: egen gdp_qtrly = mean(gdp)
178.         sort date
179.          qui replace gdp_qtrly = gdp_qtrly[_n-1] if tin(01Jan2021,)
180.          local gdp0 = gdp_qtrly[1]
181.      qui replace gdp_qtrly = (51*gdp[1] + 40*`gdp0')/91 if tin(,31Mar2020)
182.         *list date yrmo gdp gdp_qtrly
.         qui replace unrate_mthly = . in l/l
183.         qui replace gdp_mthly = . in l/l
184.         qui replace gdp_qtrly = . in l/l
185. 
.     cap drop r0_p`p' unrate_mthly_p`p' gdp_qtrly_p`p'
186.         cap drop unrate_p`p' gdp_p`p'
187.     gen dtot_p`p' = Dtot
188.     gen wtot_p`p' = Wtot
189.     gen r0_p`p' = r0
190.     gen unrate_p`p' = unrate_mthly
191.     gen gdp_p`p' = gdp_qtrly
192.     gen unrate_mthly_p`p' = unrate_mthly
193.     gen gdp_qtrly_p`p' = gdp_qtrly
194.         *
.                 *------------- Save output ----------------
.         if `m'==1 {
195.          mat lshockQ2 = lshock'*Q2avg
196.          mat lshockQ3 = lshock'*Q3avg
197.          mat lshockQ4 = lshock'*Q4avg
198.          svmat lshockQ3, names(lshockQ3)
199.          ren lshockQ31 lshockQ3
200.         }
201.         cap drop Un Gd
202.         gen Un = unrate_mthly
203.         gen Gd = gdp_qtrly
204.         if (`m'==1) {
205.          qui putexcel A2 = "Case"
206.          qui putexcel B2 = "k1"
207.          qui putexcel C2 = "fschool"
208.          qui putexcel D2 = "fquar"
209.          qui putexcel AA1 = "Deaths - total (thou)"
210.          qui putexcel BA1 = "Weekly deaths (thou)"
211.          qui putexcel CA1 = "Unemployment rate"
212.          qui putexcel DA1 = "GDP"
213.          foreach C in "A" "B" "C" "D" {
214.           qui putexcel `C'A2 = "Mar01"
215.           qui putexcel `C'B2 = "Apr01"
216.           qui putexcel `C'C2 = "May01"
217.           qui putexcel `C'D2 = "Jun01"
218.           qui putexcel `C'E2 = "Jul01"
219.           qui putexcel `C'F2 = "Aug01"
220.           qui putexcel `C'G2 = "Sep01"
221.           qui putexcel `C'H2 = "Oct01"
222.           qui putexcel `C'I2 = "Nov01"
223.           qui putexcel `C'J2 = "Dec01"
224.           qui putexcel `C'K2 = "Jan01"
225.          }
226.     }
227.         mat Pout = ($k1,`fschool',`fquar',vec(npip)')
228.         mat Dout = (Dtot[10],Dtot[41],Dtot[71],Dtot[102],Dtot[132],Dtot[163],Dtot[194],Dtot[224],Dtot[255]
> ,Dtot[285],Dtot[316])
229.         mat Wout = (Wtot[10],Wtot[41],Wtot[71],Wtot[102],Wtot[132],Wtot[163],Wtot[194],Wtot[224],Wtot[255]
> ,Wtot[285],Wtot[316])
230.         mat Uout = (Un[10],Un[41],Un[71],Un[102],Un[132],Un[163],Un[194],Un[224],Un[255],Un[285],Un[316])
231.         mat Yout = (Gd[10],Gd[41],Gd[71],Gd[102],Gd[132],Gd[163],Gd[194],Gd[224],Gd[255],Gd[285],Gd[316])
232.         local r = `m'+2
233.         putexcel A`r' = "`case'"
234.         putexcel B`r' = matrix(Pout)
235.     putexcel AA`r' = matrix(Dout)
236.     putexcel BA`r' = matrix(Wout)
237.     putexcel CA`r' = matrix(Uout)
238.     putexcel DA`r' = matrix(Yout)
239.     * ----------- age profile plot (no SEs) -----------
.         if $ageplot==1 {
240.                 local fIFRsv = round(1000*`deltabar',1)
241.                 format date %tdMonDD
242.                 tsline D1 D2 D3 D4 D5, tline($PIDdate, lc(black) lp(-)) ttitle("") ytitle(Thousands) ///
>                         title("Total deaths by age") legend(cols(3)) tlabel(#10, angle(45))
243.                         graph export "$figpath/age/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_D-age.png", replace
244.                 preserve 
245.                  keep date D1 D2 D3 D4 D5
246.                  save "$figpath/age/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_D-age", replace
247.                 restore
248.                 tsline Rshr1 Rshr2 Rshr3 Rshr4 Rshr5, tline($PIDdate, lc(black) lp(-)) ttitle("") ytitle(f
> raction of age group) ///
>                         title("Share of recovered individuals by age") legend(cols(3)) tlabel(#10, angle(45))
249.                         graph export "$figpath/age/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_Rshr-age.png", replace
250.                 format date %td
251.                 preserve 
252.                  keep date Rshr1 Rshr2 Rshr3 Rshr4 Rshr5
253.                  save "$figpath/age/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_Rshr-age", replace
254.                 restore
255.         }
256.         * --------------- Fan plot --------------------
.         if $seplot==1 {
257.                 local pltype "SE"
258.     * compute derivatives and SEs wrt I0 and beta (not phi)
.                 global eps = 1e-4
259.                 local npx = `nparms'-1
260.                 forvalues j = 1(`npx')`nparms' {
261.                         mat delbhat = J(1,colsof(bhat),0)
262.                         mat delbhat[1,`j'] = $eps
263.                         mat bhat_eps = bhat + delbhat
264.                         *----------------*
.                         nlseird_pid x99 if edates, at(bhat_eps)
265.                         *----------------*
.                         cap drop unrate_mthly gdp_mthly gdp_qtrly
266.                         replace unrate = 3.5+100*unrate
267.                         sort yrmo date
268.                         by yrmo: egen unrate_mthly = mean(unrate)
269.                         by yrmo: egen gdp_mthly = mean(gdp)
270.                         sort yrq date
271.                         by yrq: egen gdp_qtrly = mean(gdp)
272.                         sort date
273.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = gdp_qtrly[_n-1] if tin(01Jan2021,)
274.                         local gdp0 = gdp_qtrly[1]
275.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = (51*gdp[1] + 40*`gdp0')/91 if tin(,31Mar2020)
276.                         qui replace unrate_mthly = . in l/l
277.                         qui replace gdp_mthly = . in l/l
278.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = . in l/l
279.                         cap drop wtot_eps`j' r0_eps`j' unrate_mthly_eps`j' gdp_qtrly_eps`j'
280.                         qui gen wtot_eps`j' = (Wtot-wtot_p`p')/$eps
281.                         qui gen r0_eps`j' = (r0-r0_p`p')/$eps
282.                         qui gen unrate_mthly_eps`j' = (unrate_mthly-unrate_mthly_p`p')/$eps
283.                         qui gen gdp_qtrly_eps`j' = (gdp_qtrly-gdp_qtrly_p`p')/$eps
284.                 }
285.         }
286.     foreach vv in "wtot" "r0" "unrate_mthly" "gdp_qtrly" {
287.      cap drop d`vv'_*
288.          qui gen d`vv'_se = .
289.          if $seplot==1 {
290.                 qui replace d`vv'_se = sqrt(`vv'_eps1*`vv'_eps1*vcv[1,1] + `vv'_eps`nparms'*`vv'_eps`nparm
> s'*vcv[`nparms',`nparms'] + 2*`vv'_eps1*`vv'_eps`nparms'*vcv[1,`nparms'])
291.          }
292.          qui gen d`vv'_b1 = `vv'_p`p' - 1.96*d`vv'_se
293.          qui gen d`vv'_b2 = `vv'_p`p' - 1.645*d`vv'_se
294.          qui gen d`vv'_b3 = `vv'_p`p' - d`vv'_se
295.          qui gen d`vv'_b4 = `vv'_p`p' + d`vv'_se
296.          qui gen d`vv'_b5 = `vv'_p`p' + 1.645*d`vv'_se
297.          qui gen d`vv'_b6 = `vv'_p`p' + 1.96*d`vv'_se
298.         }
299.         if $ifrplot==1 {
300.                 local pltype "IF"
301.                 local ii = 0
302.                 foreach ifri of numlist .004 .005 .006 .008 .009 .01 {
303.                         local ii = `ii'+1
304.                         forvalues i1 = 1/`nr1' {
305.                                 if parms_all[`i1',1+2*`nparms'+4] == `ifri' {
306.                                         local isel = `i1'
307.                                 }
308.                         }
309.                         mat parms = parms_all[`isel',1...]
