Quality. Independence. Impact.

Home | Contact Us | Media Resources

Sunday November 22, 2009

Welcome   |   Register   |   Log in

Past Event

A Foreign Policy and Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement Event

Iraqi Displacement: Prospects for Returns and Resettlement

Displacement in Iraq, Iraq, Internal Displacement


Event Summary

Since the attack on Iraq’s al-Askari Mosque in February 2006, over 1.5 million Iraqis have been forced to flee their homes and seek refuge in other parts of Iraq and approximately 2 million have fled into neighboring countries. Finding solutions to this ongoing displacement crisis presents a variety of challenges. One view asserts that resettling Iraqis in the U.S. and other third countries is detrimental to Iraq’s future, because the country’s educated middle class might never return to help govern, rebuild, and educate the next generation. Some also argue that integrating IDPs in their current locations – along ethno-sectarian lines – is consolidating the gains of extremist groups. From a military perspective, if refugees and IDPs try to return before conditions are ready and proper preparations have been made, sectarian tensions and cleansing could resume, with foreboding consequences for Iraq’s recently found semi-stability. Yet a humanitarian perspective would assert that this is ultimately a question for the Iraqis to address themselves. Whether they return – and where – should be their choice alone.

Event Information

When

Friday, August 22, 2008
10:30 AM to 12:00 PM

Where

Saul/Zilkha Rooms
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC
Map

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

On August 22, the Brookings-Bern Project on Internal Displacement at Brookings hosted a discussion of these issues. Panelists included Elizabeth Ferris, senior fellow and co-director of the Brookings-Bern Project, and Kirk W. Johnson, executive director of The List Project to Resettle Iraqi Allies. Michael O’Hanlon, Brookings senior fellow, moderated the discussion.

Transcript

ELIZABETH FERRIS:   Today, there are close to 5 million people who’ve been displaced, including those who were displaced under Saddam Hussein. As Mike said, about 2.8 million inside Iraq, maybe 2.2 million in the neighboring countries. The numbers are uncertain. And, frankly, this is characteristic of a lot of refugee and IDP -- or internally displaced person -- situations, where it’s hard to know exactly how many people are displaced. It’s particularly difficult in the context of Iraqi displacement because people are not living in camps, where international agencies can go around with clipboards and count people and register people and have a pretty good idea of how many people there are -- whether both inside Iraq and in neighboring countries, they’re living dispersed among the population -- the world’s largest urban caseload, both for internally displaced people and for refugees.

If you look at the patterns of displacement after March 2003, it’s probably an oversimplification, but also probably true, to say that those who had the means and those who had the connections went first and went further. Now, there were people who fled to Jordan, primarily, in the initial months following occupation, included former supporters of Saddam Hussein, but also people who felt that life was becoming unsustainable, if you will -- the wealthy, the middle class, many went first.  Later patterns of displacement tended to be those who were poorer, with more limited resources, fewer connections. And those who tended to leave the country tended to have more resources than those who stayed behind.

Minorities were disproportionately represented among the displaced -- both internally displaced and, particularly, refugees. There’s some evidence that more secular individuals tended to leave rather than to stay.  Brain-drain has been a constant concern around Iraqi displacement for the past five years. In particular, if you look at statistics around the number of doctors and engineers and trained civil servants, and lawyers and computer programmers, a large proportion of Iraq’s trained middle class has, in fact, gone into exile. As a UNHCR official says, 2.2 million of Iraq’s best and brightest, with implications as well for the future of Iraq.

Participants

Panelists

Elizabeth Ferris

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Kirk W. Johnson

Executive Director, The List Project to Resettle Iraqi Allies

Moderator

Michael E. O'Hanlon

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy