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Friday November 20, 2009

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Research and Commentary

The Outlook for Consumer Spending and the Broader Economic Recovery

Karen Dynan, October 29, 2009

The Outlook for Consumer Spending and the Broader Economic Recovery
The Outlook for Consumer Spending and the Broader Economic Recovery

How long will the economic recovery take? Karen Dynan testified before the Joint Economic Committee that there is a great deal of uncertainty about the strength and speed of the nation’s recovery, with gradual expansion being the most likely economic scenario. She says that consumer spending is likely to grow modestly over the next few years because of weak income growth, higher saving and lower borrowing. Policymakers have options to bolster the recovery but they should be mindful of the long-run costs, particularly in terms of the budget deficit, she says. Read More

U.S. Economy, U.S. Economic Growth

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioRethinking the Way on Infrastructure

Bruce Katz and Robert Puentes, November 20, 2009, The Hill

With rising concern about the nation’s anemic job numbers, infrastructure has emerged as a centerpiece of a number of proposed “jobs bills.” In a Hill op-ed, Bruce Katz and Robert Puentes point out that infrastructure is not necessarily a cure-all and outline the federal leadership and strategies necessary for successful investment in the way we move goods, people and power. Read More

VIDEO

Save to My PortfolioEvaluating the Economy and the Possibility of a "Double Dip" Recession

Robert E. Litan, November 19, 2009

The economy is showing some bright spots, but rising unemployment, weak consumer spending and the housing market continue to be concerns. Robert Litan examines the state of the economy and offers insights into job creation and entrepreneurship, the possibility of a “double dip” recession and higher capital requirements for lending institutions.

PAST EVENT

Save to My PortfolioFiscal Challenges Facing Cities: Implications for Economic Recovery

Thursday, November 19, 2009
9:00 AM to 11:45 AM
Washington, DC

Fiscal Challenges Facing Cities: Implications for Economic RecoveryThe current economic crisis is not only a national crisis; it is also a metropolitan crisis. And soon the downturn will bring a local government fiscal crisis. On November 19, the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program and the National League of Cities co-hosted a forum on city fiscal conditions, the responses being undertaken by creative mayors, and the implications for national economic recovery. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioShould Government Policies Favor Owners Over Renters?

Ted Gayer, November 19, 2009, The Brookings Institution

Should Government Policies Favor Owners Over Renters?The housing market, thought to finally be stabilizing, took a surprising tumble with new-home starts dropping 10.6% in October from the previous month. Ted Gayer writes that those expecting the recently extended and expanded homebuyer tax credit to improve this situation are likely to be disappointed, and that the credit may be unintentionally weakening the rental market. Read More

PAST EVENT

Save to My PortfolioThe Scouting Report: Metro Areas and the Uneven Economic Recovery

Wednesday, November 18, 2009
12:30 PM to 1:30 PM
Washington, DC

What stands in the way of recovery? On Wednesday, November 18, Alan Berube and Politico Senior Editor David Mark answered questions in a live web chat about how the nation’s large metropolitan areas—including Washington, DC—have fared in the downturn. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioFiscal Challenges Facing Cities: Implications for Recovery

Mark Muro and Christopher W. Hoene, November 18, 2009, The Brookings Institution

The current economic crisis is not only a national crisis; it is also a metropolitan crisis; and it will soon become a local government fiscal crisis. In this framing report, Mark Muro and Christopher Hoene assert the importance of local government fiscal conditions to national economic performance, survey current and projected fiscal conditions, review implications for economic recovery, and offer a menu of federal policy options to help minimize city layoffs and service cuts that could harm the economy. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioThe Wealth of Older Americans and the Subprime Debacle

Barry P. Bosworth and Rosanna Smart, November 18, 2009, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College

Barry Bosworth and Rosanna Smart explore the consequences of the housing price bubble and its collapse for the wealth of older households, utilizing micro survey data to follow the rise in home values to 2007 and observing which households enjoyed home price appreciation and how they responded in terms of equity withdrawal. The authors conclude that while older households mitigated their real estate and equity losses with relatively stable fixed-value assets and pension programs, they also lost much of their presumed gains relative to earlier cohorts, and they will have less time to recover. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioThe Scouting Report Web Chat: Metro Areas and the Uneven Economic Recovery

Alan Berube, November 18, 2009, The Brookings Institution

The Scouting Report Web Chat: Metro Areas and the Uneven Economic RecoveryWhat stands in the way of recovery? On Wednesday, November 18, Alan Berube and Politico Senior Editor David Mark answered questions in a live web chat about how the nation’s large metropolitan areas—including Washington, DC—have fared in the downturn. Read More

VIDEO

Save to My PortfolioLocal Governments to Face Large-Scale Cuts

Mark Muro, November 16, 2009

Despite reports that the economy is recovering from the recession, there will likely be large-scale city government layoffs, deep cuts to local government services and halted or delayed capital projects in the next year or two. Mark Muro, policy director of the Metropolitan Policy program, explains economic cycles and their impact on city and local governments.

VIDEO

Save to My PortfolioKaren Dynan and Alan Berube Comment on the Second “How We’re Doing” Index

Karen Dynan and Alan Berube, November 15, 2009

Despite the economy’s expansion last quarter, many American workers still lack jobs, the confidence to spend money or a home to call their own. Brookings scholars have been tracking data on various dimensions of national and international well-being since early this year. Karen Dynan and Alan Berube examine the findings in the second Brookings “How We’re Doing” Index.

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioHow We're Doing: What's Blocking the Recovery

Karen Dynan, Ted Gayer and Alan Berube, November 15, 2009, The Brookings Institution

Despite the economy’s expansion in the last quarter, many American workers still lack jobs, the confidence to spend or a home to call their own. A team of Brookings experts began tracking data early this year to assess various dimensions of national and international well-being. The second quarterly "How We’re Doing" index looks at forces that stand in the way of a strong rebound and asks, "where are we going?" Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioCan We Build Our Way to Reduced Carbon Emissions?

