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Past Event

A Foreign Policy Event

The War in Afghanistan: Is it Over? Did the United States Win? What's Next?

Afghanistan, Terrorism


Event Summary

When the Emergency Loya Jirga — or Grand National Council — convenes on June 10 in Kabul, the world will be watching and waiting to see whether the precarious peace that now exists in post-Taliban Afghanistan can be maintained and a stable government created.

Event Information

When

Monday, June 03, 2002
9:30 AM to 11:00 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC
Map

Event Materials

Contact: Brookings Office of Communications

E-mail: events@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

Opinions are divided about the likely outcome of the Council and the prospects for the future of Afghanistan. A recent report by the International Crisis Group, titled "The Loya Jirga: One Small Step Forward?" for example, warns that expectations of the Loya Jirga are unreasonably high, and that international officials are devoting too much attention to procedural details and not enough to ensuring a broadly acceptable outcome that balances the interests of competing ethnic and regional groups.

At this Brookings Institution National Issues Forum, a joint panel of experts from Brookings and the International Crisis Group will examine the current situation and discuss prospects for the success of the upcoming Council and the ramifications for the region and broader anti-terrorism campaign.

The Forum will also examine a number of questions concerning the military dimension of the Afghanistan effort, such as: is the American military action really a success, given that many Al Qaeda fighters apparently escaped, and Osama bin Laden has not been killed or captured? In hindsight, did the Pentagon follow the correct strategy by relying on Afghan troops to handle much of the fighting?

The panel will also answer audience questions.

Transcript

MR. JAMES STEINBERG: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Brookings. It's a pleasure to have you here this morning at our National Issues Forum on the question of the war in Afghanistan, is it over, did the United States win, and what's next? It's a tall order of questions, but we're actually going to cover even a broader set of issues in our discussion this morning. The discussion is obviously very timely with the Loya Jirga coming up in just about two weeks, a little less than two weeks, and renewed attention to the overall situation, security, political, and humanitarian, in Afghanistan. And we're very fortunate today in two respects. First, we have an opportunity to hear a little bit about a very important study that the International Crisis Group has just completed, called, The Loya Jirga, One Small Step Forward, which analyzes the prospects for and the challenges facing Afghanistan as it tries to move forward with its political reconstruction. And we'll have the director of the Asia Program Bob Templer here to talk about that.

But, even more important to kick off our discussions we have President Ahtisaari here today. It's a real pleasure personally for me to welcome him here to Brookings. I've had the privilege over the years to work with him in the variety of capacities that he's served both for Finland and the international community. It's truly one of the most extraordinary records of public service in which he has time after time taken on some of the most difficult challenges that we've faced in the international community dealing with the problems of conflict, and conflict resolution around the world, serving the United Nations, ser