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Past Event

Will an Attack on Iraq be Clean and Quick or a Series of Nasty Surprises?

The Power and Peril of High-Speed Warfare

Middle East, Global Economics


Event Summary

The plan for the invasion of Iraq marks an important milestone in military thinking. Instead of relying on overwhelming numbers, it depends on a high-tech air attack to immobilize the enemy, followed by a lightning-fast ground assault to finish the job. The "rolling" attack could bring victory in days or weeks, but it also carries special risks.

Event Information

When

Thursday, March 20, 2003
10:00 AM to 11:30 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

A panel of experts will assess the military questions, including:

  • What is the current state of readiness of U.S. forces?
  • Will the lack of a northern front hinder the operation and lead to greater casualties?
  • How will Saddam react to the U.S.-led invasion?
  • What are the implications of using a "rolling start" approach to the conflict?
  • How prepared are U.S. and British troops for a large-scale chemical or biological attack?
  • What are the regional security implications beyond Iraq, particularly the potential threat to Israel posed by a war in the region?

Following brief presentations, panelists will take questions from the audience.

Transcript

MR. JAMES B. STEINBERG: It was not a matter of having inside information that we scheduled our briefing this morning to talk about some of the military as well as the diplomatic dimensions of the current crisis, but I think it was fairly obvious as the timetable has gone along that we would be close if not in the middle of military operations as we start the day today. Obviously the nature of the start is itself a matter of great interest and we'll have a chance to talk about that this morning and the kind of operation that has already taken place, what we're likely to be seeing in the days ahead, what the choices are and what the likely implications are going to be.

With us this morning we have two distinguished members of the leadership of our Saban Center, Martin Indyk, the Director of the Saban Center and a Senior Fellow here at Brookings, and Ken Pollack, the Director of Research at the Saban Center, also a Senior Fellow at Brookings. And we're also delighted to welcome Rear Admiral John Sigler here this morning.

Admiral Sigler had an extraordinary career in the Navy. He is a graduate of the Naval Academy and also Stanford University and the Naval War College. But he served during his career in every U.S. theater of operation. And perhaps most significant of all during his final tour, Admiral Sigler was the J5, the plans and policy officer for Central Command, which gives him a unique perspective on the issues that we're going to talk about today.

The complete event transcript is available in PDF form (PDF—203KB).

Participants

Moderators

James B. Steinberg

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Panelists

Kenneth M. Pollack

Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Martin S. Indyk

Director, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Rear Admiral John Sigler, U.S. Navy

Distinguished Professor, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies, National Defense University


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