310.                         mat bhat = parms[1,2..`nparms'+1]
311.                         mat IFR = `ifri'*IFR00 
312.                         cap drop x99
313.                         gen x99 = 0
314.                         *----------------*
.                         nlseird_pid x99 if edates, at(bhat)
315.                         *----------------*
.                         cap drop unrate_mthly gdp_mthly gdp_qtrly
316.                         replace unrate = 3.5+100*unrate
317.                         sort yrmo date
318.                         by yrmo: egen unrate_mthly = mean(unrate)
319.                         by yrmo: egen gdp_mthly = mean(gdp)
320.                         sort yrq date
321.                         by yrq: egen gdp_qtrly = mean(gdp)
322.                         sort date
323.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = gdp_qtrly[_n-1] if tin(01Jan2021,)
324.                         local gdp0 = gdp_qtrly[1]
325.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = (51*gdp[1] + 40*`gdp0')/91 if tin(,31Mar2020)
326.                         qui replace unrate_mthly = . in l/l
327.                         qui replace gdp_mthly = . in l/l
328.                         qui replace gdp_qtrly = . in l/l
329.                         qui replace dwtot_b`ii' = Wtot
330.                         qui replace dunrate_mthly_b`ii' = unrate_mthly
331.                         qui replace dgdp_qtrly_b`ii' = gdp_qtrly
332.                         list date dwtot_b`ii' dunrate_mthly_b`ii' if day==30
333.                 }
334.         }
335.         *------------- Figures ----------------
.     local nage = $nage
336.     format date %tdMonDD
337.     sort date
338.     qui tsset date
339.     local R0100 = round(100*`R0',1) 
340.     local fIFR = round(100*`deltabar',.001)
341.     local fIFRsv = round(1000*`deltabar',1)
342.     * uncertainty fan plots
.           twoway (rarea dwtot_b3 dwtot_b4 date, fcolor(red%60) lcolor(red%30)) ///
>          (rarea dwtot_b2 dwtot_b5 date, fcolor(red%45) lcolor(red%10)) ///
>          (rarea dwtot_b1 dwtot_b6 date, fcolor(red%30) lcolor(red%10)) ///
>          (tsline wtot_p1 deaths_weekly, lc(cranberry black) lp(l _) ytitle(Thousands)) ///
>          (rarea dunrate_mthly_b3 dunrate_mthly_b4 date, fcolor(ebblue%60) lcolor(ebblue%30) yaxis(2) ytitle("
> Percent", axis(2))) ///
>          (rarea dunrate_mthly_b2 dunrate_mthly_b5 date, fcolor(ebblue%45) lcolor(ebblue%10) yaxis(2)) ///
>          (rarea dunrate_mthly_b1 dunrate_mthly_b6 date, fcolor(ebblue%30) lcolor(ebblue%10) yaxis(2)) ///
>          (tsline unrate_mthly_p1, lc(dknavy) yaxis(2) tline($PIDdate, lc(black) lp(-))), ///
>              title("") legend(off) xtitle("") ///
>              note("Base IFR = `deltabar', Quarantine rate = `fquar'%. Total deaths by Jan. 1, 2021 = `fd',000
> ") tlabel(#10, angle(45))
343.          graph export "$figpath/fan/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_W_unrate_fan_`pltype'.png", replace
344.           preserve
345.                 keep date dwtot_b1-dwtot_b6 wtot_p1 deaths_weekly dunrate_mthly_b1-dunrate_mthly_b6 unrate
> _mthly_p1
346.                 save "$figpath/fan/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_W_unrate_fan_`pltype'.dta", replace
347.           restore
348.           * 
.           twoway (rarea dwtot_b3 dwtot_b4 date, fcolor(red%60) lcolor(red%30)) ///
>          (rarea dwtot_b2 dwtot_b5 date, fcolor(red%45) lcolor(red%10)) ///
>          (rarea dwtot_b1 dwtot_b6 date, fcolor(red%30) lcolor(red%10)) ///
>          (tsline wtot_p1 deaths_weekly, lc(cranberry black) lp(l _) ytitle(Thousands)) ///
>          (rarea dgdp_qtrly_b3 dgdp_qtrly_b4 date, fcolor(forest_green%60) lcolor(forest_green%30) yaxis(2) yt
> itle("Fraction of 2019Q4", axis(2))) ///
>          (rarea dgdp_qtrly_b2 dgdp_qtrly_b5 date, fcolor(forest_green%45) lcolor(forest_green%10) yaxis(2)) /
> //
>          (rarea dgdp_qtrly_b1 dgdp_qtrly_b6 date, fcolor(forest_green%30) lcolor(forest_green%10) yaxis(2)) /
> //
>          (tsline gdp_qtrly_p1, lc(dknavy) yaxis(2) ysc(r(0.86 1) axis(2)) ylab(0.86(0.02)1, axis(2)) tline($P
> IDdate, lc(black) lp(-))), ///
>              title("") legend(off) xtitle("") ///
>              note("Base IFR = `deltabar', Quarantine rate = `fquar'%. Total deaths by Jan. 1, 2021 = `fd',000
> ") tlabel(#10, angle(45))
349.          graph export "$figpath/fan/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_W_GDP_fan_`pltype'.png", replace
350.           preserve
351.                 keep date dwtot_b1-dwtot_b6 wtot_p1 deaths_weekly dgdp_qtrly_b1-dgdp_qtrly_b6 gdp_qtrly_p1
352.                 save "$figpath/fan/`csfx'_`fIFRsv'_W_GDP_fan_`pltype'.dta", replace
353.           restore
354.          format date %td
355.          dis ""
356.          dis "--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------"
357.          dis "           Case: `case'   k1 = " `k1'  "  fschool = " `fschool'   " fquar = " `fquar'
358.          list date dtot_p1 wtot_p1 unrate_p1 gdp_p1 if day==1
359.          dis "--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------"
360.     }
361.    }
362.  }
363. }
(316 real changes made)
(316 real changes made)
(215 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636411
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636411
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636873
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.423473   .9375373 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.1377   5.800435   10.75111   .9375373 |
194. | 01sep2020   184.6001   9.519623   12.31114   .9375373 |
224. | 01oct2020   236.9273   14.10097   11.97575   .9287481 |
255. | 01nov2020   308.8319   17.23698   10.34466   .9287481 |
285. | 01dec2020   384.4846   17.52553       10.2   .9287481 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   455.5334   14.77129          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630292
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630292
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630715
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.212418   .9461924 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.7413   5.496019   9.358361   .9461924 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.7907   7.608912       10.2   .9461924 |
224. | 01oct2020   217.0449   9.874416       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   264.8575   11.17142       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   312.7545   11.00292       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   357.9231   9.557171          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627498
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627498
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627884
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.212418   .9461924 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.7413   5.496019   9.358361   .9461924 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.7906   7.608893       10.2   .9461924 |
224. | 01oct2020   214.3055    8.55195       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   251.0605   7.994002       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   282.2484   6.780563       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   308.2675   5.296458          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598508
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598509
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598998
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.423473   .9422249 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.1377   5.800435   10.55301   .9422249 |
194. | 01sep2020    184.619    9.53816   12.62905   .9422249 |
224. | 01oct2020   238.2849   14.70419    13.0975   .9496183 |
255. | 01nov2020   315.5505   18.81325   10.19393   .9496183 |
285. | 01dec2020    399.736   19.73469   6.282295   .9496183 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   481.8703   17.41383          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0059757
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597571
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598019
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.212418   .9553755 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.7413   5.496019   8.919976   .9553755 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.8105   7.628418   9.331174   .9553755 |
224. | 01oct2020   218.3652   10.43661   9.177392   .9673626 |
255. | 01nov2020   271.0062    12.6098   7.626478   .9673626 |
285. | 01dec2020   327.2473   13.24031   5.854036   .9673626 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   383.7378   12.24353          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598881
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598882
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599293
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2153   3.637484   9.212418   .9580693 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.7413   5.496019   8.919976   .9580693 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.8105     7.6284   8.243602   .9580693 |
224. | 01oct2020   215.6021   9.105295   6.766766   .9791522 |
255. | 01nov2020   257.0259   9.363087   5.648803   .9791522 |
285. | 01dec2020   295.7661    8.74016   5.470319   .9791522 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   331.0267   7.399687          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639452
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639452
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639866
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.34715   .8749278 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.4329    5.45416   19.78629   .8749278 |
194. | 01sep2020   179.2979   7.943142   20.93405   .8749278 |
224. | 01oct2020   220.1575   10.67084   20.93406   .8526818 |
255. | 01nov2020    272.785   12.42575   20.93406   .8526818 |
285. | 01dec2020   326.7846   12.49658   20.93406   .8526818 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   378.4973    10.9851          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634724
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634724
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00635084
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.09506    .878854 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0625   5.171073   19.03338    .878854 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.2275    6.31592   20.75126    .878854 |
224. | 01oct2020   203.5443   7.235205   20.90804   .8569872 |
255. | 01nov2020   236.3991   7.416328   20.79359   .8569872 |
285. | 01dec2020   267.1256   6.952273   19.66934   .8569872 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   295.6433   6.086484          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631552
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631552
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631883
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.09506   .8801793 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0625   5.171073   19.03338   .8801793 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.2275   6.315906   20.28713   .8801793 |
224. | 01oct2020   201.5343   6.287436   18.34672   .8972333 |
255. | 01nov2020   227.1201   5.416636   15.10248   .8972333 |
285. | 01dec2020   248.0431   4.563443   12.28852   .8972333 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   266.1335   3.797209          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0060241
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0060241
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602846
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.34715   .8801798 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.4329    5.45416   19.44923   .8801798 |
194. | 01sep2020   179.3127   7.957793   19.65782   .8801798 |
224. | 01oct2020   221.6443    11.3442   19.66011   .8651019 |
255. | 01nov2020    280.545   14.32264   19.66011   .8651019 |
285. | 01dec2020   345.2003   15.26345    19.6601   .8651019 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   409.5858    13.7869          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605115
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605116
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605475
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.09506   .8849517 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0625   5.171073   18.67409   .8849517 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.2398   6.328053   19.49305   .8849517 |
224. | 01oct2020   204.5845   7.690847   19.63768   .8660012 |
255. | 01nov2020   241.3961   8.582621   19.64633   .8660012 |
285. | 01dec2020   278.5804   8.633102   19.61654   .8660012 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   315.0738   7.901045          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607628
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607629
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607939
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020    128.196   3.627414   15.09506   .8857089 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0625   5.171073   18.67409   .8857089 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.2398   6.328038   19.32147   .8857089 |
224. | 01oct2020   202.4504   6.668112   18.90497   .8951453 |
255. | 01nov2020   230.7974   6.154742   16.94461   .8951453 |
285. | 01dec2020   255.1752   5.387641   14.01715   .8951453 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   276.8468   4.588219          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(208 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00641598
