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Past Event

The Saban Center

Toward a New Iran Policy

Iran, Middle East, Nuclear Weapons, Islamic World, Weapons of Mass Destruction

Event Summary

Public anxiety about Iran has grown considerably in recent months, and with good reason. The continuing revelations of the IAEA, Iran's defiant official rhetoric, and the failure of European efforts to negotiate an end to the Iranian nuclear program have raised the specter of a nuclear-armed Tehran. Iran's recent test of an extended-range Shehab-3 missile and its ambiguous relationship with key al-Qa'eda leaders have only added to those worries. Finally, press reports have indicated that at least some elements of the Iranian regime are working to undermine the U.S. position in Iraq, if not to unravel the reconstruction altogether.

Event Information

When

Tuesday, November 23, 2004
8:30 AM to 2:00 PM

Where

Falk Auditorium
Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC
Map

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

With these pressing concerns in mind, the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution will host a symposium on U.S. policy toward Iran from 8:30 AM to 2:00 PM on November 23, 2004. The event will lay out current Administration policy toward Iran; explore the domestic sources of Iranian policy toward terrorism, nuclear weapons and the United States; address the state of Iran's nuclear program and support for terrorist groups; discuss European attitudes toward Iran; and propose alternative approaches to handling our many challenges with Tehran. Our speakers and panelists will include Shaul Bakhash, Daniel Byman, Philip Gordon, David Kay, Kenneth Pollack, Hadi Semati, and Ray Takeyh.

Transcript

MARTIN INDYK: Welcome to the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution and to the symposium that we are hosting today entitled "Towards a New Iran Policy."

We've gathered a group of experts on Iran and on U.S. policy to grapple today with the thorny problem of what to do about Iran. For much of the last four years, that question was put in what I call the too hard basket by the first Bush Administration, and there was a good reason for that. It was too hard. Short of invading a country of 69 million people, we didn't have a good way of changing some very troubling aspects of the regime's policy: its aggressive sponsorship of terrorism, particularly in the Arab-Israeli arena, its determined pursuit of nuclear weapons, its meddling in Iraq, and its systematic abuse of the human rights of its citizens.

To be fair to the Bush Administration, it's not as if anybody else had a workable idea.

I personally had some experience with Iran in the eight years of the Clinton Administration. We contained it successfully for a while, but ultimately that failed. Then, when Mohammed Khatami was elected in a landslide, we tried to engage him for a while, but ultimately that failed, too.

On the other hand, ignoring the problem posed by Iran obviously didn't work either. Today, the country is on the brink of acquiring nuclear weapons, with all the dangerous implications that could have for regional stability and a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.

Today, Iran is in a position to influence the future of neighboring Iraq in a way it had never been able to do before. Today, Iran, through its Hizballah proxy, could launch Palestinian terror attacks against Israel that would put paid to all the hope of a new day in the Middle East peace process, just as its sponsorship of Palestinian terror back in 1995 and 1996 helped to destroy the peace making hopes during the Rabin-Peres era.

Read the full event transcript (PDF—406kb)

Participants

Introductory Remarks

Martin S. Indyk

Director, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Lunch Address

"An Alternative Approach to Iran"

Opening Address

"U.S. Policy Toward Iran in a Second Bush Administration"

Panel 1 - Iran's Foreign Policy and Motives. Moderated by

Shaul Bakhash

Clarence J. Robinson Professor of History, George Mason University

Panel 2 - The Lay of the Land: The Threat from Iran and the International Perspective. Moderated by:

Martin S. Indyk

Director, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Panelists

Daniel L. Byman

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

David Kay

Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, and former head of the Iraq Survey Group

M. Hadi Semati

Visiting Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Philip H. Gordon

Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy, Foreign Policy

Ray Takeyh

Senior Fellow, Middle Eastern Studies, Council on Foreign Relations

Speaker

Danielle Pletka

Vice President, Foreign and Defense Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute

Kenneth M. Pollack

Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

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