Christopher B. Leinberger, November 13, 2009, The Brookings Institution

Can We Build Our Way to Reduced Carbon Emissions?The Senate Environment and Public Works Committee's climate change bill ignores the demand side of the equation which focuses on changing the built environment—the nations’ buildings and transportation systems, says Christopher Leinberger. He calls for policy that promotes demand mitigation measures so more Americans will use less energy and emit less greenhouse gases where they live, work and recreate. Read More

PAST EVENT

Save to My PortfolioThe Scouting Report: Extending the Homebuyer Tax Credit

Wednesday, November 11, 2009
12:30 PM to 1:30 PM
Washington, DC

President Obama approved the expansion and extension of the homebuyer tax credit initially approved as part of the economic stimulus package. While this move is intended to spur home sales, many experts argue that extending the tax credit is bad policy. On Wednesday, November 11, Ted Gayer and Politico Senior Editor Fred Barbash will be online to answer your questions about the homebuyer tax credit in a live web chat. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioThe Scouting Report Web Chat: Extending the Homebuyer Tax Credit

Ted Gayer, November 11, 2009, The Brookings Institution

The Scouting Report Web Chat: Extending the Homebuyer Tax CreditOn Wednesday, November 11, Ted Gayer and Fred Barbash participated in a live web chat on the extended homebuyer tax credit, debating whether or not President Obama should have let it expire. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioAn Awkward Dance: China and the United States

Eswar Prasad and Grace Gu, November 11, 2009, The Brookings Institution

An Awkward Dance: China and the United StatesWhile the economic entanglements between the U.S. and China have increased over the last decade, so has the tension. With President Obama visiting China and other Asian nations, Brookings expert Eswar Prasad and Grace Gu of Cornell University discuss the tightening embrace between the two countries—in terms of flows of goods and services, financial capital and people—and the implications. Read More

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Q&A with Alice Rivlin

The Stock Market Crash of 1929 and Our Current Recession

"In 1929 people got carried away with the idea that stock prices were going to keep going up... eventually a bubble like that bursts. We had a bubble like that a year ago, it did burst." - Alice Rivlin, Senior Fellow, Economic Studies

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TopicEducation

The economic and political well-being of any society requires a well-educated citizenry. Brookings’s work extends beyond the K-12 bookends to include pre-school interventions, higher education and the challenges of education in developing countries.

ExpertAmy Liu

Amy Liu is deputy director of the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program. Her policy studies include economic competitiveness, metropolitan growth and development, governance reforms, urban reinvestment, and social equity.

ExpertMark McClellan

Mark McClellan works on promoting high-quality, innovative and affordable health care. Once commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration and administrator of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Dr. McClellan now directs the Engelberg Center for Health Care Reform.

TopicHealth Care

Brookings is committed to producing innovative policy solutions to our nation’s most difficult challenges. The country may face no more important domestic policy challenge than the much-needed reform of our health care system. Through an institution-wide effort, Brookings delivers new ideas and offers policy solutions to improve health care both at home and globally.

ExpertDomenico Lombardi

As president of the Oxford Institute for Economic Policy, Domenico Lombardi’s work at Brookings focuses on the international financial crisis and the reform of the IMF and the World Bank. He is an expert on G-20 and G8 Summits.

Policy CenterCenter on Children and Families

The Center on Children and Families studies policies on the well-being of America's children and their parents and seeks a more effective means of addressing poverty, inequality and lack of opportunity in the United States.

Research ProjectBrookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement

The Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement monitors displacement problems worldwide, works with governments, regional bodies, international organizations and civil society to create more effective policies and institutional arrangements for Internally Displaed Persons.

ExpertVanda Felbab-Brown

Vanda Felbab-Brown focuses on the national security implications of illicit economies and strategies for managing them. She is an adjunct professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.

Policy CenterEngelberg Center for Health Care Reform

The Engelberg Center for Health Care Reform provides practical solutions to achieve high-quality, innovative, affordable health care with particular emphasis on identifying opportunities on the national, state and local levels.

ExpertSuzanne Maloney

Suzanne Maloney studies Iran, the political economy of the Persian Gulf and Middle East energy policy. A former U.S. State Department policy advisor, she has also counseled private companies on Middle East issues.

ExpertFederiga Bindi

Federiga Bindi is a leading expert on European political integration. She has a broad experience in government and held a number of posts in international organizations. Bindi currently serves as an advisor to the Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs. Her research focuses on the EU, transatlantic relations; EU states foreign policies, global governance issues.

ProgramGovernance Studies

Governance Studies explores political institutions of the United States and other democracies to assess how they govern, how their practices compare and how citizens and public servants can advance sound governance.

ExpertMwangi S. Kimenyi

Mwangi S. Kimenyi is a senior fellow with the Africa Growth Initiative. He focuses on Africa's development, including institutions for economic growth, the political economy, and private sector development.

Research ProjectLatin America Initiative

The Latin America Initiative provides high-quality, in-depth, and independent research across a range of economic and political issues, and offers policy recommendations aimed at U.S. and Latin American policymakers.

ExpertTed Gayer

Ted Gayer is the co-director of the Economic Studies program and the Joseph A. Pechman Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution. He conducts research on a variety of economic issues, focusing particularly on public finance, environmental and energy economics, housing, and regulatory policy.

ExpertIsabel V. Sawhill

A nationally known budget expert, Isabel Sawhill focuses on domestic poverty and federal fiscal policy. She is also co-director of the Center on Children and Families at Brookings.