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Thu, 29 Oct 2009 13:39:10 GMT
The Center on Social and Economic Dynamics at Brookings has released a comprehensive report on the economic impact of closing schools and day care centers to help mitigate the infection rate of the H1N1 virus. Center director Joshua Epstein highlights some of the study’s findings and notes that the cost for such closures could be substantial.
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Wed, 21 Oct 2009 12:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- October 21, 2009, 12:30 PM to 1:30 PM
As the nation and the world continue to grapple with H1N1, and while delivery of the vaccine in the United States faces delays, school closures are one policy tool under consideration to slow spread of the pandemic. Ross Hammond, co-author of a recent report that quantified the economic effects of school closures, and Fred Barbash, Politico senior editor, answered questions in a live web chat about the implications and potential costs of this approach.
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Wed, 30 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT
Policymakers are looking at school closures to contain the spread of an H1N1 influenza outbreak. In the first comprehensive U.S. study of the economic cost of school and daycare center closures, the Center on Social and Economic Dynamics at Brookings finds that closing all schools in the United States for four weeks could cost up to $47 billion and lead to a reduction of up to 17% in key health care personnel.
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Mon, 28 Sep 2009 00:00:00 GMT
Warwick McKibbin and Andrew Stoeckel use modelling to explore the economic effects of a global financial crisis where businesses and households unexpectedly switch between a pessimistic view on risk and then to a more moderate temporary scenario.
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Tue, 01 Sep 2009 13:35:02 GMT
Experts are bracing for an extremely high H1N1 flu infection rate this fall and winter. Joshua Epstein says computer modeling can help the medical community and policy-makers predict which populations are most susceptible to infection, how great the infection rate will be and how to stem the spread of the virus.
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Thu, 06 Aug 2009 00:00:00 GMT
Joshua M. Epstein explains that agent-based computational models can capture irrational behaviour, complex social networks and global scale — all essential in confronting H1N1.
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Mon, 15 Jun 2009 00:00:00 GMT
Obesity has grown rapidly into a major public health challenge in the United States and worldwide. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has said that as many as one-third of Americans are obese. Ross Hammond explains how techniques from the field of complexity science can inform both scientific study of obesity and effective policies to combat it.
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Thu, 30 Apr 2009 13:46:00 GMT
With cases of swine flu rising in the United States and around the world, health officials are taking action to contain the spread and severity of the disease. Brookings Fellow Ross Hammond discussed the artificial society models he has helped develop that can aid professionals in better understanding how to prepare for and react to epidemics.
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Wed, 01 Apr 2009 00:00:00 GMT
H. Peyton Young shows that the Geithner proposal for pricing toxic assets is a peculiar type of auction in which the taxpayer is cursed by competition among the buyers. The more that investors compete, the lower are the expected returns for the taxpayers. Naturally, the windfall goes to the banks.
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Mon, 22 Dec 2008 15:55:44 GMT
Brookings’s Center on Social and Economic Dynamics has pioneered a model that forecasts how infectious diseases like the flu spread. Center director Joshua Epstein says the Obama administration should use modeling to avert pandemic outbreaks and restore faith in the public health system.
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Wed, 17 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

Based on the 2008 working paper, "The Hedge Fund Game," Peyton Young and co-author Dean P. Foster show how surprisingly easy it is for unskilled managers to create “fake” alpha, mimicking the returns of their more skilled and scrupulous peers. The only way to protect the industry, the authors argue, is through greater transparency.
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Mon, 15 Dec 2008 00:00:00 GMT

In classical mathematical epidemiology, individuals do not adapt their contact behavior during epidemics. They do not endogenously engage, for example, in social distancing based on fear. Yet, adaptive behavior is well-documented in true epidemics. Joshua M. Epstein, Jon Parker, Derek Cummings, and Ross A. Hammond explore the effect of including such behavior in models of epidemic dynamics.
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Fri, 31 Oct 2008 00:00:00 GMT
Based on a keynote address, Joshua M. Epstein discusses and challenges enduring misconceptions about modeling, offering sixteen reasons other than prediction to build a model.
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Wed, 24 Sep 2008 00:00:00 GMT
In the latest version of Dean Foster and Peyton Young’s paper, the authors show that it is extremely difficult to devise incentive schemes that distinguish between fund managers who cannot deliver excess returns from those who can, unless investors have specific knowledge of the investment strategies being employed.
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Fri, 01 Aug 2008 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Nonresident Fellow Ben Klemens’ recently published book melds traditional statistical methods with models on the cutting edge of computing. The textbook covers a range of the techniques required to implement agent-based models, from the details of programming to methods of finding a model's optimal parameters to methods of testing hypotheses.
