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Past Event

A Brookings Economic Studies and Global Economy & Development Briefing

Assessing the Impact of Pandemic Flu

Pandemic Disease, Health Care, Technology

Event Summary

Health experts are concerned that a pandemic influenza could kill millions of people worldwide and cripple the global economy. As governments spend millions of dollars to stockpile medicines and plan emergency responses, what are the critical factors that should be considered for an effective response? How will people behave when faced with the threat and how might their actions alter the course of a pandemic? How would the global economy be affected and which countries would be hit hardest?

Event Information

When

Thursday, October 19, 2006
10:30 AM to 12:00 PM

Where

Saul/Zilkha Conference Rooms
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

Email: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

On October 19, Brookings scholars addressed the potential impact of a pandemic flu worldwide. Featured speakers included Joshua Epstein, senior fellow, and modeler for the National Institutes of Health; and Warwick McKibbin, nonresident senior fellow, professor of international economics at The Australian National University and professorial fellow at the Lowy Institute for International Policy. Carol Graham, senior fellow and co-director, Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, and professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, made opening remarks and moderated the discussion.

Transcript

CAROL GRAHAM: At the Center for Social and Economic Dynamics we place a particular focus on the social norms that govern behavior and the way in which social interactions can determine very large differences in aggregate outcomes. So we address a range of policy questions, from inequality, to spontaneous outbreaks of civil violence, and to the spread of epidemics and infectious diseases, the topic of today's forum. In our view though, understanding the social interactions that underlie these phenomenon are absolutely critical to understanding the aggregate outcomes, and if you consider that most models of disease transmission do not really account for social interactions and yet how people interact with each other makes a major difference to the rate and pattern of disease spread, I hope you will see today that our models are uniquely well suited to addressing these questions.

One of the things that distinguishes Brookings from other think tanks is our capacity to do in-depth longer-term research, and while certainly at times we do focus on short-term problems and tell people what to think about particular policy problems, I think what distinguishes us is our ability to frame policy debates and, in other words, not to tell people what to do about a particular policy problem, but how to think about a deeper range of policy problems. And I think you will see in these presentations that they are as much about how to think about the pandemic flu challenge as to what to think about a particular outbreak. One presentation from Josh Epstein will do so from the epidemiological side, and the other by Warwick McKibbin will do so from the economics perspective.

Participants

Introduction and Moderator

Carol Graham

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Global Economy and Development


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