Monday February 13, 2012

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RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioIsrael’s Dilemma: If It Attacks Iran, Will It Also Have to Hit Hezbollah?

Bruce Riedel, February 09, 2012, The Daily Beast

Bruce Riedel argues that should Israel conduct military strikes against Iran, it will also need to prepare for retaliation from Hezbollah in Lebanon. With the recent increases in Hezbollah’s military capacity, says Riedel, such a strike could prove very costly to Israel. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioEgypt after Year One

Suzanne Maloney, February 07, 2012, The Brookings Institution

Protesters clash with security forces in CairoAt the one year anniversary of Egypt's revolution, much uncertainty remains. Suzanne Maloney writes that the international community should bear Iran's post-revolutionary experience in mind as it seeks to persuade Egypt’s interim authorities to steer their country’s course in a responsible fashion. Read More

PAST EVENT

Save to My PortfolioIran and Syria: A Tale of Two Crises

Thursday, February 02, 2012
10:00 AM to 11:30 AM
Washington, DC

Reuters/Morteza NikoubazlWhile regimes in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya eventually fell during the Arab awakening, the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad has clung to power with grim resolution. The regime has slaughtered its people and ignored pressure from domestic, regional and international actors. Meanwhile, Iran has viewed the Arab Spring as a mixture of opportunity and threat, all the while resisting fierce international demands to end its nuclear enrichment program. On February 2, the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings hosted a discussion to assess the ongoing crises with Syria and Iran, the potential for escalation, and America’s role in the situation. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioInternational Order in the Arab World

Bruce Jones, February 01, 2012, The Brookings Institution

Hillary Clinton meets with European foreign ministersBruce Jones, coauthor of The Arab Awakening, explains that achieving a stable democracy is still far off for many countries in the Middle East, and argues that an ever-changing international order means global leaders are unable to push the region toward this goal.
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RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioGOP Candidates Are Wrong to Urge a Second Front War in Iran

Bruce Riedel, January 30, 2012, The Brookings Institution

U.S. soldiers patrol in AfghanistanTop Republican presidential candidates are calling President Obama's stance on Iran weak and threatening to use force in the region if elected. Bruce Riedel explains why again taking on a second war before finishing in Afghanistan would be a disaster, and could imperil stability in the region. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioU.S. Cooperation with China on Iran

Erica S. Downs, January 19, 2012, The German Marshall Fund of the United States

U.S.-China cooperation on Iran in 2010 was the high point of an otherwise very rocky year in the bilateral relationship. Erica Downs explains the reasons behind China's contribution to curtailing Iran's nuclear program despite its opposition to unilateral sanctions and its strong economic ties to Iran. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioAre We Sliding Toward War With Iran?

Kenneth M. Pollack, January 18, 2012, The New Republic

Are We Sliding Toward War With Iran?Kenneth Pollack questions the feasibility of the proposed strengthening of U.S. sanctions against Iran. Pollack explains how these sanctions could backfire, negatively impacting the United States in three distinct ways. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioThe United States and Iran: Heading Toward Dangerous Confrontation

Marvin Kalb, January 18, 2012, The Brookings Institution

Ahmadinejad exits a planeMarvin Kalb argues that tensions between the United States and Iran could lead to an escalation of conflict. According to Kalb, both sides have drawn red lines that, if crossed, will lead to military action. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioHow Warm Was Latin America’s Welcome for Ahmadinejad? Misgovernance in One Chart

Daniel Kaufmann, January 17, 2012, The Brookings Institution

How Warm Was Latin America’s Welcome for Ahmadinejad? Misgovernance in One ChartDaniel Kaufmann discusses the controversy surrounding Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's recent visit to Latin America, arguing that Iran's lack of democratic governance and freedom inhibited the leader's warm welcome in many countries in the region. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioHow Israel Can Help Prevent a Nuclear Iran

Steven Kull and Shibley Telhami, January 15, 2012, The New York Times

Shibley Telhami and Steven Kull argue that a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East is more feasible than most assume. Telhami and Kull examine the impact this would have on Iran-Israeli relations and offer recommendations for negotiating a path forward on regional nuclear disarmament. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioIran Sanctions Bite, but Will They Work?

Suzanne Maloney, January 06, 2012, BBC News

Suzanne Maloney discusses the impact of new economic sanctions on Iran. According to Maloney, it is unclear whether sanctions will be effective in deterring Iranian nuclear ambitions. However, Maloney argues these sanctions will exacerbate the decline of the Iranian economy, which could lead to regional instability. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioObama's Counterproductive New Iran Sanctions

Suzanne Maloney, January 05, 2012, Foreign Affairs

Suzanne Maloney writes on the effects of the U.S. sanctions against Iran’s central bank recently signed into law by President Obama. Maloney argues that the Obama administration’s approach for dealing with Iran and its nuclear ambitions will only further strain relations in the region. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioThe United States and Iran: The Arab Awakening Changes Everything

Suzanne Maloney, January 04, 2012, The Brookings Institution

The United States and Iran: The Arab Awakening Changes EverythingSuzanne Maloney, coauthor of The Arab Awakening, argues that while Iran has remained somewhat immune to the public protests that have characterized the Arab awakening, the events of 2011 have impacted Iran's domestic state and necessitated a shift in U.S. policy towards Tehran. Read More

RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Save to My PortfolioA Dangerous Mix: Iranian Oil and U.S. Sanctions

Vali Nasr, December 29, 2011, CNN.com

A Dangerous Mix: Iranian Oil and U.S. SanctionsVali Nasr argues that proposed U.S. sanctions against Iran, designed as an alternative to military action, will raise tensions between the two countries, and could eventually lead to war. Nasr explains the impact that an escalation would have on the global economy, which includes imperiling the fragile recovery. Read More

PAST EVENT

Save to My PortfolioWhere Does the Organization of Islamic Cooperation Stand on the Arab Uprisings?

Monday, December 12, 2011
6:00 PM to 8:00 PM
Doha

Brookings Doha Center

On December 12, 2011, the Brookings Doha Center hosted a special policy discussion with H.E. Professor Ekmeleddin Ihsanoğlu, Secretary General of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), as part of the Center’s Distinguished Lecture Series. Professor Ihsanoğlu’s address focused on the impact of ongoing Arab revolts on the region and on the wider Muslim world, as well as on the OIC’s position toward them.

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In Brief

As Iranian leadership deals with internal power struggles and regional changes due to the Arab Spring, the question of what Iran will do continues to be a preoccupation for the international community. Concerns include a possible escalation in actions against the United States, Iran's pursuit of a nuclear weapons program defying UN Security Council resolutions, and its support for destabilizing forces in neighboring countries.

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