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Past Event

A Foreign Policy, Global Economy and Development and Latin America Initiative Event

Brazil in the Global Crisis: Still a Rising Economic Superpower?

Brazil, Global Economics, Latin America, Global Financial Crisis, BRICs


Event Summary

In the past decade, Brazil’s role in the world economy has changed in important ways; today, the country occupies key niches in global energy, agriculture, service and some high-technology markets. Brazil could play an important role in helping the global economy recover. However, Latin America’s largest nation still struggles with endemic inequality issues and deep-seated ambivalence toward global economic integration.

Event Information

When

Monday, July 13, 2009
2:00 PM to 3:30 PM

Where

Saul/Zilkha Rooms
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC
Map

Event Materials


Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

On July 13, the Latin America Initiative at Brookings hosted a discussion on the recently released book, Brazil as an Economic Superpower? Understanding Brazil’s Changing Role in the Global Economy (Brookings Institution Press, 2009), edited by Brookings Political Economy Fellow Leonardo Martinez-Diaz and Lael Brainard, former vice president and director of Global Economy and Development at Brookings. Panelists—including Martinez-Diaz, Jose Guilherme Reis of the World Bank and Paulo Vieira da Cunha, former director of International Affairs at the Central Bank of Brazil—discussed the impact of the global financial crisis on Brazil’s economy and how the country’s economic prospects might be affected by the slump in global demand and the changes in the international financial system.

Mauricio Cárdenas, senior fellow and director of the Latin America Initiative at Brookings, provided introductory remarks and moderated the panel discussion. After the program, panelists took audience questions.

Transcript

LEONARDO MARTINEZ-DIAZ:  As you will notice, this book was written in very happy times. It was written during the twilight of the economic boom. When the conference actually gathered here in Brookings next door in April of 2008, Brazil had just been promoted by Standard and Poors. Its rating and several bonds had been rated finally “investment grade.” There was a sense of optimism, of dynamism, in the world economy and in the Brazilian economy as well. The Brazilian economy had been growing since 1993 at a rate of around 3 percent on average. There was, of course, it slowed then in ‘98 and ‘99, but on the whole, the performance was quite healthy. Certainly slow perhaps, as the naysayers were bound to say, compared to China or even compared to Brazil’s own economic miracle from ’68 to ’72. But nonetheless, it was seen as a healthier, better quality type of growth. It was growth that was not highly inflationary in nature. It was growth that was not based on high levels of foreign indebtedness as it had been in the ‘70s. And it was growth that was based or took place in the framework of fiscal discipline. And, therefore, there was a sense that this kind of growth could be more sustainable and was built on stronger foundations.

Also in 2003, Goldman Sachs famously anointed Brazil as one of the BRICS, one of the poor economies destined to become one of the truly economic superpowers by the middle of the 21st century. This, of course, led to lots of debate as to which countries ought to be part of that group or should not be part of that group. But there was a clear sense that Brazil – there was something special about Brazil, something that the BRICS label captured and, therefore, ought to be perhaps analyzed in greater detail.

So this was the context in which the conference took place, but the fortunate thing from the shelf life of the publication was that the conference papers and our analyses didn’t focus only on the drivers of growth, per se, but it was actually trying to find out more about the foundations of that growth and understand the dynamics behind what was making Brazil special. And that was not only about growth rates, it was something about the role of Brazil in the global economic system. And that’s what we try to capture in the subtitle. There was something special and shifting in the role that Brazil was playing.

Participants

Introduction and Moderator

Mauricio Cárdenas

Director, Latin America Initiative

Panelists

Leonardo Martinez-Diaz

Political Economy Fellow, Global Economy and Development

Jose Guilherme Reis

Lead Economist, Finance, Private Sector and Infrastructure Group in Latin America and the Caribbean
The World Bank

Paulo Vieira da Cunha

Head of Emerging Markets Research, Tandem Global
Former Director of International Affairs, Central Bank of Brazil


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