Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Fall 2012

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

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Contents:

Political Polarization and the Dynamics of Political Language: Evidence from 130 Years of Partisan Speech Jacob Jensen (Columbia University), Ethan Kaplan (University of Maryland), Suresh Naidu (Columbia University), and Laurence Wilse-Samson (Columbia University)

The Ins and Outs of Forecasting Unemployment: Using Labor Force Flows to Forecast the Labor Market Regis Barnichon (Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional, Barcelona) and Christopher J. Nekarda (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Winning the War: Poverty from the Great Society to the Great Recession Bruce D. Meyer (University of Chicago) and James X. Sullivan (University of Notre Dame)

The Reversal of the Employment-Population Ratio in the 2000s: Facts and Explanations Robert A. Moffitt (Johns Hopkins University)

What Have They Been Thinking? Homebuyer Behavior in Hot and Cold Markets Karl E. Case (Wellesley College), Robert J. Shiller (Yale University), and Anne K. Thompson (McGraw-Hill Construction)

Capital Controls: Gates Versus Walls Michael W. Klein (Tufts University)