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00641598
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00642011
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.707741   .9482932 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7968    4.91615   9.038967   .9482932 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1012   6.986586       10.2   .9482932 |
224. | 01oct2020   210.0125   9.400777       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   256.8675   11.15454       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   306.2655   11.58463       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   355.4548   10.63846          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637264
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637265
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637621
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.540859   .9507829 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.4619    4.66036   8.213964   .9507829 |
194. | 01sep2020   169.5661   5.544137       10.2   .9507829 |
224. | 01oct2020   195.2153   6.331434       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   224.1301    6.55947       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   251.6131   6.268339       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   277.6458   5.592005          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00635247
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00635248
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00635573
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.540859   .9507829 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.4619    4.66036   8.213964   .9507829 |
194. | 01sep2020   169.5661   5.544124       10.2   .9507829 |
224. | 01oct2020   193.4297    5.48382       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020    215.599     4.6557       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   233.1295   3.741648       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   247.2896   2.868505          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605759
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605759
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00606177
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.707741   .9578147 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7968    4.91615   8.551397   .9578147 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1197    7.00479   9.249327   .9578147 |
224. | 01oct2020   211.3241   9.968229   9.606824   .9626294 |
255. | 01nov2020   263.1936   12.66132   8.479771   .9626294 |
285. | 01dec2020   321.4022    13.9549   6.476367   .9626294 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   382.7002   13.53741          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608018
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608019
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608356
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.540859   .9667471 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.4619    4.66036   7.391842   .9667471 |
194. | 01sep2020    169.585   5.562836   6.982637   .9667471 |
224. | 01oct2020   196.4619    6.86072   6.687701    .978255 |
255. | 01nov2020    229.875   7.888844   6.038227    .978255 |
285. | 01dec2020   264.9553   8.291051   5.545238    .978255 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    301.194   8.023169          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00611082
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00611083
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00611373
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9049817 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9049817 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.19547   .9049817 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0503   3.541571   8.540859    .968162 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.4619    4.66036   7.391842    .968162 |
194. | 01sep2020    169.585   5.562824   6.394425    .968162 |
224. | 01oct2020   194.5827   5.960239   5.633996   .9823576 |
255. | 01nov2020   220.4453   5.695508   5.471534   .9823576 |
285. | 01dec2020   243.3821   5.107906   5.469975   .9823576 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    263.898   4.317488          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00644757
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00644757
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00645124
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.65477   .8852293 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.3306   4.695811   18.34312   .8852293 |
194. | 01sep2020   170.7777   6.002125   20.64928   .8852293 |
224. | 01oct2020   199.4416   7.197209   20.92423   .8533707 |
255. | 01nov2020   233.1132    7.74545   20.92123   .8533707 |
285. | 01dec2020    266.149   7.610659   20.76106   .8533707 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    298.147   6.921231          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0063963
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0063963
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639955
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.30544   .9038234 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.0144   4.455544   15.62089   .9038234 |
194. | 01sep2020   166.9202   4.841246   16.78115   .9038234 |
224. | 01oct2020   188.2535   5.123024   16.64889   .8984745 |
255. | 01nov2020   210.6851   4.972423   15.20676   .8984745 |
285. | 01dec2020   231.0797    4.61128   13.47521   .8984745 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    250.277   4.153224          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637171
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637171
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637478
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.30544   .9075303 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.0144   4.455544   15.62089   .9075303 |
194. | 01sep2020   166.9202   4.841235   15.25069   .9075303 |
224. | 01oct2020   186.8582    4.47916   12.57751   .9265645 |
255. | 01nov2020   204.6323   3.711745   10.70422   .9265645 |
285. | 01dec2020   218.7228   3.036304   10.20544   .9265645 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   230.4796   2.423441          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00611686
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00611687
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0061203
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.65477   .8913128 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.3306   4.695811   17.98297   .8913128 |
194. | 01sep2020   170.7893    6.01357   19.42938   .8913128 |
224. | 01oct2020   200.4811   7.660901   19.64637   .8653123 |
255. | 01nov2020   238.3858   9.020897   19.65872   .8653123 |
285. | 01dec2020   278.7645   9.562502   19.65747   .8653123 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   320.4323   9.190749          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00615001
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00615002
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00615282
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.30544   .9090921 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.0144   4.455544   15.24873   .9090921 |
194. | 01sep2020   166.9301   4.851085   16.47498   .9090921 |
224. | 01oct2020   188.9353   5.411289   17.53063   .8942437 |
255. | 01nov2020   213.6649   5.623706   17.06106   .8942437 |
285. | 01dec2020   237.4698   5.477199   15.77233   .8942437 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   260.7522   5.095152          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00616851
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00616851
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00617092
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .903516 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .903516 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.77036    .903516 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.0334    3.53374   13.30544   .9131797 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.0144   4.455544   15.24873   .9131797 |
194. | 01sep2020   166.9301   4.851075   14.97481   .9131797 |
224. | 01oct2020   187.4737   4.728824    13.0986   .9412896 |
255. | 01nov2020   207.0434   4.199389   10.86139   .9412896 |
285. | 01dec2020   223.5893    3.65308   8.925715   .9412896 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   238.3086   3.120784          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(208 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00624183
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00624183
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00624675
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749   9.343025   .9379787 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.7615   5.516775   10.42822   .9379787 |
194. | 01sep2020   181.4075   9.027037   11.81981   .9379787 |
224. | 01oct2020   231.0511   13.39438   11.63154   .9293687 |
255. | 01nov2020   299.4874   16.42211   10.33973   .9293687 |
285. | 01dec2020   371.6689   16.73366   10.25767   .9293687 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   439.6262   14.15075          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00619133
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00619133
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00619561
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749    9.17233   .9448945 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.3829   5.225872   9.227257   .9448945 |
194. | 01sep2020   175.8415   7.193922   10.25797   .9448945 |
224. | 01oct2020   211.8893   9.287012   10.25768   .9327195 |
255. | 01nov2020   256.7193   10.45929   10.25767   .9327195 |
285. | 01dec2020   301.5419   10.29965   10.25767   .9327195 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   343.9198   8.985363          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00617189
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0061719
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0061757
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749    9.17233   .9448946 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.3829   5.225872   9.227257   .9448946 |
194. | 01sep2020   175.8415   7.193905   10.25793   .9448946 |
224. | 01oct2020   209.3101   8.042707   10.25767   .9327195 |
255. | 01nov2020   243.7587   7.477907   10.25767   .9327195 |
285. | 01dec2020   272.8849    6.32797   10.25767   .9327195 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   297.1691   4.945362          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586865
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586866
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00587384
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749   9.343025   .9419109 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.7615   5.516775    10.2471   .9419109 |
194. | 01sep2020   181.4237   9.043006   12.17457   .9419109 |
224. | 01oct2020   232.3921   13.99188   12.71972   .9452073 |
255. | 01nov2020   306.1567   17.99416   10.14567   .9452073 |
285. | 01dec2020   386.8815   18.94767    7.45894   .9452073 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    465.665   16.65838          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0058656
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586561
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00587026
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749    9.17233   .9537012 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.3829   5.225872   8.794417   .9537012 |
194. | 01sep2020   175.8584   7.210539   9.058935   .9537012 |
224. | 01oct2020   213.2199   9.864902   8.963489   .9608487 |
255. | 01nov2020   263.0469   11.94583   7.845862   .9608487 |
285. | 01dec2020   316.3807   12.55849   7.266195   .9608487 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    369.769   11.52383          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588885
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588886
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00589293
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035836 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035836 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.41661   .9035836 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.8071   3.497749    9.17233   .9557778 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.3829   5.225872   8.794417   .9557778 |
194. | 01sep2020   175.8583   7.210522   8.193281   .9557778 |
224. | 01oct2020   210.5739   8.586427    7.40268   .9660724 |
255. | 01nov2020   249.5152    8.77426   7.256598   .9660724 |
285. | 01dec2020   285.4959   8.063552   7.256466   .9660724 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   317.6929   6.714733          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062907
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062907
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629491
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   15.01592   .8753159 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.0903   5.203413   19.70949   .8753159 |
194. | 01sep2020   176.4671   7.543467   20.93399   .8753159 |
224. | 01oct2020   215.1222   10.07851   20.93406   .8526818 |
255. | 01nov2020   264.7259   11.70258   20.93406   .8526818 |
285. | 01dec2020   315.6124   11.78725   20.93406   .8526818 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   364.5501   10.42377          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00625384