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Sun, 13 Jul 2008 00:00:00 GMT
Peyton Young addresses his recent game theory and agent-based modeling work in the Presidential Address to the World Congress of the Game Theory Society at Northwestern University.
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Tue, 17 Jun 2008 00:00:00 GMT
In his latest working paper, CSED Fellow Ross A. Hammond says that obesity is a substantial and growing public health crisis worldwide. Many of its features—breadth of scale, diversity in actors, and multiplicity of mechanisms—are hallmarks of a complex adaptive system. Thus, according to Hammond, the lessons and tools of complexity science can help us better understand and combat the obesity epidemic.
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Tue, 15 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT
On April 15, 2008 CSED affilate Shubha Chakravarty presented a talk on agent-based modeling at the Gates Foundation Grand Challenge 9 Meeting in Kampala, Uganda. The meeting focused on new progress in developing bio-fortified staple crop species, yielding discussion of using agent-based modeling to study crop diseases and genetic drift of new plant varieties.
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Wed, 02 Apr 2008 00:00:00 GMT
With the possibility of a national or international emergency, people need to know how to best be prepared. Joshua M. Epstein discusses how agent-based computational modeling has the ability to create artificial societies to model human behavior in an emergency situation.
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Wed, 19 Mar 2008 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Director and Economic Studies Senior Fellow Joshua Epstein explains his breakthrough computational modeling work, with a focus on how agent-based modeling can help explain human behavior as well as make strides in the public health field.
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Sun, 17 Feb 2008 00:00:00 GMT
In a recent op-ed, Ben Klemens addresses the issue of how the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative influences the restriction of generic drugs in the markets worldwide.
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Mon, 14 Jan 2008 00:00:00 GMT
H. Peyton Young suggests that investors should insist on greater transparency on dealing with bankers’ compensation schemes.
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Thu, 27 Dec 2007 00:00:00 GMT
With Feng Yu, Brookings Senior Fellow Joshua M. Epstein and Nonresident Fellows Georgiy V. Bobashev and D. Michael Goedecke introduce a hybrid Agent-based and Equation-based model that can dramatically save time and can better describe epidemiological processes involving human behavioral response.
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Fri, 21 Dec 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Jon Parker describes a distributed agent-based epidemic model that is capable of easily simulating several hundred million agents and discusses the overall design of the model.
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Wed, 19 Dec 2007 00:00:00 GMT

While many of the latest hedge fund casualties are linked to the subprime mortgage crisis, Dean P. Foster and H. Peyton Young suggest that investors should not be lulled into thinking that the problem will be solved once the mortgage mess is mopped up.
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Fri, 07 Dec 2007 12:00:00 GMT
Event Information:
- December 07, 2007, 12:00 PM to 05:00 PM
The Brookings Center on Social and Economic Dynamics and the Metropolitan Policy Program jointly hosted an NICHD funded Agent Based Modeling and Spatial Population Dynamics Workshop at the Brookings Institution. Researchers from across the country attended the workshop to discuss current projects, to gain insight into agent-based modeling, and to unearth issues for future research collaboration.
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Thu, 08 Nov 2007 00:00:00 GMT
An event brought together top international obesity experts—from academia, government, industry, and non-profit—to work toward a comprehensive approach to the worldwide obesity pandemic. Brookings’s Ross Hammond discussed how insights and techniques pioneered at CSED can play a key role in facilitating an integrated approach.
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Wed, 31 Oct 2007 00:00:00 GMT
H. Peyton Young suggest that differences in social norms may help to explain puzzling differences in group behavior that are not readily attributable to differences in income, tastes, and other individual characteristics.
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Wed, 31 Oct 2007 00:00:00 GMT
H. Peyton Young analyzes the effect of incorporating heterogeneity into three broad classes of models -- contagion, social influence, and social learning.
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Mon, 10 Sep 2007 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper # 49 by Ben Klemens (September 2007)
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Thu, 30 Aug 2007 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper #48 by Ross A. Hammond and Joshua M. Epstein (August 2007)
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Tue, 21 Aug 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Op-ed by Carol Graham, Ross A. Hammond and H. Peyton Young (08/21/07)
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Fri, 13 Jul 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Presentation by Joshua M. Epstein (07/13/07)
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Thu, 12 Jul 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Article about Carol Graham (07/12/07)
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Wed, 30 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Brookings' Senior Fellow Joshua M. Epstein joined scholars from across the country at the University of Michigan to explore how complex systems approaches can be used to understand the broad problems of population health.
