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Past Event

A Foreign Policy and Saban Center for Middle East Policy Event

Iraq's Declaration on Weapons of Mass Destruction

Iraq, Middle East, Weapons, Weapons of Mass Destruction, Arms Control


Event Summary

On December 7, Iraq presented its declaration of weapons of mass destruction capabilities to the United Nations. The United States and other permanent members of the Security Council have also received copies of the nearly 12,000-page document, which should detail every element of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs. Meanwhile, UN weapons inspectors have been on the ground in Iraq since November 25 and Iraq has generally cooperated with their efforts.

Event Information

When

Thursday, December 12, 2002
10:00 AM to 11:30 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

The details of Iraq's declaration could be a key determinant of U.S. policy toward Iraq. Under UN Security Council Resolution 1441, passed November 8, Iraq must provide "an accurate, full, final, and complete disclosure" of its programs to develop chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles.

Iraq has repeatedly denied that it possesses any weapons of mass destruction, and initial reports suggest that its declaration does not indicate any new evidence regarding Iraq's proscribed weapons. Once the UN inspectors and the members of the Security Council have studied the Iraqi declaration, it will be up to the Bush administration to decide whether Iraq has complied with its obligations under the new resolution, or if Iraqi omissions constitute a "material breach," which the U.S. government may consider a reason for military action.

The United Nations is now beginning the process of reviewing the documents submitted by the Iraqi government and determining whether Baghdad is telling the truth about its weapons programs. By December 12, preliminary reactions from the United States and other key members of the international community may be available.

Three Brookings experts and a former UN weapons inspector will discuss the release of the report and the implications for U.S. policy, and take questions from the audience.

Transcript

See also: Complete summary of the event (PDF—128KB)

MR. MARTIN S. INDYK:
Ladies and gentlemen, we're very glad that you could join us this morning for a special press briefing on Iraq brought to you by the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution. I am Martin Indyk the Director of the Saban Center at Brookings.

With the report of the full, final and complete declaration by Iraq presented to the United Nations last week, now we have a situation where everybody is pouring over the pages and trying to come to an assessment. Meanwhile military preparations and diplomatic preparations for a potential war against Iraq are moving into high gear over in the region. The Secretary of Defense there now, the Deputy Secretary of Defense there last week. And exercises going on in Qatar.

So we thought it was a very good moment to try to bring you some analysis of the situation particularly with regard to the reports from Iraq and the inspections, but also focus on the military preparations.

To do so today we have assembled a panel of real experts. We're very grateful to Dr. David Kay for joining us this morning. He will speak first. He is a Senior Fellow at the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies where he concentrates on counterterrorism and homeland security issues. He was formerly the Senior Vice President of Science Applications International Corporation where he led their efforts to support the U.S. government's counterterrorism initiative and efforts to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. But his real claim to fame is that he served as the United Nations Chief Nuclear Weapons Inspector in Iraq after the Gulf War, leading numerous inspections in that country to determine Iraqi nuclear weapons production capability. He led teams that found and identified the scope and extent of Iraqi uranium enrichment activities, located a major Iraqi center for assembly of nuclear weapons, and seized large amounts of documents on the Iraqi nuclear weapons program. He even spent four days as Saddam's hostage in a Baghdad parking lot.

After David speaks, Ken Pollack will make his presentation. Ken is the Director of Research at the Saban Center at Brookings. He previously worked as an analyst at the CIA on Iraq and Iran issues, then went to the National Defense University. He was Director for Persian Gulf Affairs at the National Security Council. HE is of course the author of the New York Times best seller, The Threatening Storm: The Case for Invading Iraq which was published just a few months ago by Random House.

Finally, we're very glad to have Mike O'Hanlon speak to us this morning. He is a Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policies Studies department of the Brookings Institution. He formerly worked in the National Security Division of the Congressional Budget Office. He works here on everything under the sun, but particularly on defense strategy and budgeting, space and security issues, and the military issues related to the coming war with Iraq.

So we're very grateful to have all three speakers this morning. They'll speak directly and then we'll take your questions. Thank you very much.

Read the complete transcript (PDF—124KB)

Participants

Panelists

David Kay

Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies; Former Head of Evaluations Section, International Atomic Energy Agency
Former UN Chief Nuclear Weapons Inspector in Iraq

Kenneth M. Pollack

Director of Research , Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Martin S. Indyk

Director, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Michael E. O'Hanlon

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy


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