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00625385
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00625739
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   14.74627   .8806589 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7365   4.932976   18.66234   .8806589 |
194. | 01sep2020   171.6743   6.015001   20.51753   .8806589 |
224. | 01oct2020   199.5562    6.87582   20.82707   .8599102 |
255. | 01nov2020   230.6936   7.016671   20.52382   .8599102 |
285. | 01dec2020   259.7268   6.568131   18.96431   .8599102 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    286.746   5.783154          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622582
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622583
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622903
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   14.74627    .882679 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7365   4.932976   18.66234    .882679 |
194. | 01sep2020   171.6743   6.014988   19.77975    .882679 |
224. | 01oct2020   197.6589   5.984108   17.64692   .9005541 |
255. | 01nov2020   222.0352   5.165252   14.56155   .9005541 |
285. | 01dec2020   242.0097   4.358578   12.05305   .9005541 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   259.2799   3.622149          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0059253
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0059253
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00592973
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   15.01592   .8805857 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   147.0903   5.203413   19.37132   .8805857 |
194. | 01sep2020   176.4807   7.556903   19.65574   .8805857 |
224. | 01oct2020   216.5335   10.71847   19.66011   .8651019 |
255. | 01nov2020   272.0994   13.50644   19.66011   .8651019 |
285. | 01dec2020   333.1613    14.4379    19.6601   .8651019 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   394.3461    13.1492          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00596241
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00596242
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00596598
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   14.74627   .8859657 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7365   4.932976   18.33408   .8859657 |
194. | 01sep2020    171.685   6.025579   19.41547   .8859657 |
224. | 01oct2020   200.5124   7.296385   19.62898    .866141 |
255. | 01nov2020   235.3313   8.104508   19.63688    .866141 |
285. | 01dec2020   270.3921    8.13569   19.60331    .866141 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   304.7958   7.453472          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599065
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599066
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599366
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+no65_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9015044 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9015044 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.24641   .9015044 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.7723   3.482499   14.74627   .8870168 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   146.7365   4.932976   18.33408   .8870168 |
194. | 01sep2020    171.685   6.025566   19.11241   .8870168 |
224. | 01oct2020   198.4949   6.331475   18.49924   .8971434 |
255. | 01nov2020   225.3793    5.83619   16.40276   .8971434 |
285. | 01dec2020   248.5313   5.123292   13.70888   .8971434 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   269.1752   4.374369          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636342
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636342
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636803
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254    9.42904   .9351381 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.1992   5.817749   10.75694   .9351381 |
194. | 01sep2020   184.7938   9.559331   12.32615   .9351381 |
224. | 01oct2020   237.3505   14.16056   11.97857   .9285824 |
255. | 01nov2020   309.5169   17.29239   10.33447   .9285824 |
285. | 01dec2020   385.3406   17.55187       10.2   .9285824 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   456.3876   14.75545          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630231
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630232
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630654
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254   9.216028   .9443439 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.8017   5.512485   9.356618   .9443439 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.9627   7.640236       10.2   .9443439 |
224. | 01oct2020   217.3772   9.913536       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   265.3438   11.20169       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    313.326   11.01574       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   358.5006   9.551887          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627414
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627414
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627799
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254   9.216028   .9443439 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.8017   5.512485   9.356618   .9443439 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.9627   7.640218       10.2   .9443439 |
224. | 01oct2020   214.6268   8.585956       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   251.5028   8.016371       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   282.7522   6.790068       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    308.784   5.295718          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598255
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598255
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598747
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254    9.42904   .9379358 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.1992   5.817749   10.58019   .9379358 |
194. | 01sep2020    184.811   9.576237    12.6765   .9379358 |
224. | 01oct2020   238.7038   14.76629   13.13448   .9463724 |
255. | 01nov2020   316.2776   18.88425   10.19001   .9463724 |
285. | 01dec2020   400.7325    19.7893   6.260557   .9463724 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   483.0004   17.42484          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597373
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597374
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597823
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254   9.216028   .9521051 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.8017   5.512485   8.935064   .9521051 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.9816   7.658899   9.355653   .9521051 |
224. | 01oct2020   218.7034   10.48092   9.197669   .9654679 |
255. | 01nov2020   271.5631   12.66061   7.625886   .9654679 |
285. | 01dec2020    328.004   13.28226   5.843792   .9654679 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   384.6163   12.25992          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598727
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598727
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599139
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9035934 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9035934 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.25422   .9035934 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2247   3.642254   9.216028   .9550704 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.8017   5.512485   8.935064   .9550704 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.9816   7.658881   8.258909   .9550704 |
224. | 01oct2020   215.9297   9.144468   6.769689   .9786502 |
255. | 01nov2020   257.5247   9.399733   5.645067   .9786502 |
285. | 01dec2020   296.3891   8.763227   5.470268   .9786502 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   331.7016   7.404476          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639403
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639403
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639817
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.43497   .8721106 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.4973   5.469751   19.87084   .8721106 |
194. | 01sep2020   179.4367   7.959894   20.93406   .8721106 |
224. | 01oct2020   220.3701   10.68792   20.93406   .8526818 |
255. | 01nov2020   273.0582   12.43645   20.93406   .8526818 |
285. | 01dec2020   327.0773   12.49712   20.93406   .8526818 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   378.7659   10.97636          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634621
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634621
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634982
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.17515   .8753309 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.1261    5.18603   19.13609   .8753309 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.3605   6.331317   20.76148   .8753309 |
224. | 01oct2020   203.7465   7.251195    20.9142   .8565571 |
255. | 01nov2020     236.66   7.427272   20.80067   .8565571 |
285. | 01dec2020   267.4152   6.956382   19.62226   .8565571 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   295.9418   6.088289          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631387
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631387
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631721
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.17515   .8765675 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.1261    5.18603   19.13609   .8765675 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.3605   6.331304   20.28413   .8765675 |
224. | 01oct2020   201.7332   6.302163   18.29424   .8968261 |
255. | 01nov2020   227.3811   5.431094   15.01297   .8968261 |
285. | 01dec2020   248.3756   4.581386   12.20034   .8968261 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   266.5497    3.81631          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602373
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602373
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0060281
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.43497   .8772407 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.4973   5.469751   19.54208   .8772407 |
194. | 01sep2020    179.451   7.974074   19.66011   .8772407 |
224. | 01oct2020   221.8531   11.36077   19.66011   .8651019 |
255. | 01nov2020   280.8137   14.33319   19.66011   .8651019 |
285. | 01dec2020   345.4847   15.26246    19.6601   .8651019 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   409.8344   13.77497          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605033
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605034
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605395
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.17515   .8801738 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.1261    5.18603    18.8164   .8801738 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.3715   6.342154   19.59348   .8801738 |
224. | 01oct2020   204.7546   7.696376   19.66005   .8651052 |
255. | 01nov2020   241.5711   8.581076    19.6601   .8651052 |
285. | 01dec2020   278.7324    8.62541     19.659   .8651052 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   315.1741   7.886681          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607431
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607432
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607746
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_0_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9017425 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9017425 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9314   .9017425 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2072   3.632952   15.17515   .8805491 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.1261    5.18603    18.8164   .8805491 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.3715   6.342139   19.45469   .8805491 |
224. | 01oct2020   202.6167   6.671648   19.01223   .8900127 |
255. | 01nov2020   230.9483   6.147678   16.96513   .8900127 |
285. | 01dec2020   255.2944   5.381573   13.99952   .8900127 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   276.9601   4.590109          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636455
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636455
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00636918
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.424134   .9386026 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.0932   5.788073   10.74663   .9386026 |
194. | 01sep2020   184.4622   9.492016   12.29735   .9386026 |
224. | 01oct2020   236.6321   14.06008   11.97325   .9288587 |
255. | 01nov2020   308.3552   17.19807   10.35269   .9288587 |
285. | 01dec2020   383.8843   17.50601       10.2   .9288587 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   454.9298   14.78141          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630326
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630326
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0063075
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.214948   .9469143 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.6976    5.48427   9.361418   .9469143 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.6683   7.587119       10.2   .9469143 |
