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Past Event

A Foreign Policy Event

The Battle for Control of Congress: A Midterm Election Preview

U.S. Politics, Elections, Politics

Event Summary

On Thursday, October 31, a panel of Brookings scholars will analyze and discuss the upcoming congressional and gubernatorial elections. Democrats are battling to hold on to control of the Senate and win a majority in the House of Representatives, while Republicans are fighting to retain control of the House and reclaim the Senate. A relatively small number of hotly contested races in both chambers will determine the outcome as well as the legislative agenda for the next two years.

Event Information

When

Thursday, October 31, 2002
9:30 AM to 11:00 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

Which issues resonate with voters will likely be an important factor in who wins. Will voters focus on the war on terrorism and the Bush administration's declared policy of disarming Saddam Hussein's Iraq? Or will the state of the economy, prescription drugs for Medicare patients, and proposals to reform Social Security be the prime issues on the minds of voters?

The death of Sen. Paul Wellstone, a Democrat from Minnesota, adds a last-minute uncertainty to the already intense competition for control of the Senate.

The panel will offer their assessments, debate among themselves, and answer questions from the audience.

PLEASE NOTE: A post-election briefing and analysis will take place at Brookings on Friday, November 8 at 9:30 a.m.

Transcript

MR. RON NESSEN: Good morning. Welcome to The Brookings Institution and welcome to our briefing on next Tuesday's election, mid-term congressional elections and gubernatorial elections. My name is Ron Nessen.

As you know, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives are up next Tuesday, about a third of the Senate seats, although only a relatively small number of congressional seats are really competitive and there are 35 governorships at stake. With the Democrats currently controlling the Senate by just one vote and the Republicans controlling the House by just a very few votes, the control of Congress for the next two years will very much be up for grabs on Tuesday.

Today a panel of Brookings experts will analyze both the politics of the mid-term election and the issues that will motivate voters. We'll try to get some forecasts of the outcome from the panel and they'll talk about what the next two years are likely to be like for Congress and the White House, and of course there will be time for your questions.

Let me introduce the panel first. They're all Brookings scholars.

Next to me is Sarah Binder and her area of expertise is Congress and legislative gridlock, although that may be redundant.

Tom Mann. If you are sick already of campaign commercials don't blame Tom. He was, to a large extent, very much involved in the passage of last year's campaign finance reform.

To deal with issues we have Jim Steinberg who is the Vice President and Director of the Foreign Policy Studies Program here at Brookings, and Bill Gale who will analyze issues on the domestic side. And right in the middle a man who not only plays a former member of Congress on television but he actually is one, Bill Frenzel who served for 20 years in the House of Representatives from Minnesota.

Let me start off today's briefing by asking all the panelists to address this question. What difference does it make? What is really at stake in Tuesday's election?

The complete transcript is available in PDF form (PDF—173KB)

Participants

Moderator

Ron Nessen

Vice President of Communications

Panelists

Bill Frenzel

Guest Scholar, Economic Studies

James B. Steinberg

Nonresident Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy

Sarah A. Binder

Senior Fellow, Governance Studies

Thomas E. Mann

Senior Fellow, Governance Studies

William G. Gale

Vice President and Director, Economic Studies

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