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Tue, 15 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Report by Joshua M. Epstein, D. Michael Goedecke, Feng Yu, Robert J. Morris, Diane K. Wagener, and Georgiy V. Bobashev (May 2007)
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Sat, 12 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Interview with Joshua M. Epstein (05/12/07)
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Tue, 08 May 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Using high-throughput genotyping methods, CSED scholar Ben Klemens and a team of researchers helped identify genes linked to bipolar disorder.
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Sun, 01 Apr 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Peyton H. Young surveys work on learning in games and delineates the boundary between forms of learning that lead to Nash equilibrium and forms that lead to weaker notions of equilibrium (or none at all).
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Tue, 13 Mar 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Article on Ross A. Hammond (03/17/07)
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Tue, 09 Jan 2007 00:00:00 GMT
Interview wth Carol Graham, The Kojo Nnamdi Show (1/9/07)
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Fri, 01 Dec 2006 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper #46 by Joshua M. Epstein, D. Michael Goedecke, Feng Yu, Robert J. Morris, Diane K. Wagener, and Georgiy V. Bobashev (December 2006)
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Fri, 01 Dec 2006 00:00:00 GMT
People may realize different benefits and costs from the innovation, or have different beliefs about its benefits and costs, hear about it at different times, or delay in acting on their information. Peyton H. Young analyzes the dynamics arising from different sources of heterogeneity in a completely general setting without placing parametric restrictions on the distribution of the relevant characteristics.
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Thu, 19 Oct 2006 10:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- October 19, 2006, 10:30 AM to 12:00 PM
Health experts are concerned that a pandemic influenza could kill millions of people worldwide and cripple the global economy. As governments spend millions of dollars to stockpile medicines and plan emergency responses, what are the critical factors that should be considered for an effective response? Brookings experts addressed the potential impact of a pandemic flu worldwide.
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Fri, 25 Aug 2006 00:00:00 GMT
Wall Street Journal blog with Carol Graham (08/25/06)
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Fri, 10 Feb 2006 00:00:00 GMT
The objectives of this project were to conduct a comprehensive study of social influences on smoking behavior using an agent-based modeling approach.
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Wed, 01 Feb 2006 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No.44 by Robert Axtell (February 2006)
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Wed, 07 Dec 2005 15:00:00 GMT
Event Information:
- December 07, 2005, 3:00 PM to 5:00 PM
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Thu, 01 Dec 2005 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper #43 by Peyton H. Young (December 2005)
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Thu, 01 Dec 2005 00:00:00 GMT

This lively and innovative book is about computer code and the legal controls and restrictions on those who write it. Drawing on a host of examples, Ben Klemens describes and analyzes the intellectual property issues involved in the development of co
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Thu, 01 Sep 2005 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper by Carol Graham and Andrew Felton (September 2005)
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Thu, 28 Jul 2005 00:00:00 GMT
Opinion by Ben Klemens (7/28/05)
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Fri, 01 Jul 2005 00:00:00 GMT
In this CSED Working Paper, Brookings Senior Fellow, Joshua Epstein, treats a variety of epistemological issues surrounding generative explanation in the social sciences, and discusses the role of agent-based computational models in generative social science.
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Thu, 02 Jun 2005 10:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- June 02, 2005, 10:30 AM to 12:00 PM
Brookings experts presented the findings from their research—based on modeling work, survey data, and recent visits on the ground—on civil unrest in Central Asia.
