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Past Event

A Foreign Policy Event

Are We Winning the War on Terrorism? A Report from Afghanistan

Afghanistan, Terrorism

Event Summary

The December 19 inauguration of the Afghan parliament was an important step towards the democratization and stabilization of that country, a central front in the war on terrorism. Yet Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters remain determined to destabilize the Karzai government and drive out international peacekeeping forces. The United States continues to deploy nearly 18,000 troops in Afghanistan, as America's NATO allies have just agreed to deploy an additional 6,000 troops and to extend the International Security and Assistance Force into the more dangerous southern part of the country–a commitment now being fiercely debated in European parliaments.

Event Information

When

Thursday, January 19, 2006
3:00 PM to 4:30 PM

Where

Falk Auditorium
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: Communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

In mid-December 2005, a small group of U.S. terrorism and foreign policy analysts traveled to Afghanistan to assess the political and security situation, as well as the role of outside forces. At this Brookings briefing, the participants in that trip will share their perspectives on Afghanistan and on the war on terrorism more broadly. The briefing will be moderated by Philip Gordon, senior fellow and director, Center on the United States and Europe, and will feature panelists Gerard Baker, U.S. editor, The Times of London; Peter Bergen, CNN terrorism analyst and author,; Reuel Marc Gerecht, resident fellow, American Enterprise Institute; Steve Simon, senior analyst, RAND Corporation; and Walter Slocombe, former undersecretary of defense for policy, U.S. Department of Defense.

A question and answer session will follow remarks.

Transcript

PHILIP GORDON: The six of us spent our Christmas holidays in Afghanistan on a trip sponsored by NATO, looking at the ISAF mission, the NATO mission and what international forces in Afghanistan are doing.

We began in Washington with briefings from the State Department and Pentagon. We went to Brussels, NATO headquarters, received more briefings there; saw the Secretary General, various permanent representatives of the alliance; and then moved on via Dubai onto Kabul and Herat to take a look at the ISAF mission.

A couple of words of context before I turn to my colleagues to talk about different bits of the trip in Afghanistan and the war on terrorism. Just two bits of background that I thought I would stress to start off.

One is the issue of rising violence in Afghanistan. Afghanistan, for many of us who follow these issues, has been on the brighter side of the spectrum both in terms of trans-Atlantic cooperation and in terms of success in the war on terror. There was broad international agreement to send forces into Afghanistan. There was political progress on the ground. Indeed, while we were there December 19th, the Afghan parliament, freely elected parliament, was inaugurated. And violence, at least compared to places like Iraq, was relatively low.

That doesn't seem to be the case any more. In just this year, which is only whatever—18 days old or a few weeks old—there have been 10 armed attacks in Afghanistan, 50 people killed. Last year was far worse than the previous years in terms of suicide bombings which were relatively unknown in Afghanistan previously since the beginning of the ISAF mission at the end of 2003. Of the suicide attacks that have taken place, two-thirds of them have taken place just since this past summer.

What seems to be happening—indeed, I'll turn to our expert colleagues to address this issue if they will—is copycatting of the methods used in Iraq in terms of suicide attacks, attacks on civilians, improvised explosive devices in order to deter the deployment of international forces in the peacekeeping mission; which is the second aspect of the context that I thought I would mention to begin with, which is this international mission and specifically the NATO mission.

Read the full transcript (PDF—187kb)

Participants

Moderator

Philip H. Gordon

Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy, Foreign Policy

Panelists

Gerard Baker

Editor, The Times of London

Peter Bergen

Terrorism Analyst and Author, CNN

Reuel Marc Gerecht

Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
Contributing Editor, The Weekly Standard

Steven Simon

Senior Analyst, RAND Corporation

Walter Slocombe

Former Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, U.S. Department of Defense
Former Senior Advisor for National Defense, Coalition Provisional Authority

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