Guillermo Vuletin is a visiting economist in the research department at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). He is also a nonresident fellow in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution and visiting professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). He is also an associate editor of Economia, Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA). He received a PhD in economics from the University of Maryland in 2007 and an undergraduate degree and a MA in economics from the Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Argentina. Prior to joining the IDB, he was a resident fellow at the Brookings Institution.
His research focuses on fiscal and monetary policies with a particular interest in macroeconomic policy in emerging and developing countries. His work has been published in Journal of Monetary Economics, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, and Journal of Development Economics, as well as in other journals. His research has been featured in the financial press, including The Economist, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, and The Washington Post.
[In the case of winning,] Scioli will replicate what Dilma Rousseff did in Brazil. A center-left and labor-based party, will need to make some market-friendly reforms.
The appreciation of the blue exchange is, in my opinion, not the merit of Vanoli's legal ‘witch hunt', as some people in the government like to suggest, but rather the consequence of farmers selling commodities.
[Due to the Fed’s tapering] there will be a reversal of capital flows from emerging markets to the center (United States) which, in turn, will increase the pressure towards the depreciation of local currencies.
The new central banker [Alejandro Vanoli] will be an ally of the government and, as such, he will respond to president Fernandez's needs and requests.
The fundamental economic question of the last five years has been a simple one: how much does stimulus work?