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Past Event

A Foreign Policy Event

Four Crises and a Peace Process: American Engagement with India and Pakistan

India , Pakistan, Foreign Policy, South Asia, Asia


Event Summary

While many assume that the era of India-Pakistan crises is over, authors P.R. Chari, Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema and Brookings Senior Fellow Stephen P. Cohen question whether new crises might lie just ahead. In their new book Four Crises and a Peace Process: American Engagement in South Asia (Brookings Institution Press, 2007), the authors explore this critical question, made even more urgent given current political instability in Pakistan. The book focuses on four contained conflicts on the subcontinent: the Brasstacks crisis of 1986; the compound crisis of 1990; the Kargil conflict of 1999; and the border confrontation of 2001. The four crises are notable because any one could have escalated into a large-scale conflict—or even all-out war. Further, three of these conflicts took place after India and Pakistan had gone nuclear.

Event Information

When

Tuesday, November 27, 2007
9:30 AM to 11:00 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

On November 27, the Brookings Institution launched Four Crises and a Peace Process. The authors explored the underlying causes of these crises, their consequences, the lessons to be learned from each and the particular role of the United States. Stephen P. Cohen provided introductory remarks and moderated the panel discussion. The panelists–Brookings Senior Fellows Peter Rodman, Teresita Schaffer of the Center for Strategic and International Studies and Ashley Tellis of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace–comment edon the book and discuss U.S. engagement in South Asia.

Four Crises and a Peace Process
P.R. Chari, Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema and Stephen P. Cohen

Transcript

It can be argued that India-Pakistan relations were one long crisis with peaks coming during their three wars and the skirmish at Kargil and the three other crises discussed in this book. This raises deeper questions about normalization between the two states with different political systems, different state identities and territorial disagreements, most notably about Kashmir which is also an identity issue.

. . . To summarize my perspective of this, and I think my co-authors shared this view, is that nuclear weapons may prevent war, but they don’t create a peace, détente. We’re not optimistic that the present dialogue is going anywhere very fast. This makes the relationship vulnerable to any terrorist group or attack that wants to provoke a new crisis. Without going into the details, Siachen, Sir Creek, trade, cultural exchanges and other issues are still stalled between India and Pakistan. There is no will, at the same time, on both sides to bring about a conclusion to any of these issues. Both sides, at one time or another, seem to believe that time is on their side.

 

Participants

Introduction and Moderator

Stephen P. Cohen

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Panelists

Peter W. Rodman

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Teresita Schaffer

Director, South Asia Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Ashley Tellis

Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace


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