224. | 01oct2020   216.8129   9.847711       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   264.5203   11.15074       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    312.359   10.99413       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   357.5233   9.560772          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627548
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627548
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627934
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.214948   .9469143 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.6976    5.48427   9.361418   .9469143 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.6683   7.587101       10.2   .9469143 |
224. | 01oct2020    214.081   8.528736       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   250.7533   7.978717       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   281.8992   6.774055       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   307.9095   5.296956          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598652
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598653
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599141
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.424134   .9441524 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   149.0932   5.788073   10.53502   .9441524 |
194. | 01sep2020   184.4819   9.511267   12.59269   .9441524 |
224. | 01oct2020    237.988   14.66043   13.06898   .9510853 |
255. | 01nov2020   315.0329    18.7618   10.19896   .9510853 |
285. | 01dec2020    399.019   19.69383   6.301065   .9510853 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   481.0515   17.40478          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597679
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0059768
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598127
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.214948    .956684 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.6976    5.48427     8.9127    .956684 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.6884   7.606997    9.31557    .956684 |
224. | 01oct2020   218.1265   10.40573   9.164869   .9680823 |
255. | 01nov2020   270.6158   12.57469   7.629791   .9680823 |
285. | 01dec2020   326.7198   13.21173   5.863004   .9680823 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   383.1287   12.23271          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0059897
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00598971
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00599382
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9052844 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9052844 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.28689   .9052844 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2081    3.63397   9.214948   .9592407 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.6976    5.48427     8.9127   .9592407 |
194. | 01sep2020   178.6884   7.606979    8.23595   .9592407 |
224. | 01oct2020    215.371   9.078094   6.767869   .9793152 |
255. | 01nov2020   256.6772    9.33807   5.652694   .9793152 |
285. | 01dec2020   295.3332   8.724611   5.470368   .9793152 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    330.559   7.396523          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639484
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639484
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00639898
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.25999   .8767701 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.3811   5.442417    19.6979   .8767701 |
194. | 01sep2020   179.1963   7.932817   20.93396   .8767701 |
224. | 01oct2020   220.0123   10.66094   20.93406   .8526818 |
255. | 01nov2020   272.6065   12.42029   20.93406   .8526818 |
285. | 01dec2020   326.5997   12.49764   20.93406   .8526818 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   378.3334   10.99178          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634796
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00634797
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00635156
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.01718   .8813985 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0113   5.159698   18.91317   .8813985 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1295   6.306622   20.71318   .8813985 |
224. | 01oct2020   203.4131   7.228648   20.88484   .8576939 |
255. | 01nov2020   236.2511   7.414502   20.76297   .8576939 |
285. | 01dec2020   266.9835   6.955636   19.68426   .8576939 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   295.5232   6.090932          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631669
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631669
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631998
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.01718   .8828605 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0113   5.159698   18.91317   .8828605 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1295   6.306607    20.2467   .8828605 |
224. | 01oct2020   201.4051   6.281576   18.37922   .8975387 |
255. | 01nov2020   226.9653   5.409916   15.16533   .8975387 |
285. | 01dec2020    247.849   4.552716   12.35867   .8975387 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   265.8839   3.784012          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602435
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602435
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00602871
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.25999   .8829748 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.3811   5.442417   19.33255   .8829748 |
194. | 01sep2020   179.2122   7.948554   19.59167   .8829748 |
224. | 01oct2020   221.5353   11.34631   19.66002   .8651031 |
255. | 01nov2020   280.4587   14.32971   19.66011   .8651031 |
285. | 01dec2020   345.1557   15.27453    19.6601   .8651031 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   409.5932   13.79854          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605177
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605177
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00605535
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.01718   .8881883 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0113   5.159698   18.52778   .8881883 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1424    6.31944   19.38519   .8881883 |
224. | 01oct2020   204.4706   7.690294   19.52096   .8691596 |
255. | 01nov2020   241.3158   8.595878   19.52737   .8691596 |
285. | 01dec2020   278.5925   8.659286   19.51051   .8691596 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   315.2219   7.933252          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607746
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00607747
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608055
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9034957 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9034957 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   11.01683   .9034957 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1863   3.622798   15.01718   .8890779 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   148.0113   5.159698   18.52778   .8890779 |
194. | 01sep2020   174.1424   6.319425     19.194   .8890779 |
224. | 01oct2020   202.3386   6.668418   18.78846   .8981678 |
255. | 01nov2020   230.7116   6.163646   16.91391   .8981678 |
285. | 01dec2020   255.1285   5.395403    14.0433   .8981678 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    276.813    4.58792          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(208 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632543
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632544
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632959
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.773914    .946794 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.6403    4.70433   8.984303    .946794 |
194. | 01sep2020   171.6713   6.650285   10.25786    .946794 |
224. | 01oct2020   205.7641   8.911814   10.25768   .9327195 |
255. | 01nov2020   250.0834   10.54076   10.25767   .9327195 |
285. | 01dec2020   296.7675   10.95445   10.25767   .9327195 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    343.402   10.10824          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629403
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629403
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629747
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.656825   .9484023 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.3186   4.458537   8.409065   .9484023 |
194. | 01sep2020   167.3034   5.259497   10.25768   .9484023 |
224. | 01oct2020   191.5527    5.97506   10.25767   .9327195 |
255. | 01nov2020   218.7604   6.162352   10.25767   .9327195 |
285. | 01dec2020   244.5431   5.877276   10.25767   .9327195 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   268.9566   5.246723          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628074
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628075
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628382
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.656825   .9484023 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.3186   4.458537   8.409065   .9484023 |
194. | 01sep2020   167.3034   5.259485   10.25768   .9484023 |
224. | 01oct2020   189.8662   5.174984   10.25767   .9327195 |
255. | 01nov2020   210.7224   4.371528   10.25767   .9327195 |
285. | 01dec2020   227.1484   3.501743   10.25767   .9327195 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   240.3851   2.679845          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00596873
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00596874
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00597305
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.773914   .9561131 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.6403    4.70433   8.503082   .9561131 |
194. | 01sep2020   171.6871   6.665943   8.999103   .9561131 |
224. | 01oct2020   207.0735   9.488236   9.353564    .958499 |
255. | 01nov2020   256.5368   12.08856   8.481542    .958499 |
285. | 01dec2020   312.2335   13.36923   7.387813    .958499 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    370.977   12.95932          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00600482
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00600483
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00600799
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.656825   .9620425 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.3186   4.458537    7.68443   .9620425 |
194. | 01sep2020   167.3185   5.274484   7.334245   .9620425 |
224. | 01oct2020   192.6697   6.456448   7.279604   .9663693 |
255. | 01nov2020   224.0096   7.381618   7.256658   .9663693 |
285. | 01dec2020   256.6628   7.689015   7.256469   .9663693 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   290.0352   7.355762          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604491
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604492
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604755
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9040148 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9040148 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   10.39222   .9040148 |
132. | 01jul2020   127.6641   3.412557   8.656825   .9621344 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   145.3186   4.458537    7.68443   .9621344 |
194. | 01sep2020   167.3185   5.274471   7.291627   .9621344 |
224. | 01oct2020   190.8701   5.589912   7.256499   .9664208 |
255. | 01nov2020   214.8699   5.244622   7.256468   .9664208 |
285. | 01dec2020    235.748   4.616621   7.256467   .9664208 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   254.1168   3.843702          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637264
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637264
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00637626
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358   13.48397   .8884212 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    145.151   4.494952   17.91792   .8884212 |
194. | 01sep2020   168.5434   5.742374   20.37642   .8884212 |
224. | 01oct2020    195.962   6.883737   20.86987     .85506 |
255. | 01nov2020   228.1144    7.38833   20.85483     .85506 |
285. | 01dec2020   259.5993   7.251568   20.49961     .85506 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    290.118   6.609818          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632649
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0063265
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632957
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358    13.1681   .9070803 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.8472   4.263942   15.20442   .9070803 |
194. | 01sep2020   164.8235    4.62322   16.22935   .9070803 |
224. | 01oct2020   185.2025   4.896978   16.12389   .9017828 |
255. | 01nov2020   206.6618   4.758594   14.78666   .9017828 |
285. | 01dec2020   226.1861   4.415142   13.21023   .9017828 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   244.5641   3.975027          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630643
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630643
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630928
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358    13.1681   .9104699 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.8472   4.263942   15.20442   .9104699 |
194. | 01sep2020   164.8235    4.62321   14.79152   .9104699 |
224. | 01oct2020   183.8603   4.276214   12.39322   .9267855 |
