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Tuesday December 2, 2008

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Past Event

Does Khodorkovsky's Arrest Signal a Retreat from Economic Reform?

A Confusing Turn in Russia

Russia, Europe, Global Economics, Global Environment, Energy Security


Event Summary

The recent arrest of Mikhail Khodorkovsky—Russia's richest man, head of its largest oil company, YUKOS, and an outspoken critic of President Putin—has raised concerns about Russia's future direction and the intentions of its leadership. Many Russian experts worry that Russia may be returning to the old days of targeted attacks against prominent figures and restrictions on civil society. Additionally, the decision by the Russian government to freeze YUKOS shares represents a reversal of the privatization process begun a decade ago and of Russia's policy on international investment. Is Russia now on the road to authoritarianism and increased state control over the economy? And what does this mean for the United States at a time when U.S. - Russian relations, thanks to cooperation on the war on terrorism and a strategic energy dialogue, seem better than ever?

Event Information

When

Tuesday, November 25, 2003
10:00 AM to 11:30 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

With the Russian parliamentary elections scheduled for December 7th, a panel of experts will discuss these recent developments and assess their implications for Russian society. The backdrop for the discussion will be The Siberian Curse: How Communist Planners Left Russia Out in the Cold, a new Brookings book by Senior Fellows Fiona Hill and Clifford Gaddy, which argues that Russia's future is hindered by geography, political pathology, and historical missteps.

Panelists at this briefing will answer questions from the audience following their remarks.

Transcript

CLIFFORD GADDY: If you permit me, I would like to make a few comments that situate the general topic of today's discussion—the current events in Russia around the YUKOS and Khodorkovsky affair—in the context of some of the ideas that Fiona and I have developed in our book. And it may appear, as I begin, the connection may seem tenuous. I hope to make that connection more concrete when I conclude my remarks, and I think Fiona will also elaborate on this, but I did want to present the basic thesis of our book. It's really based on a few simple, but we think generally underappreciated, concepts.

We all know, by now, and we should have known earlier, the irrationality and the inefficiency of the Soviet economic system, the old Soviet economic system of central planning. We know that by failing to allow or even consciously preventing individuals from expressing their free choices in consumption and production, this system ended up by building factories that produced the wrong things in the wrong way. It educated people to participate in that system, educating them for the wrong things--of course, all relative to what a natural development might have been, a normal market system would have produced.

But what I want to stress is the point that we make in the book. Not only did it build these factories to produce the wrong things in the wrong way, it built the factories in the wrong places, and it moved people there to work in these factories.

We argue that this spatial, territorial, geographical element is vitally important in recognizing the damage done by the system of Communist central planning. The system was clearly monumentally inefficient and irrational. It lasted a long time, but the generally underappreciated point, we think, is that it was a system that operated on a uniquely large and cold territory.

There was, as we say in the book, unprecedented room for error. It made for the worst-possible scenario for--to use the vernacular--screwing up a country's economy.

Read the full transcript. (PDF—138KB)

Participants

Moderators

James B. Steinberg

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Panelists

Clifford G. Gaddy

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Global Economy and Development

Fiona Hill

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Z. Blake Marshall

Executive Vice President, U.S. - Russia Business Council


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