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Past Event

An Economic Studies and Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Event

Do Misperceptions Guide the Tax Policy Debate?

Taxes, U.S. Economy, Tax Cuts, Federal Budget

Event Summary

American households consistently say that increased economic inequality is a bad idea. Yet the same polls often show that Americans support tax cuts that are regressive—that is, cuts that give bigger gains to higher-income households and make the distribution of after-tax income even less equal than before. Can these seemingly contradictory findings be reconciled?

Event Information

When

Tuesday, December 16, 2003
10:00 AM to 11:30 AM

Where

Falk Auditorium
Brookings Insitution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20036
Map

Contact: Office of Communications

E-mail: communications@brookings.edu

Phone: 202.797.6105

The Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Brookings Institution and the Urban Institute, will convene a briefing with two experts—University of Michigan economist Joel Slemrod and Princeton University political scientist Larry Bartels—who will present their recent findings on the issues. Slemrod presents evidence that much of the support for regressive tax alternatives, like the flat tax, exists because people believe a flat tax would be more progressive than the current system, despite the fact that almost every study on the issue finds that the opposite is true. Bartels concludes that Americans simply do not understand the links between public policy choices and economic inequality.

Slemrod's and Bartels's findings could have widespread implications for the conduct of tax policy, the role of grassroots education in influencing political debates, and many other issues. Experts from Brookings and the Urban Institute will weigh in on the results of the studies, and the panel will take questions from the audience.

Transcript

LARRY BARTELS: The puzzle that I want to address is about the impressive level of public support that we've observed for tax cuts in the U.S. over the last couple of years. It's especially striking given the overall economic context of significantly increasing political inequality, and especially impressive in the context of significantly increasing inequality over the past 20 or 30 years, given that the rich have become richer so much faster than the rest of the population. It's striking that people are willing to support public policies that produce additional upward redistribution in an era when most of the other developed countries in the world are doing the best they can to mitigate the exogenous economic developments that have produced increasing economic inequality around the globe.

So why is it that Americans like the idea of tax cuts? Well, one possibility that's talked about is that they just don't care very much about inequality. Another is that they don't realize that this has happened, that inequality has increased significantly over the past 20 or 30 years. The data that I'm going to analyze come from the national elections study conducted in 2002, just before and after the mid-term elections. And we were able to ask a battery of questions on that survey about people's perceptions about inequality and about public policies related to taxes and inequality.

One of the things we found from that study is that people actually have a pretty good awareness of the increasing level of economic inequality in the U.S. So we asked a question whether the differences in income between rich people and poor people had increased, decreased, or stayed about the same over the last 20 years. And about 75 percent of the public recognize that economic inequality had increased. So it's not that they don't understand it.

Read the full event transcript. (PDF—146KB)

Participants

Discussants

Rudolph G. Penner

Senior Fellow and the Arjay and Frances Miller Chair in Public Policy, The Urban Institute

Thomas E. Mann

Senior Fellow, Governance Studies

Presentation of Findings

Joel Slemrod

Professor of Economics, Paul W. McCracken Collegiate Professor of Business Administration, and Director, Office of Tax Policy Research, University of Michigan

Larry Bartels

Stokes Professor of Politics and Public Affairs, Princeton University

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