255. | 01nov2020   200.8054   3.533525   10.73444   .9267855 |
285. | 01dec2020   214.1814   2.876903   10.27837   .9267855 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   225.2899   2.285486          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604568
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604569
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00604905
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358   13.48397   .8941486 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    145.151   4.494952   17.57912   .8941486 |
194. | 01sep2020   168.5541   5.752924   19.27263   .8941486 |
224. | 01oct2020   196.9384   7.319746   19.56486   .8674535 |
255. | 01nov2020   233.1042   8.601696   19.57698   .8674535 |
285. | 01dec2020   271.6079   9.121597   19.57357   .8674535 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   311.4215   8.794417          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608405
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608405
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00608665
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358    13.1681   .9121812 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.8472   4.263942   14.90551   .9121812 |
194. | 01sep2020    164.832    4.63165   16.05377   .9121812 |
224. | 01oct2020   185.8444   5.170657   17.09103   .8986402 |
255. | 01nov2020   209.4987   5.382268   16.65998   .8986402 |
285. | 01dec2020   232.3061   5.251503   15.47974   .8986402 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   254.6547   4.894063          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00610589
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00610589
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00610803
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+wfh+no65_200_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+wfh+no65   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .902118 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .902118 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874372   11.18593    .902118 |
132. | 01jul2020    127.628   3.397358    13.1681   .9158335 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.8472   4.263942   14.90551   .9158335 |
194. | 01sep2020    164.832    4.63164   14.64878   .9158335 |
224. | 01oct2020   184.4386   4.512917   12.96146   .9392157 |
255. | 01nov2020    203.098   4.000147   10.97872   .9392157 |
285. | 01dec2020   218.8256   3.466866   9.362815   .9392157 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   232.7475   2.944049          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(316 real changes made)
(208 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00478846
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00478847
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00479384
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   8.102884   .9499754 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   139.0066   3.880209   8.986438   .9499754 |
194. | 01sep2020   162.6697   6.348206       10.2   .9499754 |
224. | 01oct2020   196.8449   8.970913       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   242.2899   10.88187       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   289.5767   10.86028       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   332.9805   8.945364          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00492738
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0049274
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00493078
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   7.975502   .9521649 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.7423   3.676952   8.237881   .9521649 |
194. | 01sep2020   158.7369   5.045566       10.2   .9521649 |
224. | 01oct2020   183.3076   6.113783       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   212.1294   6.664179       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   240.3814   6.452197       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    266.729   5.563054          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503141
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503143
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503353
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   7.975502   .9521649 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.7423   3.676952   8.237881   .9521649 |
194. | 01sep2020   158.7369   5.045555       10.2   .9521649 |
224. | 01oct2020   181.5949    5.30169       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   203.7668   4.766944       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   222.1268   3.961344       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   237.1898    3.04979          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00445711
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00445713
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00446298
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   8.102884   .9587739 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   139.0066   3.880209   8.548202   .9587739 |
194. | 01sep2020   162.6886   6.366886   9.486952   .9587739 |
224. | 01oct2020   198.0076   9.465181   9.723372   .9653112 |
255. | 01nov2020   247.7895   12.17094   7.973974   .9653112 |
285. | 01dec2020   302.3199   12.75938   5.767971   .9653112 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    354.749   10.98414          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00460345
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00460347
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00460763
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   7.975502   .9670512 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.7423   3.676952   7.491992   .9670512 |
194. | 01sep2020    158.757   5.065412   7.347051   .9670512 |
224. | 01oct2020   184.4959   6.609678   7.102595   .9766495 |
255. | 01nov2020   217.5678   7.920004   6.275186   .9766495 |
285. | 01dec2020   252.8419    8.28842   5.546774   .9766495 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    287.938   7.557743          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00473609
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00473612
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00473896
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020    124.842   2.594121   7.975502   .9684806 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.7423   3.676952   7.491992   .9684806 |
194. | 01sep2020    158.757     5.0654   6.755816   .9684806 |
224. | 01oct2020   182.7075    5.75498   5.832362   .9818394 |
255. | 01nov2020   208.4806   5.791987   5.487301   .9818394 |
285. | 01dec2020   232.1931   5.309761   5.469981   .9818394 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   253.3685   4.412419          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00491672
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00491674
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00492053
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456     10.548   .8964586 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   139.1941   3.871689   17.30642   .8964586 |
194. | 01sep2020   161.3929   5.713696   20.65681   .8964586 |
224. | 01oct2020    189.716   7.096045   20.92344   .8548205 |
255. | 01nov2020   223.3041   7.770843   20.91661   .8548205 |
285. | 01dec2020   256.1034     7.4583   20.26773   .8548205 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    286.255   6.325898          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503027
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503029
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00503206
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456   10.23058   .9140238 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.9341    3.67273   14.60802   .9140238 |
194. | 01sep2020   157.9433   4.636681   17.07014   .9140238 |
224. | 01oct2020   179.2909   5.138707   17.31325   .8932856 |
255. | 01nov2020    202.316   5.176483   16.12173   .8932856 |
285. | 01dec2020   223.6913   4.832257   14.00602   .8932856 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   243.5672    4.25192          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00510417
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00510418
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00510497
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456   10.23058    .917661 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.9341    3.67273   14.60802    .917661 |
194. | 01sep2020   157.9433   4.636671   15.57188    .917661 |
224. | 01oct2020   177.9124   4.506971   13.25162   .9235586 |
255. | 01nov2020   196.3058   3.918109   11.25052   .9235586 |
285. | 01dec2020   211.4722   3.300882   10.30309   .9235586 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   224.3494   2.661491          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00457901
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00457903
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0045834
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456     10.548   .9025891 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   139.1941   3.871689   16.94593   .9025891 |
194. | 01sep2020   161.4059   5.726572    19.4279   .9025891 |
224. | 01oct2020    190.746   7.547294   19.64462   .8656501 |
255. | 01nov2020   228.3831   8.976368   19.65734   .8656501 |
285. | 01dec2020   267.7734   9.145943   19.62996   .8656501 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   305.4832   7.968314          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00475378
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0047538
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00475599
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456   10.23058   .9192848 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.9341    3.67273   14.23418   .9192848 |
194. | 01sep2020   157.9546   4.647801   16.74143   .9192848 |
224. | 01oct2020   179.9621   5.416959   17.96294   .8911061 |
255. | 01nov2020   205.2014    5.80328   17.64769   .8911061 |
285. | 01dec2020   229.7852   5.630766   15.83512   .8911061 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   253.2259   5.041992          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00486295
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00486297
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00486376
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3-75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3-75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8947   2.626456   10.23058   .9232865 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   138.9341    3.67273   14.23418   .9232865 |
194. | 01sep2020   157.9545   4.647791   15.27973   .9232865 |
224. | 01oct2020   178.5179   4.747496   13.79554   .9353686 |
255. | 01nov2020    198.639   4.386385    11.7827   .9353686 |
285. | 01dec2020   216.1209   3.874196   9.584035   .9353686 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    231.671   3.279042          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(171 real changes made)
(316 real changes made)
(14 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628516
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628517
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628742
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.769102   .9558161 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.7951   3.545835   6.969578   .9558161 |
194. | 01sep2020   158.2182   2.734116       10.2   .9558161 |
224. | 01oct2020    167.992    2.01359       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   175.2597   1.427665       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   180.2261   1.008441       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   183.8081   .6966317          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630993
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00630993
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631209
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.694653   .9563363 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    144.564   3.373245   6.831617   .9563363 |
194. | 01sep2020   156.0108   2.156004       10.2   .9563363 |
224. | 01oct2020   162.9453    1.32646       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   167.2585    .786083       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   169.7382   .4698485       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   171.2532   .2746772          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631664
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631664
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00631879
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.694653   .9563363 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    144.564   3.373245   6.831617   .9563363 |
194. | 01sep2020   156.0108      2.156       10.2   .9563363 |
224. | 01oct2020   162.5397   1.153823       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020    165.874   .5547551       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   167.4354   .2713961       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   168.2151   .1292638          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00620629
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062063
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00620816
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.769102   .9763336 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.7951   3.545835   5.760252   .9763336 |
194. | 01sep2020   158.2294   2.745139   5.472992   .9763336 |