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Sun, 01 May 2005 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 40 by Mary A. Burk and Frank Heiland entitled "Social Dynamics of Obesity"
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Thu, 14 Apr 2005 12:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- April 14, 2005, 12:30 PM to 2:00 PM
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Fri, 01 Apr 2005 00:00:00 GMT
Article by Carol Graham, World Bank Research Observer (April 2005)
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Fri, 01 Apr 2005 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 39, by H. Peyton Young (April 2005)
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Fri, 11 Feb 2005 12:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- February 11, 2005, 12:30 PM to 2:00 PM
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Sat, 01 Jan 2005 00:00:00 GMT
CSED working paper 38 on perceptions of inequality among Latin Americans
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Thu, 09 Dec 2004 12:30:00 GMT
Event Information:
- December 09, 2004, 12:30 PM to 2:00 PM
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Mon, 01 Nov 2004 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 37 by Gary Burtless (November 2004)
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Thu, 07 Oct 2004 12:00:00 GMT
Event Information:
- October 07, 2004, 12:00 PM to 1:30 PM
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Fri, 01 Oct 2004 00:00:00 GMT
Di Tella discusses isolated effect of police presence on crime
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Fri, 01 Oct 2004 00:00:00 GMT
Paper by Gary Burtless (October 2004)
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Tue, 01 Jun 2004 00:00:00 GMT
Louise C Keely and Margaret Macleod hypothesize that the perceived returns to human capital and to income uncertainty are important determinants of recent cross-sectional variation in Latin American fertility
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Thu, 01 Apr 2004 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 35
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Mon, 26 Jan 2004 00:00:00 GMT
Opinion by Ben Klemens (1/26/04)
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Fri, 01 Aug 2003 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper 34: Liquidity Protection versus Moral Hazard: The Role of the IMF
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Tue, 01 Jul 2003 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 33: Physician Social Networks and Geographic Variation in Medical Care
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Tue, 01 Jul 2003 00:00:00 GMT
The Effects of Income Losses and Gains on Happiness
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Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:00:00 GMT
Working paper by Paul Masson
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Thu, 08 May 2003 00:00:00 GMT
Opinion by Michael Kremer and Seema Jayachandran, Financial Times, (05/08/03)
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Mon, 23 Dec 2002 10:00:00 GMT
Event Information:
- December 23, 2002 at 10:00 AM
At this briefing, on December 23, 2002, experts at the Brookings Institution-Johns Hopkins Center on Social and Economic Dynamics and the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health revealed a powerful computer simulation graphically illustrating the effects of a bioterrorism outbreak of smallpox in a hypothetical American county.
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Sun, 01 Dec 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 31: Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror: An Individual-Based Computational Approach
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Sun, 01 Dec 2002 00:00:00 GMT
Article by Paul R. Masson, Visiting Fellow, the Brookings Institution, with Xavier Debrun and Catherine A. Pattillo in an IMF Working Paper, December 2002
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Fri, 01 Nov 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 30: ""Is Economic Crisis Reducing Support for Markets and Democracy in Latin America?
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Mon, 01 Jul 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 29: Crafting Sustainable Social Contracts in Latin America: Political Economy, Public Attitudes, and Social Policy
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Wed, 01 May 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 28: Does Happiness Pay? An Exploration Based on Panel Data from Russia
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Mon, 01 Apr 2002 00:00:00 GMT
Jonathan Rauche writes on CSED artificial society in ""Seeing around Corners.""
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Mon, 01 Apr 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 27: Non-Cooperative Dynamics of Multi-Agent Teams
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Fri, 01 Feb 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 26: Spatial and Temporal Patterns in Civil Violence: Guatemala 1977-1986
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Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 24: Complementarity and Social Networks
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Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper No. 26: Spatial and Temporal Patterns in Civil Violence: Guatemala 1977-1986
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Mon, 01 Oct 2001 00:00:00 GMT
coevolution, cesd working paper, brookings institution
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Tue, 25 Sep 2001 00:00:00 GMT
Opinion by Christopher D. Carroll, Visiting Fellow, Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, in The Baltimore Sun, September 25, 2001
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Wed, 01 Aug 2001 00:00:00 GMT
The formula used to allocate the 435 seats among the states, a peculiar method first adopted in 1941, violates the principle of one person, one vote by systematically giving more representation to residents of small states than to residents of large
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Wed, 01 Aug 2001 00:00:00 GMT
CSED working paper, Brookings Institution, Economic Studies
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Wed, 28 Mar 2001 00:00:00 GMT

The issue of fair representation will take center stage as U.S. congressional districts are reapportioned based on the 2000 Census. Using U.S. history as a guide, the authors develop a theory of fair representation that establishes various principles
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Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 GMT
economic studies, csed working paper 21, brookings institution
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Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 GMT
CSED Working Paper #20 by Joshua M. Epstein (January 2001)
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Fri, 01 Dec 2000 00:00:00 GMT
csed working paper 18, brookings institution, economic studies
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Fri, 01 Dec 2000 00:00:00 GMT
csed working paper 19, brookings institution, economic studies
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Wed, 01 Nov 2000 00:00:00 GMT
Article by Peyton Young (November 2000)
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Wed, 01 Nov 2000 00:00:00 GMT
csed working paper 17, brookings institution, economic studies
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Sun, 01 Oct 2000 00:00:00 GMT
csed working paper 16, economic studies, brookings institution
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Fri, 01 Sep 2000 00:00:00 GMT
csed working paper 15, economic studies, brookings institution
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Tue, 01 Aug 2000 00:00:00 GMT
Latin America in Comparative Perspective
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Tue, 01 Aug 2000 00:00:00 GMT
An assessment of how middle-income groups are faring with the global turn to the market
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Sat, 01 Jul 2000 00:00:00 GMT
Effects of Interaction Topology and Activation Regime in Several Multi-Agent Systems, CSED working paper #12, July 2000