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Past Event

A Brookings Macroeconomic Forum

Do Budget Deficits Matter?

Macroeconomics, Budget Deficit, U.S. Economy, Federal Budget


Event Summary

Controversies over the effects of fiscal policy on the economy have been at the heart of the policy debate surrounding the chronic deficits of the 1980s, the sharp rise in official budget surpluses in the late 1990s, and the equally sharp decline in the fiscal outlook recently.

Event Information

When

Tuesday, March 11, 2003
9:30 AM to 11:30 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

This panel discussion, the first in an ongoing series on macroeconomic issues sponsored by the Brookings Institution, will examine a variety of questions regarding the effects of deficits on the economy: Do budget deficits matter? Under what circumstances and what time horizons are they good, bad, or neutral? How important are they to strong economic growth?

Following their remarks, panelists will answer questions from the audience.

Transcript

MR. WILLIAM G. GALE: My presentation has the very imaginative title of "Do Deficits Matter?? At least I'll be the first person to have this title. I guess I should add a sub-title to that, "If so, why?" I agree with Alice, the answer is yes but I think it's more important, it's as least as important to think about the why part as the simple yes or no part.

The basic issue can be described in what are called accounting identities. These are just definitions. They're central to the way economists sort of structure and frame the world.

The amount that a country saves can be decomposed into the amount that the public sector saves and the amount that the private sector saves. This is a little bit of an artificial decomposition, of course, because we all are both the private sector and the public sector.

The complete transcript is available in PDF form (PDF—206KB).

Participants

Moderators

Alice M. Rivlin

Senior Fellow, Economic Studies

Panelists

Charles L. Schultze

Senior Fellow Emeritus, Economic Studies

Eric M. Engen

Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute

Rudolph G. Penner

Senior Fellow and the Arjay and Frances Miller Chair, Urban Institute; Former Director, Congressional Budget Office (1983-87)

William G. Gale

Vice President and Director, Economic Studies


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