224. | 01oct2020   168.4446      2.179   5.469976   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   176.7749   1.703442   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   183.0366   1.319915   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   187.9868   .9997311          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00625976
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00625976
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062616
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.694653   .9768839 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    144.564   3.373245   5.612371   .9768839 |
194. | 01sep2020   156.0193   2.164427   5.470129   .9768839 |
224. | 01oct2020   163.2558   1.434825   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   168.1931   .9384876   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   171.3218   .6168818   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   173.4246   .3972108          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627712
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627712
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627901
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9047989 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9047989 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461   10.26804   .9047989 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.2151   3.637272   7.694653   .9768839 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020    144.564   3.373245   5.612371   .9768839 |
194. | 01sep2020   156.0193   2.164423   5.470124   .9768839 |
224. | 01oct2020   162.8218   1.247138   5.469974   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   166.6297   .6618573   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   168.5961   .3563261   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   169.6774   .1871966          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629785
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629785
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629984
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   11.08132   .9430654 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.4022   3.400966   8.657905   .9430654 |
194. | 01sep2020    156.973   2.528443       10.2   .9430654 |
224. | 01oct2020   165.9918   1.859943       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   172.7279   1.326797       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   177.3625   .9438518       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   180.7306   .6572523          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632056
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632056
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0063225
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   10.85897   .9458115 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.1829   3.237797   7.787004   .9458115 |
194. | 01sep2020   154.9708   2.015284       10.2   .9458115 |
224. | 01oct2020   161.4494   1.240549       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   165.4932   .7384747       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   167.8293   .4435643       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   169.2639   .2607032          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632721
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632722
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00632915
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   10.85897   .9458115 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.1829   3.237797   7.787004   .9458115 |
194. | 01sep2020   154.9708    2.01528       10.2   .9458115 |
224. | 01oct2020   161.0701   1.079042       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   164.1957   .5210545       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    165.666   .2560929       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   166.4037   .1225811          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622545
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622545
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00622674
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   11.08132   .9605597 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.4022   3.400966   7.817589   .9605597 |
194. | 01sep2020   156.9804   2.535708   6.360816   .9605597 |
224. | 01oct2020   166.3186   1.983221    5.76818   .9817851 |
255. | 01nov2020   173.8923   1.549746    5.55479   .9817851 |
285. | 01dec2020   179.6082   1.208284   5.493621   .9817851 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   184.1639   .9236636          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062731
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0062731
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00627459
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   10.85897   .9655482 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.1829   3.237797      6.715   .9655482 |
194. | 01sep2020   154.9778   2.022171   5.665123   .9655482 |
224. | 01oct2020   161.7181   1.335985   5.497561   .9826762 |
255. | 01nov2020    166.324   .8770511   5.474844   .9826762 |
285. | 01dec2020   169.2564   .5794587    5.47129   .9826762 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   171.2383   .3752961          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628994
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00628994
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00629151
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9030126 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9030126 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7422   5.874461    10.9674   .9030126 |
132. | 01jul2020   128.1958   3.627204   10.85897   .9656319 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   144.1829   3.237797      6.715   .9656319 |
194. | 01sep2020   154.9778   2.022167   5.629151   .9656319 |
224. | 01oct2020   161.3147   1.161517   5.479118   .9827304 |
255. | 01nov2020   164.8682   .6188466    5.47119   .9827304 |
285. | 01dec2020   166.7119   .3347981   5.470343   .9827304 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   167.7309   .1768247          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(316 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00565113
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00565114
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00564985
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934     7.1088   .9576795 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1015   2.431309   6.890174   .9576795 |
194. | 01sep2020   145.2913   1.857332       10.2   .9576795 |
224. | 01oct2020   151.8371   1.336443       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   156.6008   .9276791       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    159.791   .6426966       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   162.0485   .4356075          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00575172
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00575173
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00575054
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934   7.062253   .9579982 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.9427   2.312598   6.806148   .9579982 |
194. | 01sep2020    143.779   1.463683       10.2   .9579982 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.4204   .8793889       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020    151.244    .509831       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   152.8333   .2985265       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   153.7845   .1709328          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577783
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577784
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0057767
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934   7.062253   .9579982 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.9427   2.312598   6.806148   .9579982 |
194. | 01sep2020    143.779   1.463681       10.2   .9579982 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.1519   .7653977       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   150.3367   .3599516       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    151.338   .1724475       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   151.8276   .0804007          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00556157
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00556159
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00555993
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934     7.1088   .9782053 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1015   2.431309   5.677833   .9782053 |
194. | 01sep2020   145.3006   1.866483   5.472492   .9782053 |
224. | 01oct2020   152.1595   1.450889   5.469977   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   157.6397   1.111599   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   161.6815   .8458395   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   164.8209   .6295802          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00569518
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0056952
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00569368
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934   7.062253   .9785443 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.9427   2.312598   5.587387   .9785443 |
194. | 01sep2020   143.7861   1.470645   5.470299   .9785443 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.6414   .9542118   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   151.8851   .6111908   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   153.8995    .393997   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   155.2275   .2487979          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00573435
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00573436
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00573295
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907513 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907513 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.191505    .907513 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8418   2.593934   7.062253   .9785443 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.9427   2.312598   5.587387   .9785443 |
194. | 01sep2020   143.7861   1.470643   5.470287   .9785443 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.3533   .8298718   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   150.8571    .431202   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   152.1237   .2275766   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   152.8066   .1171693          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .005648
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00564801
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00564585
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266    7.61049   .9552147 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.3299   2.462496   7.382282   .9552147 |
194. | 01sep2020   145.5707   1.859757       10.2   .9552147 |
224. | 01oct2020   152.1144   1.335194       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   156.8707   .9258647       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020    160.053   .6408402       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   162.3027   .4339422          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00574685
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00574686
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00574491
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266   7.506557   .9563077 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1698   2.342957   7.043979   .9563077 |
194. | 01sep2020   144.0699   1.471812       10.2   .9563077 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.7319   .8827753       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   151.5645   .5111861       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   153.1569   .2989736       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   154.1089   .1709829          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577284
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577285
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577098
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266   7.506557   .9563077 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1698   2.342957   7.043979   .9563077 |
194. | 01sep2020   144.0699    1.47181       10.2   .9563077 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.4623   .7683542       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   150.6541   .3609155       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   151.6574   .1727115       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   152.1474   .0804283          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00556038
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0055604
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00555756
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266    7.61049   .9748963 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.3299   2.462496   6.289291   .9748963 |
194. | 01sep2020   145.5791   1.867993   5.710721   .9748963 |
224. | 01oct2020   152.4146   1.442908   5.538171   .9825357 |
255. | 01nov2020   157.8554   1.102655    5.48904   .9825357 |
285. | 01dec2020   161.8616    .838079   5.475985   .9825357 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   164.9709   .6233549          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00569065
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00569067
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00568829
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266   7.506557   .9766566 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1698   2.342957   5.862052   .9766566 |
194. | 01sep2020   144.0768   1.478583   5.517678   .9766566 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.9496    .956779   5.477643   .9827318 |
255. | 01nov2020   152.1992   .6119669   5.471827   .9827318 |
285. | 01dec2020   154.2148   .3940324   5.470655   .9827318 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    155.542   .2485259          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0057296
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00572961
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00572739
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9105187 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9105187 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.968386   .9105187 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.8945   2.626266   7.506557   .9766743 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   136.1698   2.342957   5.862052   .9766743 |
194. | 01sep2020   144.0768    1.47858    5.50997   .9766743 |
224. | 01oct2020   148.6608   .8321726   5.473166   .9827459 |
255. | 01nov2020   151.1695   .4318295   5.470653   .9827459 |
285. | 01dec2020   152.4372   .2276475    5.47026   .9827459 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   153.1198   .1170689          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(208 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0058257
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00582571
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00582471
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.878511   .9585096 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.9169   2.071516   6.784752   .9585096 |
194. | 01sep2020   141.8805   1.293281       10.2   .9585096 |
224. | 01oct2020    145.967   .7729034       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   148.4453    .447122       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   149.8384   .2616249       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   150.6721   .1498214          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588739
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0058874
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588663
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.846299   .9586803 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.7832   1.972278   6.746775   .9586803 |
194. | 01sep2020   140.7429   1.019105       10.2   .9586803 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.6437    .507082       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   145.1076   .2435369       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   145.7936   .1193425       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    146.137    .057011          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00590031
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00590032
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00589962
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.846299   .9586803 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.7832   1.972278   6.746775   .9586803 |
194. | 01sep2020   140.7429   1.019103       10.2   .9586803 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.4853   .4420366       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020    144.623   .1720944       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   145.0563   .0688712       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   145.2331    .026706          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577343
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577344
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00577208
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.878511   .9790568 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.9169   2.071516   5.565565   .9790568 |
194. | 01sep2020   141.8861   1.298811   5.470235   .9790568 |
224. | 01oct2020   146.1465   .8342566   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   148.9732   .5315957   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   150.7222   .3417163   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   151.8727   .2154137          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00585535
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00585536
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00585434
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.846299   .9792304 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.7832   1.972278   5.526524   .9792304 |
194. | 01sep2020   140.7471    1.02328   5.470027   .9792304 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.7662    .546932   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020   145.4326   .2894536   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   146.2929   .1559909   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    146.767   .0821746          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00587507
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00587508
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00587417
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: fast-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739    .907652 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983    .907652 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   9.135814    .907652 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7057   2.517519   6.846299   .9792304 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   134.7832   1.972278   5.526524   .9792304 |
194. | 01sep2020   140.7471   1.023279   5.470026   .9792304 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.5972   .4763958   5.469975   .9827555 |
255. | 01nov2020    144.889   .2043554   5.469975   .9827555 |
285. | 01dec2020   145.4312   .0899557   5.469975   .9827555 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   145.6748   .0384825          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(0 real changes made)
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(102 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00581887
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00581888
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00581727
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.927464   .9580864 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.1425   2.107369   6.911271   .9580864 |
194. | 01sep2020   142.2107   1.310848       10.2   .9580864 |
224. | 01oct2020   146.3488   .7821933       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   148.8549   .4518526       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   150.2616   .2640137       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   151.1021   .1509602          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588049
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00588049
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0058792
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.870769   .9584913 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.0067   2.006637   6.802113   .9584913 |
194. | 01sep2020   141.0607   1.034204       10.2   .9584913 |
224. | 01oct2020   144.0022   .5139101       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   145.4847   .2464872       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   146.1785   .1206278       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   146.5253   .0575448          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00589344
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00589345
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00589223
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s0_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 0 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.870769   .9584913 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.0067   2.006637   6.802113   .9584913 |
194. | 01sep2020   141.0607   1.034202       10.2   .9584913 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.8417   .4479949       10.2       .933 |
255. | 01nov2020   144.9938   .1741843       10.2       .933 |
285. | 01dec2020   145.4321   .0696168       10.2       .933 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   145.6107   .0269585          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(131 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00576649
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .0057665
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00576446
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q5_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 5

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.927464   .9785194 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.1425   2.107369   5.713245   .9785194 |
194. | 01sep2020   142.2163   1.316347   5.498053   .9785194 |
224. | 01oct2020   146.5287   .8437738   5.474963   .9827395 |
255. | 01nov2020   149.3849   .5368193   5.471344   .9827395 |
285. | 01dec2020   151.1496   .3445652   5.470533   .9827395 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   152.3087   .2168743          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00584826
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00584827
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00584669
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q10_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 10

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.870769   .9790097 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.0067   2.006637   5.588458   .9790097 |
194. | 01sep2020    141.065   1.038415   5.477108   .9790097 |
224. | 01oct2020   144.1259   .5541961   5.471164   .9827514 |
255. | 01nov2020   145.8132   .2928942   5.470385   .9827514 |
285. | 01dec2020    146.683   .1576319   5.470199   .9827514 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021   147.1617   .0829216          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(0 real changes made)

symmetric vcv[5,5]
            c1          c2          c3          c4          c5
r1   .13747299
r2           0           0
r3  -.00330472           0   .00124965
r4  -.01197636           0  -.00005999   .00172119
r5  -.00018912           0  -8.366e-07     .000019   2.912e-07
(0 real changes made)
(171 real changes made)
(123 real changes made)

bhat[1,5]
            B          C          D          E          F
r4  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586804
(0 observations deleted)
(316 real changes made)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
(1 missing value generated)
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved
file out/control_results_27Jul2020.xlsx saved

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6351783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05027424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05027424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586805
(316 real changes made)

bhat_eps[1,5]
           c1         c2         c3         c4         c5
r1  3.6350783  .00457452  .85385314  .82077513  .05037424
(107 real changes made)
(107 real changes made)

IFR[5,1]
           c1
r1  .00001296
r2  .00025919
r3  .00362862
r4  .01748215
r5  .09300921
gamma .22140276
beta .05037424
sigma .22794103
IFR_sim .00586659
(316 real changes made)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_unrate_fan_SE.dta saved
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png not found)
(file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.png written in PNG format)
(note: file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta not found)
file figs/fan/slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh_100_s10_Q15_7_W_GDP_fan_SE.dta saved

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Case: slow-SD3+rev+75+wfh   k1 =   fschool = 1 fquar = 15

     +-------------------------------------------------------+
     |      date    dtot_p1    wtot_p1   unr~e_p1     gdp_p1 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
 10. | 01mar2020   .3697576   .2824083   10.29025     .98061 |
 41. | 01apr2020   12.49332   6.327482    18.7739   .9107733 |
 71. | 01may2020   70.88551   14.95351   15.82983   .9107733 |
102. | 01jun2020   110.7413   5.873517   7.864493   .9107733 |
132. | 01jul2020   124.7546    2.54769   6.870769   .9790116 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
163. | 01aug2020   135.0067   2.006637   5.588458   .9790116 |
194. | 01sep2020    141.065   1.038413   5.476283   .9790116 |
224. | 01oct2020   143.9547   .4827328   5.470685   .9827529 |
255. | 01nov2020   145.2627   .2067942   5.470234   .9827529 |
285. | 01dec2020    145.811   .0909092   5.470137   .9827529 |
     |-------------------------------------------------------|
316. | 01jan2021    146.057    .038837          .          . |
     +-------------------------------------------------------+
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. *
. * Labor shock for calculation of GDP effect in nonlinear IO model (Beyond Hutlen)
. if "`csfx'_`fIFRsv'" == "slow_SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_lshockQ3" {
.  preserve
.   keep iocode lshockQ3
.   export excel using "out\slow_SD3_100_s10_Q5_7_lshockQ3" in 1/66, replace
.  restore
. }

. 
end of do-file

. do "C:\Users\jstock\Dropbox\coronavirus\Code\BPEA_replication_code\SEIRD_filecopy.do"

. clear all

. cap log close
